Navan 16:49 RESULTED
27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap · 1m6f

Official Result

GAIN The Advantage Series Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sunrush (IRE) Sam Coen · Andrew Slattery
    8/1
  2. 3/1F
  3. 15/2
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Navan

13:44–17:24 · 8 races

Carlisle

14:00–17:00 · 7 races

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14:22–16:55 · 6 races

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14:37–17:07 · 6 races

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16:42–19:42 · 7 races

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18:00–21:00 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Essential Comedy silks
Essential Comedy
Age 3 · 10-0
653
70
44
59
3
10-0
20/1 14/1 20/1
Winless in her last three starts, Essential Comedy does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and her third last time out shows she can get competitive — though 140 lb and a rating well below the top of the weights make life tough here.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Parish Team silks
Parish Team
Age 3 · 10-0
8800
70
33
63
3
10-0
33/1
Parish Team has run over today's trip and going before, but his recent form makes grim reading — unplaced in his last two and eighth in the two starts prior, leaving him winless in his last four; back just four days ago and carrying 140 lb off an official rating of 70.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

3
Sunrush silks
Sunrush
Age 3 · 10-0
74-653
70
59
74
3
10-0
8/1 6/1 15/2
Sunrush tops our ratings, and his third last time out — the best recent effort in a winless spell — underlines that he is knocking hard on the door; the chief concern is whether 140 lb blunts his chance at the finish.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Chicago Moon silks
Chicago Moon
Age 3 · 9-10
937514
66
65
68
3
9-10
9/2 4/1 9/2
Chicago Moon comes here on a short six-day turnaround following her latest fourth, but a win the start before underlines her current-campaign form, and she has experience over today's trip carrying 136 lb.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Blissful Bonita silks
Blissful Bonita
Age 3 · 9-9
8-7524
65
62
68
3
9-9
5/1 11/2 9/2
Blissful Bonita arrives 27 days fresh with a trainer firing at 28% in the last fortnight, and her second two starts back offers encouragement, though she remains yet to win in her last five and faces a stiff 135 lb burden.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Love Orchid silks
Love Orchid
Age 3 · 9-9
596402
65
61
71
3
9-9
15/2 15/2 7/1
Love Orchid ran second last time out and her rating of 71 marks her as a leading threat in this field, but she remains winless in recent starts and that elusive first success is the question she must answer.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Strike De Vega silks
Strike De Vega
Age 3 · 9-7
060
63
32
54
3
9-7
33/1 20/1 33/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 14th of 18 on our figures, Strike De Vega faces a stiff ask under 133 lb, though 12 days since his last outing at least suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

8
Werifesteria silks
Werifesteria
Age 3 · 9-7
7870
63
33
56
3
9-7
33/1 20/1 33/1
Winless in her last four starts, with a string of mid-to-rear finishes, Werifesteria faces a stiff task here off 133 lb, and our figures rank her well held in this field — though 21 days since her last run suggests she arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

9
Cascade Canyon silks
Cascade Canyon
Age 3 · 9-4
604092
60
46
66
3
9-4
18/1 14/1 18/1
Cascade Canyon shaped well last time when finishing second, though he has been largely disappointing in recent starts and remains yet to win in his last six; he has run over today's trip before, and at 130 lb with our rating nudging above his official mark, there is modest upside to weigh against a patchy overall record.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Connecteo silks
Connecteo
Age 3 · 9-3
0-8247
Ben Coen 11%
A Oliver 11%
59
52
64
3
9-3
17/2 10/1 8/1
Winless in his last five starts, Connecteo does offer a placed effort two runs back to suggest he retains ability, though 54 days off and a tough 129 lb burden are the obstacles he must overcome here.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Mare Crisium silks
Mare Crisium
Age 3 · 9-3
859446
59
45
65
3
9-3
20/1 16/1 20/1
Winless in her last six starts, Mare Crisium does at least bring distance experience and a rating of 65 to the table, and 12 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh; the concern is a flat recent profile that offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Millhone silks
Millhone
Age 3 · 9-3
079223
59
68
64
3
9-3
3/1 4/1 11/4
Millhone has been knocking on the door, finishing second two starts back and third last time out, yet remains winless in recent starts; she has run over today's going before and her rating of 64 offers some encouragement, though a four-day turnaround and 129 lb on her back may test her stamina.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Soigne silks
Soigne
Age 3 · 9-3
998
59
30
48
3
9-3
33/1 20/1 33/1
Soigne heads into this winless in her last three starts, with an eighth last time out and ninth-place finishes two and three starts back, and our figures rank her near the foot of the field; the trainer's current strike rate is the one crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

14
Chapel Island silks
Chapel Island
Age 3 · 9-2
-85443
58
52
72
3
9-2
16/1 12/1 16/1
Chapel Island has shown admirable consistency, finishing third last time out and never far away in recent starts, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions carrying 128 lb; the concern is that he remains yet to win in his last five outings.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

15
Chloe's Boy silks
Chloe's Boy
Age 3 · 9-2
0060
58
26
47
3
9-2
40/1 50/1 40/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Chloe's Boy makes this look a stiff task, though 26 days between runs leaves him at least fresh for the challenge.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

16
Stabannon silks
Stabannon
Age 3 · 8-12
006
54
28
54
3
8-12
50/1 40/1 50/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 15 of 18 on our figures, Stabannon faces a stiff ask here; 38 days off the track adds a fitness query, though he has at least shown a sixth last time out to suggest some residual form.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

17
Cameclose silks
Cameclose
Age 3 · 8-9
-49926
51
47
60
3
8-9
16/1 12/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, Cameclose showed he retains some ability when second two runs back, though sixth last time out is the more recent evidence; he has run over today's going before and a 15-day turnaround keeps him fresh, but an official mark of 51 leaves him with plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

18
Nando Lily silks
Nando Lily
Age 3 · 8-7
00-00
45
24
49
3
8-7
40/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Nando Lily has a steep hill to climb after 64 days off, though she at least returns on a workable weight of 119 lb.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Essential Comedy 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
2 Parish Team 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
3 Sunrush 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 Bet365
4 Chicago Moon 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 Coral
5 Blissful Bonita 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
6 Love Orchid 15/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 15/2 Bet365
7 Strike De Vega 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Werifesteria 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Cascade Canyon 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
10 Connecteo 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
11 Mare Crisium 20/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Paddy Power
12 Millhone 3/1 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 Bet365
13 Soigne 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
14 Chapel Island 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
15 Chloe's Boy 40/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 Paddy Power
16 Stabannon 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
17 Cameclose 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
18 Nando Lily 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Millhone

Speculative

Millhone owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Charles Weld Rory Mulligan(5)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Blissful Bonita

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Gavin Cromwell
✓ Value Signal

Chloe's Boy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · H Rogers
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 12. Millhone
51.5 3/1
2 5. Blissful Bonita
49.2 5/1
3 4. Chicago Moon
46.8 9/2
4 6. Love Orchid
46.2 15/2
5 3. Sunrush
43.2 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Millhone
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

12
Age 3 · 9-3
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 10-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-3
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 9-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

17
Age 3 · 8-9
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

1
Age 3 · 10-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Age 3 · 9-3
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Millhone
Confidence: Speculative

Millhone carries the highest SR in the field at 68, a meaningful edge over Chicago Moon (SR 65) and Blissful Bonita (SR 62), and does so off a competitive 9-3 — 7lb below Chicago Moon's 9-10. The form string 079223 shows a consistent tightening of finishing positions, with three consecutive placed efforts suggesting a horse that is improving and running to its mark. At 4/1 the market has it as co-favourite, reflecting connection confidence through Charles Weld's yard. While the trainer's overall strike rate is modest (0%/27 runners), this is a relatively lightly-raced yard and the jockey booking of apprentice Rory Mulligan at 8%/133 is workmanlike rather than damning — the SR lead and weight advantage over the field's other principals are the decisive factors. Each-way alternative: Blissful Bonita. Main danger: Chicago Moon — Chicago Moon (SR 65) carries blinkers and has the second-best SR in the field, with a last-time-out win figure in the form string (937514 — rightmost digit 4 is most recent, but a '1' recently appears), and Henry De Bromhead at 14% strike rate with W J Lee aboard represents a powerful combination despite the 9-10 weight and a 10% market drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Charles Weld's yard is 0% from 27 runners — a completely winless record that represents a concrete negative signal regardless of individual horse merit.
  • Form string 079223 shows placed efforts but the last win is absent entirely; three consecutive seconds/thirds without breaking through suggests a horse that finds a way to get beaten at the crucial m…
  • Chicago Moon (SR 65, 9/2) is trained by Henry De Bromhead (14% strike rate) with W J Lee (14%) — superior trainer/jockey combination to Millhone's connections and drifting only modestly despite a rec…
  • Millhone's HG code is 'p' (presumably a going preference) and with no market support evident (no 'in' drift noted), the 4/1 co-favourite price may reflect SR rather than informed stable money.
Shortlist Millhone, Chicago Moon, Blissful Bonita, Love Orchid
Each-way: Blissful Bonita Danger: Chicago Moon

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m6f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Navan Track and setting