Winter Festival November 28th & 29th Handicap Hurdle · 3m0f0y
SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Joya Del Mar | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 2 Mephisto | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 3 Tippinaway | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 4 Dinoland | 3/1 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 10/3 Coral |
| 5 Midleton Rare | 16/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 6 Mickey Cohen | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 | 10/1 Coral |
| 7 Sights Unseen | 25/1 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Diamond Tipp | 5/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Full Noise | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 Coral |
| 10 Broken Ice | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 Coral |
| 11 Smackwater Jack | 9/1 open 26.00 | 15/2 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 23.00 | 9/1 open 23.00 | 8/1 open 23.00 | 15/2 open 23.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Leading Endeavour | 25/1 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 13 Technology | 9/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dinoland owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dinoland (SR:100, 5/2) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by at least 4lb over Broken Ice (SR:96), and crucially carries only 11-8 — not punitive for a 3m handicap hurdle. The GoingFit:+ is the key differentiator: proven ability on good ground when most rivals have a minus or query mark. The recent form of PPP-11 is a red flag that demands scrutiny — three pulls followed by back-to-back wins — but the two wins arrived in sequence and he runs off the same mark (MarkMv:=), suggesting connections have him exactly where they want him. The slight drift (Mkt:out6%) is the only concern and stops this being High confidence, but a 6% drift is noise rather than signal in a 13-runner field at this level. Each-way alternative: Diamond Tipp. Main danger: Broken Ice — Broken Ice (SR:96) is only 4lb behind Dinoland on ratings, carries 5lb less weight, benefits from a 5lb mark reduction since its last win (MarkMv:-5), and John McConnell's yard has the volume and experience to have this horse race-fit despite 11 days since its last run — though the 30% market drift and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns.