Pontefract 14:40 RESULTED
Class 5 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Autism In Racing Handicap Stakes

Autism In Racing Handicap Stakes · 6f

Official Result

Autism In Racing Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mister Sox (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby
    4/1
  2. 10/1
  3. Third Great (GB)
    13/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cargin Bhui silks
Cargin Bhui
Age 5 · 9-12
112550
75
45
75
5
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Cargin Bhui won twice in his last six starts, but he's slipped to a fifth three starts back, another fifth two starts back and an unplaced run last time, so the sharpness has faded. He has run over today's trip and going, and a 31-day break could help, while 138 lb from stall 11 and a ranking of sixth of 14 keep him midfield.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

2
Invincible Boy silks
Invincible Boy
Age 3 · 9-11
3-1875
75
59
80
3
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
10/1
Our rating has him second of 14 and he has run over today's trip and going before, while a win four starts back shows his ability. The risk is form: a fifth last time out follows a seventh and an eighth, and he returns after 39 days carrying 137 lb.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Fortamour silks
Fortamour
Age 10 · 9-9
600270
72
50
80
10
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 FCST 22/1
Fortamour is winless in his last six, but a second three starts back shows he can get involved, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before, while our rating of 80 ranks him top of 14. The risk is a 73-day layoff after an unplaced run last time out.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

4
Fiscal Policy silks
Fiscal Policy
Age 7 · 9-9
063514
72
81
73
7
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 4/1 32/17
Fiscal Policy was fourth last time out, 11 days ago, and won two starts back, so he arrives fit and in decent heart, having run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 135 lb from stall 1, he's rated 73 by us, eighth of 14, which suggests he's short of the best here.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Veydari silks
Veydari
Age 4 · 9-8
847-23
71
64
78
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 8/1
Veydari arrives in good heart, third last time out and a second two starts back, with only 14 days since that run and experience of both today's trip and the going. Our rating of 78 sits above his official 71, but the yard's 1/25 over the last fortnight is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Alpha Magic silks
Alpha Magic
Age 4 · 9-8
480002
71
74
76
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 3/1 4/1
Alpha Magic bounced back to a second last time out, just 18 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, which makes him our pick on overall profile despite being winless in his last six; the yard's form is the one reservation.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Mister Sox silks
Mister Sox
Age 6 · 9-7
005536
70
74
74
6
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/1 7/2
Sixth last time out and a third two starts back show Mister Sox is competitive without a win in his last six, and he is back quickly after 11 days, having run over today's trip and going. Carrying 133 lb from stall 10 with an official mark of 70, he's ranked seventh of 14 by our rating of 74, so he's more of a place hope than a banker.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Emperor's Son silks
Emperor's Son
Age 5 · 9-6
410982
69
55
69
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 6/1 14/1
Emperor's Son filled second last time out and is fresh from a 12-day turnaround, but an eighth and a ninth two and three starts back make him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, yet carrying 132 lb from stall 12, our rating of 69 ranks him 13th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Bloodsweatandtyres silks
Bloodsweatandtyres
Age 4 · 9-5
005066
68
52
72
4
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 14/1
Sixth in each of his last two starts and winless in his last six, Bloodsweatandtyres has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 18 days, though the yard's 1/26 in the last fortnight is a worry. Our 72 rating, ranked tenth of 14, sums up a midfield sort carrying 131 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Great silks
Great
Age 4 · 9-4
531763
67
70
70
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 10/1 11/2
Hard to fancy at 12th of 14 on our figures, with a sixth and a seventh in the middle of his last six runs and just the one win, four starts back. Still, he was third last time out 16 days ago and has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Fierce silks
Fierce
Age 6 · 9-4
323626
67
68
76
6
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 9/1
Fierce has been in the frame in four of his last six, including a second two starts back, though he was sixth last time out and remains winless in that spell. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 76 sits well above his official 67, and he carries 130 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Try Storm Cat silks
Try Storm Cat
Age 3 · 9-3
260804
67
49
71
3
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
SP 33/1 25/1
Try Storm Cat is winless in his last six, with a fourth last time out the best of a run of unplaced efforts since a second six starts back, and 115 days off makes him hard to fancy. He has run over this trip and on this going, though, and our rating of 71 sits above his official 67.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at SP.

13
King's Crown silks
King's Crown
Age 6 · 9-3
534050
66
42
72
6
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 16/1 20/1
King's Crown has been in and around the frame without winning, with a third five starts back his best finish in recent runs, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 18 days off. However, he was unplaced last time, the stable is 0/31 lately, and he carries 129 lb from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

14
Valentine Catcher silks
Valentine Catcher
Age 5 · 8-11
972335
60
62
66
5
8-11
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 11/1 9/1
Winless in his last six, Valentine Catcher was only fifth last time out, though a third and another third two and three starts back, plus a second four starts back, show he can get involved, and he has run over today's trip and going. Ranked last of 14 on our figures, he is hard to fancy from stall 14 off 123 lb.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cargin Bhui 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
2 Invincible Boy 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 Bet365
3 Fortamour 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 William Hill
4 Fiscal Policy 9/4 open 5.50 15/8 open 5.00 9/4 open 6.00 9/4 open 6.00 9/4 open 6.00 9/4 open 6.00 9/4 Bet365
5 Veydari 17/2 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
6 Alpha Magic 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 Betfred
7 Mister Sox 4/1 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 4/1 Bet365
8 Emperor's Son 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 Paddy Power
9 Bloodsweatandtyres 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 William Hill
10 Great 7/1 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365
11 Fierce 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
12 Try Storm Cat 28/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 33/1 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 50/1 Paddy Power
13 King's Crown 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 Paddy Power
14 Valentine Catcher 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Alpha Magic

Speculative

Alpha Magic owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Michael & David Easterby Billy Garritty
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mister Sox

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Cargin Bhui

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · David & Nicola Barron
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Alpha Magic
54.2 4/1
2 7. Mister Sox
52.1 4/1
3 4. Fiscal Policy
51.9 9/4
4 11. Fierce
48.9 9/1
5 10. Great
47.2 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Fiscal Policy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 7 · 9-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 4 · 9-4
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-8
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 9-4
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

14
Age 5 · 8-11
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-5
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

13
Age 6 · 9-3
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾 —

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fiscal Policy
Confidence: Speculative

Fiscal Policy (SR 81, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin over the next-best rated horses at SR 74, and that ability advantage is amplified by a significant market move — shortening 36% since opening, the strongest inbound move in the race. Ruth Carr's runner carries 9-9, a favourable weight relative to top-weight Cargin Bhui (9-12, SR 45), and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) which should bring this race within comfortable reach. Crucially, Course:W3P4 at Pontefract is exceptional course form — three wins and four places from prior visits demonstrates Pontefract specialist credentials that are hard to dismiss. The moderate DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are the only caveats on an otherwise multi-signal case. Each-way alternative: Mister Sox. Main danger: Mister Sox — Mister Sox (SR 74, 4/1) has shortened 41% in the market — the joint-strongest move alongside Fiscal Policy — carries a favourable 9-7, holds Course:W1P3 at Pontefract, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and runs off a mark 7lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:-7), making him a genuine threat if the cheekpieces (HG:p) sharpen him up.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Fiscal Policy's recent form reads 063514 — the '4' was last outing but prior to that a '1' was followed by two poor efforts; the run 11 days ago may have been a bounce-back fluke rather than a return…
  • Mister Sox (SR 74, 4/1) has shortened 41% — an even sharper inbound move in percentage terms — carries 2lb less, has Course:W1P3, and a Stable:1 flag suggesting yard confidence; the market is not uni…
  • GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ are both moderate — on a sharp, undulating track like Pontefract where going and stamina distribution matter acutely, neutral fit flags are a real concern when rivals like Al…
  • Alpha Magic's official mark has moved -10 points, suggesting the handicapper has eased them into this race, while Fiscal Policy's mark is +2 — meaning the handicapper views Fiscal Policy as slightly…
Shortlist Fiscal Policy, Mister Sox, Alpha Magic, Great
Each-way: Mister Sox Danger: Mister Sox

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade