Wolverhampton (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 5 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div I)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 1m1f104y

Official Result

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Canvas (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon
    9/2
  2. 28/1
  3. Third Moonjid (GB)
    17/2
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Canvas silks
Canvas
Age 4 · 9-13
409622
75
80
87
4
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 6/1 5/1
Canvas comes here in cracking nick, runner-up on his last two starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our top-rated runner is yet to win in recent form, though the yard's 0/28 is a small worry. Our rating of 87 is a clear step above his official 75, and that gap makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Cosmos Raj silks
Cosmos Raj
Age 8 · 9-11
441418
73
74
76
8
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 17/2 12/1
Cosmos Raj won two and four starts back and has run over today's distance and going, but he was eighth last time out and carries 137 lb from stall six. Our rating of 76 ranks him sixth of 11, so he looks a solid midfield sort rather than a standout.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Moonjid silks
Moonjid
Age 4 · 9-9
317548
71
65
76
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 17/2 10/1
Moonjid was eighth last time out after a fourth two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, though he's won just once in his last six, five starts back. A 36-day break and 135 lb from stall three temper things, but our rating of 76 sits above his official 71.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
My Girl Grace silks
My Girl Grace
Age 3 · 9-8
1770
74
75
81
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 6/1 7/1
My Girl Grace won four starts back and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 81 ranks her second of 11 and makes her a leading danger from stall five. The risk is a patchy recent run, with a seventh, another seventh and an unplaced effort last time, plus 44 days off.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Glen Nevis silks
Glen Nevis
Age 3 · 9-8
394290
74
69
75
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 12/1 8/1
Glen Nevis is winless in his last six, though a second three starts back and a third six starts back show he can get involved, and he's back quickly after 14 days. Unplaced last time and a ninth two starts back temper that, and 134 lb from stall four leaves him midfield on our rating of 75, eighth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Criminal silks
Criminal
Age 4 · 9-7
082472
69
71
79
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 9/1
Criminal bounced back with a second last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 79 ranks him fourth of 11 and sits well above his official 69. The risk is a 113-day layoff, with 133 lb to carry from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Little Miss India silks
Little Miss India
Age 5 · 9-7
418504
69
58
71
5
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 FCST 9/1
Fourth last time out and 17 days fresh, Little Miss India has had just one win in her last six, back five starts ago, with an eighth and an unplaced run since muddying the picture. She has run over today's trip and going and shades her official 69 on our figures, but ranking ninth of 11 says plenty, and 133 lb from stall 10 is no help.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Magician of Riga silks
Magician of Riga
Age 3 · 9-7
531135
73
87
77
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/2
Magician of Riga won three and four starts back before a third and a fifth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going, but an 88-day absence and 133 lb from draw 11 temper the appeal. Our rating of 77 ranks him fifth of 11, so he looks a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Faeberon silks
Faeberon
Age 3 · 9-6
-83134
72
88
81
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 10/3 3/1
Faeberon has finished in the first four in four of his last five starts, including a fourth last time out, a third two starts back, and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 81 ranks him third of 11, but the main risk is 35 days off the track, and he carries 132 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Cotswold Cottage silks
Cotswold Cottage
Age 6 · 9-5
1461-7
67
49
67
6
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 22/1
Cotswold Cottage won two starts back and five starts back, but she was seventh last time out and returns after 54 days off, while carrying 131 lb from stall 2. She has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank her last of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
The Dark Baron silks
The Dark Baron
Age 4 · 9-4
364441
66
73
70
4
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 10/3 6/1
Fresh from a win last time out and back after 20 days, The Dark Baron has run over today's trip and going, but he managed only fourths in the three runs before that. Carrying 130 lb from draw 7, he is ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, so he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Canvas 6/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
2 Cosmos Raj 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
3 Moonjid 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 12/1 Paddy Power
4 My Girl Grace 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 9.00 7/1 7/1 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 Paddy Power
5 Glen Nevis 17/2 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 10/1 Paddy Power
6 Criminal 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Little Miss India 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Paddy Power
8 Magician of Riga 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 10.00 6/1 open 10.00 11/2 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Coral
9 Faeberon 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 Bet365
10 Cotswold Cottage 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
11 The Dark Baron 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Faeberon

Speculative

Faeberon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Simon & Ed Crisford Callum Shepherd
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Magician of Riga

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Richard Hannon
✓ Value Signal

Cotswold Cottage

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Faye Bramley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Faeberon
53.3 3/1
2 8. Magician of Riga
52.5 11/2
3 1. Canvas
52.0 6/1
4 11. The Dark Baron
50.3 13/2
5 4. My Girl Grace
48.5 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Magician of Riga
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-6
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-13
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 9-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-8
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-7
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

2
Age 8 · 9-11
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Magician of Riga
Confidence: Speculative

Magician of Riga (SR:87, 11/2) is the SR leader in this field and has been heavily backed — Mkt:in28% is the strongest market move of the race by a considerable margin, suggesting informed money. He carries just 9-7, a pound less than Canvas and two pounds less than top-weight Canvas, giving him a genuine weight edge over most of the field. His Going:+ on AW/good at Wolverhampton and Course:W1P3 record here confirm he handles this track, while form of 531135 shows he finished third last time out at the same class. The DistFit:- is the one caveat — he hasn't proven himself over this 1m1f104y trip — but the weight, class hold, course form and exceptional market support outweigh that concern. Each-way alternative: Faeberon. Main danger: Faeberon — Faeberon (SR:88, 3/1) is actually the top SR in the field by one point, carries 9-6 (1lb less than Magician of Riga), has DistFit:+ and Course:W1P1 at Wolverhampton, is also steaming in (Mkt:in11%), and the Crisford yard runs at a 19% strike rate — if the visor works and form of -83134 represents a progressive profile, he's entirely capable of reversing the market's slight preference.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 88-day absence is a significant lay-off — no AW evidence he bounces back fresh, and first run back from a long break often sees ring rust at Wolverhampton's sharp 1m1f104y trip.
  • DistFit:- at this specific 1m1f104y trip is a concrete gap: all his Wolverhampton course form (W1P3) may have come at a different trip, making that Course record less relevant today.
  • Faeberon (SR:88) is the SR co-leader, sits at 3/1 favourite, also has Wolverhampton course form (W1P1), carries lighter at 9-6, and is trained by Crisford yard running at 19% strike rate vs Hannon's…
  • The +3 mark move (MarkMv:+3) suggests the assessor has raised his handicap mark, meaning he may be racing off a higher official rating than when last winning, eroding his apparent class hold.
Shortlist Magician of Riga, Faeberon, Canvas, The Dark Baron
Each-way: Faeberon Danger: Faeberon

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m1f104y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade