Killarney 15:20 RESULTED
Class 1 5 Oct 2026

Monday 5 October Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) · 1m3f50y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Shaihaan (IRE) Chris Hayes · Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
    3/1F
  2. 7/2
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Action silks
Action
Age 3 · 9-5
207680
109
107
113
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 9/4 10/3
Action is yet to win in his last six, but a second six starts back shows his ability, and he has run over today's trip and returns fresh after 23 days. Our rating of 113 tops the field, and he runs from stall one off 131 lb, though recent finishes are a worry.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Back Straight silks
Back Straight
Age 3 · 9-5
2-1
88
84
82
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 16/1 10/1
Won last time out and was second two starts back, with a fresh 20-day gap, so the form is sound; but our rating of 82 ranks him ninth of 11, and carrying 131 lb off an official 88 after that win leaves plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Latin America silks
Latin America
Age 3 · 9-5
213
95
96
97
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 15/2 13/2
Latin America arrives with solid recent form, a third last time out, a winner two starts back and a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip. A 141-day absence raises fitness questions, though, and carrying 131 lb from draw 3 leaves him ranked fifth of 11 on our rating of 97.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Magnum Cor silks
Magnum Cor
Age 3 · 9-5
411
95
96
81
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
SP 5/2 7/2
Magnum Cor arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and he is fresh enough after just four days off. Our rating has him tenth of eleven, though, and 131 lb off an official 95 makes this a stiff ask from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Manton Bay silks
Manton Bay
Age 3 · 9-5
282125
97
104
100
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 7/1 5/2
Manton Bay arrives in solid form, with a second two starts back and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 22 days off. The risk is a fifth last time out and 131 lb from draw 8, while our rating of 100 ranks him fourth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Mr Vettori silks
Mr Vettori
Age 3 · 9-5
1-2540
98
83
97
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 12/1 18/1
Mr Vettori won five starts back and was second four starts back, but he has tailed off since, a fifth three starts back and a fourth two starts back before going unplaced last time out. He has run over today's trip and going, though 66 days off and 131 lb from stall seven leave him a midfield proposition, with our rating of 97 ranking him sixth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Shaihaan silks
Shaihaan
Age 3 · 9-5
-14355
102
103
105
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 7/2
Shaihaan has a solid profile, having run over today's trip and on this going, with a third three starts back and a win five starts back. Our 105 ranking puts him second of eleven, but two fifths latest and 67 days off are the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Caught U Sleeping silks
Caught U Sleeping
Age 3 · 9-3
812334
102
101
101
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 7/1 4/1
Caught U Sleeping arrives consistent, with a fourth last time out, a third two starts back and another third three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before after just 16 days off. The main risk is a stable out of form at 1/22 over the last 14 days, and she carries 129 lb from stall 11.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Alphecca silks
Alphecca
Age 3 · 9-0
1-7982
91
67
90
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 25/1 16/1
Alphecca bounced back with a second last time out, just 14 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, but a eighth, a ninth and a seventh before that, with her win five starts back, show how patchy she has been. Our rating of 90 puts her seventh of 11, carrying 126 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Garden Party silks
Garden Party
Age 3 · 9-0
22-10
85
67
82
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
Garden Party arrives off a 37-day break having finished unplaced last time out, though she won two starts back and was second three and four starts back, and she has run over today's trip. Carrying 126 lb from draw 5, our rating of 82 puts her eighth of 11, which tempers the appeal.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Millhone silks
Millhone
Age 3 · 9-0
922321
72
60
67
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1
Millhone arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out after a second, a third and two further seconds, and she has run over today's trip. Even so, our rating of 67 ranks her last of 11, and a 126 lb burden off an official 72 makes her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Action 10/3 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 Paddy Power
2 Back Straight 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 26.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 26.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Latin America 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 Bet365
4 Magnum Cor 7/2 7/2 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 Coral
5 Manton Bay 3/1 open 8.00 5/2 open 11.00 11/4 open 8.50 11/4 open 11.00 11/4 open 8.50 5/2 open 8.50 3/1 Bet365
6 Mr Vettori 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Coral
7 Shaihaan 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
8 Caught U Sleeping 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 11/2 Bet365
9 Alphecca 20/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 20/1 Bet365
10 Garden Party 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
11 Millhone 100/1 — 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 100/1 125/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Caught U Sleeping

Speculative

Caught U Sleeping owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Noel Meade Adam Caffrey
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Action

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Aidan O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Garden Party

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Aidan O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Caught U Sleeping
59.4 11/2
2 1. Action
57.6 10/3
3 5. Manton Bay
56.9 3/1
4 7. Shaihaan
55.9 7/2
5 3. Latin America
55.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Back Straight
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-5
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-5
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-5
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-0
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Back Straight
Confidence: Speculative

Back Straight (SR:84, 12/1) is the most compelling play in the race on the back of a 32% market steam — the largest move in the field — which is a significant signal in a Listed contest at this price. The 2-1 form line shows a win last time out (rightmost digit), and the tongue-tie application suggests connections have found an answer to any previous quirk. While the SR of 84 looks modest, the race-wide SR ceiling is 107 (Action) and no horse here is operating at a level that makes SR the decisive factor alone; the market steam combined with the trainer angle (M D O'Callaghan at 12% overall) and Seamie Heffernan's experienced booking at 8% career strike rate across 1,290 rides adds credibility. At 12/1 against a field where the two market leaders — Action and Magnum Cor — are drifting materially (12% and 17% out respectively), the money is clearly landing here rather than with the shorter-priced rivals. Each-way alternative: Manton Bay. Main danger: Manton Bay — Manton Bay (SR:104, 11/2) has also been heavily backed in (32% market move matching Back Straight's steam), carries a GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and is handled by W. J. Lee — a jockey with a 16% career strike rate across 1,901 rides — making it a genuine dual-steamer threat that could easily outrun its mark despite the +10 MarkMv concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Back Straight's form reads just '2-1' — only two runs visible, with a gap (dash) suggesting a significant absence; this is a Listed contest and the form sample is dangerously thin to trust at face va…
  • SR of 84 is the second-lowest in the field among realistic contenders; Manton Bay (SR:104) is drawing identical 32% market steam at a shorter price, making Back Straight the weaker of the two steamed…
  • Seamie Heffernan's 8% career strike rate is modest for a Listed race booking, and M D O'Callaghan's 12% trainer strike rate — while cited positively — means 88% of runners from this yard lose; no Lis…
  • The tongue-tie application (first-time headgear flag 't') signals a previously identified behavioural issue; first-time tongue-ties in Listed company carry execution risk, and the 'fix' is unproven a…
Shortlist Back Straight, Manton Bay, Caught U Sleeping, Latin America
Each-way: Manton Bay Danger: Manton Bay

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m3f50y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade