Southwell (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 4 27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap Stakes

Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap Stakes · 7f14y

Official Result

Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mr Noble (IRE) Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke
    7/4F
  2. Second Haaderr (GB)
    7/2
  3. 22/1
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Southwell (AW)

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Fouette silks
Fouette
Age 4 · 10-0
5-0667
87
64
93
4
10-0
18/1 16/1 14/1
Winless in her last five starts and not seen for 89 days, Fouette nevertheless holds a rating of 93 here — the highest in the field — and has experience over today's trip and going, with stall three drawn; the concern is whether she can convert that superiority on a comeback run.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Carron silks
Carron
Age 4 · 9-13
361082
86
81
92
4
9-13
16/1 7/1 12/1
Carron catches the eye on his return from 78 days off, boasting experience over today's trip and going, and his runner-up finish last time out underlines his current form — but the fitness of a horse absent nearly three months is the key question here.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Master Richard silks
Master Richard
Age 7 · 9-12
03-233
85
92
90
7
9-12
12/1 9/1 11/1
Master Richard has been a model of consistency in recent starts, third last time out and a runner-up three starts back, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour; the main risk is 68 days off the track after carrying 138 lb from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Pietro silks
Pietro
Age 4 · 9-10
62-130
83
80
87
4
9-10
15/2 13/2 15/2
Pietro arrives here after 83 days off the track, which is a fitness query, and his latest run was unplaced, but he showed better when third two starts back and a winner three starts back, giving his profile a mixed look; experience over today's trip and going helps, yet he faces a stiff ask from stall 11 off 136 lb.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Chalk Mountain silks
Chalk Mountain
Age 6 · 9-9
186727
82
88
88
6
9-9
11/2 8/1 11/2
Chalk Mountain won one from six in recent starts and has experience of today's trip and going, yet a seventh last time out tempers confidence; carrying 135 lb from stall five, his second two starts back offers some encouragement but consistency remains the concern.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Dublin Bay silks
Dublin Bay
Age 3 · 9-7
3-4151
85
88
85
3
9-7
20/1 10/3 20/1
Dublin Bay won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but he has been off the track for 90 days and, ranked eighth of eleven on our ratings, he faces a stiff ask returning from that layoff at 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Haaderr silks
Haaderr
Age 3 · 9-6
221-43
84
94
83
3
9-6
10/3 4/1 3/1
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Haaderr is hard to fancy at the weights, though he did finish third last time out and is a winner three starts back, bringing some recent form to the table; experience over today's trip and going at least removes two unknowns.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
King Of Fury silks
King Of Fury
Age 6 · 9-6
547119
79
63
81
6
9-6
18/1
King Of Fury won two of his last six starts but has finished ninth most recently, and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures he faces a steep ask at the weights carrying 132 lb from stall nine, making him difficult to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Mr Noble silks
Mr Noble
Age 3 · 9-6
1-232
84
98
93
3
9-6
7/4 9/4 7/4
Consistent and in solid recent nick, Mr Noble has made the frame in all four of his last four starts, winning four back and placing every time since; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 33 days between runs leaves him fresh enough to go close again.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
New Image silks
New Image
Age 6 · 9-5
057005
78
57
89
6
9-5
20/1 FCST 14/1
Winless in his last six starts, New Image has at least run over today's trip and going, giving him some grounding, but a string of unplaced efforts and a fifth last time out make it hard to fancy him strongly, even if the weight at 131 lb and our rating of 89 hint at residual ability.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
King's School silks
King's School
Age 5 · 9-4
-31258
77
60
81
5
9-4
28/1 16/1 22/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and carrying 130 lb from stall eight, King's School faces a stiff task here; he was beaten eighth last time out, and while he has experience over today's trip and going, that recent decline is hard to overlook.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Fouette 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 18/1 18/1 16/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
2 Carron 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
3 Master Richard 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Pietro 15/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 15/2 open 7.50 9/1 Paddy Power
5 Chalk Mountain 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 Coral
6 Dublin Bay 20/1 open 5.00 22/1 open 5.00 22/1 open 5.00 22/1 open 5.00 20/1 open 5.00 20/1 open 4.33 22/1 Paddy Power
7 Haaderr 10/3 open 5.00 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Paddy Power
8 King Of Fury 18/1 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365
9 Mr Noble 7/4 open 4.50 15/8 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 Coral
10 New Image 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 14/1 14/1 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
11 King's School 28/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Haaderr

Speculative

Haaderr owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Edward Bethell Billy Loughnane
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mr Noble

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · K. R. Burke
✓ Value Signal

King's School

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Gemma Tutty
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Haaderr
56.5 10/3
2 9. Mr Noble
56.3 7/4
3 5. Chalk Mountain
56.0 11/2
4 4. Pietro
50.1 15/2
5 3. Master Richard
49.0 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mr Noble
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-6
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 98 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 9-12
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-13
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-6
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
20/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 6 · 9-5
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mr Noble
Confidence: Speculative

Mr Noble (SR 98, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and carries a competitive 9-6, giving him a real lbs advantage over top-weight Fouette (SR 64, 10-0). The K.R. Burke yard runs at 19% and Clifford Lee at 15%, both strong connections, and the market has shortened 14% since opening — meaningful support at a track where money is rarely wrong. Form reads 1-232, showing consistent placed efforts at the same class, and while DistFit and GoingFit are unknown, his SR and market trajectory point to a horse whose connections are confident he handles today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Haaderr. Main danger: Haaderr — Haaderr (SR 94, 4/1) is the second-highest-rated runner, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), course form (W1P1), a 9% market move in his favour, and is trained by Edward Bethell with Billy Loughnane — a strong booking — making him the most credible threat to Mr Noble.

Case against 4 clamped
  • No Course record at Southwell AW — DistFit and GoingFit both unknown, meaning his SR 98 was achieved elsewhere and transferability to Fibresand/Tapeta is unproven.
  • Haaderr (SR 94, 4/1) is close in class, has a Course W1P1 record at Southwell, is fresher at 26 days, and Billy Loughnane (19% strike rate) is the stronger jockey — market has also firmed 9% on him.
  • Form reads 1-232: three consecutive non-wins after the opening victory, suggesting Mr Noble may be declining or finding a ceiling at this level rather than improving.
  • Chalk Mountain has been backed in 28% from opening, is only 15 days since last run (sharp), and also holds a Southwell course record — represents a live market threat at a bigger price.
Shortlist Mr Noble, Haaderr, Chalk Mountain, Master Richard
Each-way: Haaderr Danger: Haaderr

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade