Pontefract 14:05 RESULTED
Class 5 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Constant Security Serving Yorkshire Racecourses Nursery Handicap Stakes

Constant Security Serving Yorkshire Racecourses Nursery Handicap Stakes · 6f

Official Result

Constant Security Serving Yorkshire Racecourses Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rex Regum (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Tom Clover
    11/4F
  2. Second Kigali (GB)
    20/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Turnstile silks
Turnstile
Age 2 · 9-9
333751
74
72
79
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 7/2 13/2
Turnstile arrives a last-time-out winner, back within 17 days, and has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 79 ranks him second of nine. The main risk is a patchy record before that win, a fifth and a seventh in the two runs prior, and 135 lb to carry from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Social Spirit silks
Social Spirit
Age 2 · 9-7
568032
72
74
75
2
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 4/1 11/2
Social Spirit arrives in rising form, second last time out and third two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 75 ranks him fourth of nine, but the yard's 1/27 over the last 14 days is the one concern, and he is yet to win in his last six.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Floral Maid silks
Floral Maid
Age 2 · 9-6
22
71
83
88
2
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 7/2 10/3
Floral Maid arrives in fine fettle, a second last time out and another second two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before after just 19 days off. Our rating of 88 tops the nine-runner field, though she is yet to win and the yard's form is quiet; she runs from draw 1 carrying 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Prosperity Angel silks
Prosperity Angel
Age 2 · 9-5
3133
70
79
77
2
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 11/2 3/1
Prosperity Angel arrives in cracking order, third last time out and again two starts back, with a win three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before after just 15 days off. Carrying 131 lb from draw 3, the main risk is that she has finished third in three of her last four.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Desert Smoke silks
Desert Smoke
Age 2 · 9-5
6546
70
60
74
2
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 13/2 8/1
Desert Smoke is winless in her last four, finishing a sixth last time out and a fourth two starts back, though she returns after 23 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 74 sits above her official 70, but she carries 131 lb from stall 5 and has not troubled the frame lately.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Rex Regum silks
Rex Regum
Age 2 · 9-5
98327
70
77
73
2
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 13/2 9/2
Rex Regum was a seventh last time out after a second two starts back and a third three starts back, so he has been in the frame lately, though he is winless in his last five. He has run over today's trip and returns after 25 days, but 131 lb from draw 9 looks a stern ask, and our rating of 73 ranks him sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
State of Gold silks
State of Gold
Age 2 · 9-3
857219
68
74
72
2
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 10/1 11/2
State of Gold was beaten into ninth last time out and has finished eighth, fifth and seventh in three of her last six, so she is hard to fancy. A win two starts back and a second three starts back show some ability, and she has run over today's trip and going, but 129 lb from draw 2 is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Kigali silks
Kigali
Age 2 · 9-2
67992
67
51
71
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 6/1 11/1
Kigali is winless in his last five and finished well down the field in three of those, finishing ninth twice, so he is hard to fancy; a second last time out 20 days ago is the one positive, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 71 ranks him eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Classyfied silks
Classyfied
Age 2 · 8-9
5440
60
38
62
2
8-9
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 25/1 28/1
Classyfied is winless in her last four, unplaced last time out after a fourth two starts back, another fourth three starts back and a fifth four starts back, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and going, and is back after 18 days, but our rating of 62 ranks her last of nine.
AI verdict

SR 38 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Turnstile 15/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 4.50 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 Bet365
2 Social Spirit 11/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 Paddy Power
3 Floral Maid 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Betfred
4 Prosperity Angel 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 4/1 Bet365
5 Desert Smoke 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 9.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 Bet365
6 Rex Regum 5/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 5/1 Bet365
7 State of Gold 15/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 15.00 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 Bet365
8 Kigali 16/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 Bet365
9 Classyfied 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 34.00 28/1 50/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Floral Maid

Speculative

Floral Maid owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Brian Ellison Cam Hardie
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Prosperity Angel

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Ben Haslam
✓ Value Signal

Classyfied

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Floral Maid
55.7 10/3
2 4. Prosperity Angel
52.8 4/1
3 6. Rex Regum
52.2 5/1
4 1. Turnstile
50.6 15/2
5 2. Social Spirit
48.4 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rex Regum
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 2 · 9-6
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-5
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-5
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 9-3
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rex Regum
Confidence: Speculative

Rex Regum (SR:77, 4/1) is the most compelling case when signals are stacked together. The market has steamed in 47% from its opening price — the strongest inward move in the field by a significant margin — and Tom Clover's yard strikes at 17% (best in the race), while Daniel Tudhope's 18% career strike rate makes this one of the sharpest jockey-trainer combinations declared. The form string 9-8-3-2-7 reads right-to-left as last run 7th, then a strong-looking 2nd, which shows progression, and the moderate DistFit:~ is no barrier at 6f given a GoingFit:? simply reflects limited data rather than a proven negative. At 4/1 with that volume of market support, the money is providing a clear steer that connections expect a forward move. Each-way alternative: Floral Maid. Main danger: Floral Maid — Floral Maid holds the highest SR in the field at 83, has an 8% market inward move, a tidy 2-2 form line showing consistent placing, and Ellison's yard is capable of improving juveniles quickly between runs — a horse that has hit the frame twice from two starts is clearly progressive and could easily step forward here.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Rex Regum's form reads 9-8-3-2-7 left-to-right, meaning the most recent run was a 7th — a clear regression after that promising 2nd, not a horse building momentum into today.
  • GoingFit:? signals unknown suitability to today's conditions at Pontefract, which is a unique undulating track where going plays a significant role — this is a genuine unknown, not just thin data.
  • Floral Maid (SR:83, 7/2) carries the highest speed rating in the field with a tighter form figure of 2-2, offering a more consistent recent profile and superior raw figure despite shorter odds.
  • Tom Clover's yard (670 runs) is relatively small-volume for the northern circuit and the 47% market move, while eye-catching, originated from what may have been a very wide opening price given the su…
Shortlist Rex Regum, Floral Maid, Prosperity Angel, Social Spirit
Each-way: Floral Maid Danger: Floral Maid

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade