Carlisle 16:00 RESULTED
Class 6 27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday Ladies Night 2027 On Sale Now Handicap Stakes

Ladies Night 2027 On Sale Now Handicap Stakes · 5f

Official Result

Ladies Night 2027 On Sale Now Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Royal Duke (GB) Rhys Elliott · R Mike Smith
    12/1
  2. 6/1
  3. 6/1
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Navan

13:44–17:24 · 8 races

Carlisle

14:00–17:00 · 7 races

Lingfield (AW)

14:22–16:55 · 6 races

Ffos Las

14:37–17:07 · 6 races

Newton Abbot

16:42–19:42 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 5 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Cape Sovereign silks
Cape Sovereign Non-Runner
Age 4 · 9-8
57900-
59
59OR
4
9-8
SP
1
Impressor silks
Impressor
Age 9 · 9-9
063608
60
52
68
9
9-9
11/1 17/2 10/1
Winless in his last six starts, Impressor nonetheless holds a clear edge on ratings over his 12 rivals and has experience of today's trip and conditions; drawn 12 carrying 135 lb, the concern is a dip in recent form, but six days on from his last run he arrives fresh enough to confirm that superiority.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

3
Bibendum silks
Bibendum
Age 5 · 9-8
450165
59
51
60
5
9-8
11/1 15/2 10/1
Bibendum won three starts back but has since posted a sixth and a fifth, and with his trainer firing at just 5% in the past fortnight he faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after a 22-day break with experience on his side.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Hvar silks
Hvar
Age 3 · 9-7
-00709
60
31
60
3
9-7
33/1 25/1 28/1
Winless in his last five starts and off the track for 52 days, Hvar faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and draws stall one carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Without Flaw silks
Without Flaw
Age 5 · 9-6
747761
57
55
60
5
9-6
8/1 6/1 8/1
Without Flaw arrives on the back of a win last time out, which gives her a clear fitness and form boost, though her record in recent starts also includes several mid-to-rear finishes that temper expectations; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 132 lb from stall 7 are the key variables to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Harry Mole silks
Harry Mole
Age 4 · 9-5
052233
56
66
62
4
9-5
7/2 11/4 10/3
Harry Mole has been a model of consistency in recent starts, placing in four of his last five completed efforts including thirds last time out and two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is that he remains yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Cotai Starlight silks
Cotai Starlight
Age 3 · 9-5
358145
58
48
57
3
9-5
12/1 FCST 11/1
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Opal Storm silks
Opal Storm
Age 6 · 9-4
081894
55
56
57
6
9-4
SP 9/1 8/1
Opal Storm showed she can win, landing a victory four starts back, but a fourth last time out and a lean recent spell — including an eighth and ninth in her last six starts — temper confidence, and her quick three-day turnaround adds further doubt at 130 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Never Dark silks
Never Dark
Age 9 · 9-4
-66726
55
57
62
9
9-4
7/1 7/1 13/2
Winless in his last five starts, Never Dark nonetheless showed clear ability when second two starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; the main risk is whether he can reproduce that form from stall 13 carrying 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Crafty Spirit silks
Crafty Spirit
Age 5 · 9-3
7-2113
54
61
56
5
9-3
15/2 11/2 7/1
Ranked well adrift of the field on our figures, Crafty Spirit faces a stiff ask here, and his official mark of 54 does little to encourage; third last time out at least suggests some recent consistency, though, and he has experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Supremissy silks
Supremissy
Age 3 · 9-3
-93194
56
56
57
3
9-3
7/1 11/2 13/2
Fourth last time and well held ninth two starts back, Supremissy faces a stiff task ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, though she does bring distance and going experience to the table and a win three starts back shows she can find the winner's enclosure.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Keep The Gold silks
Keep The Gold
Age 4 · 9-3
-25497
54
57
63
4
9-3
17/2 7/1 8/1
Ranked second of 13 on our rating, Keep The Gold arrives on a quick 19-day turnaround with experience of today's distance and going in his favour, and a fourth three starts back hints at better lurking; winless in his last five starts, however, and the 129 lb burden from stall 14 is the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Kyber Crystal silks
Kyber Crystal
Age 7 · 8-12
050557
49
49
55
7
8-12
11/1 20/1 9/1
Winless in her last six starts, Kyber Crystal has shown little to suggest she can reverse that trend from stall 11 carrying 124 lb, though she has run over today's distance and going before and our rating edges above her official mark.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Royal Duke silks
Royal Duke
Age 5 · 8-9
756507
45
40
51
5
8-9
12/1 11/1 10/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Royal Duke is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns just three days after his latest outing.
AI verdict

SR 40 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Cape Sovereign
1 Impressor 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Bibendum 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
4 Hvar 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 33/1 Bet365
5 Without Flaw 8/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 Paddy Power
6 Harry Mole 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 Bet365
7 Cotai Starlight 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 12/1 Bet365
8 Opal Storm 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
9 Never Dark 7/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 7/1 Bet365
10 Crafty Spirit 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 15/2 Bet365
11 Supremissy 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
12 Keep The Gold 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 Bet365
13 Kyber Crystal 11/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 23.00 11/1 Bet365
14 Royal Duke 12/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Harry Mole

Speculative

Harry Mole owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Steph Hollinshead Dougie Costello
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Crafty Spirit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · John Wainwright
✓ Value Signal

Hvar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · John & Sean Quinn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Harry Mole
50.3 7/2
2 10. Crafty Spirit
48.1 15/2
3 12. Keep The Gold
46.4 17/2
4 9. Never Dark
44.8 7/1
5 11. Supremissy
44.2 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Harry Mole
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 9 · 9-4
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-3
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-3
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 9-3
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 9 · 9-9
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

3
Age 5 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 7 · 8-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-5
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

14
Age 5 · 8-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Harry Mole
Confidence: Speculative

Harry Mole (SR:66, 4/1) is the clear class leader in this field — his SR of 66 is the highest by 5 points over Crafty Spirit (SR:61) and he is the only runner combining DistFit:+ AND GoingFit:+ at today's 5f on good ground. His form of 052233 shows consistent place involvement at this class level, and Carlisle's sharp 5f track rewards horses who handle the going well — he does exactly that. Trainer Steph Hollinshead's 5% strike rate is a mild concern, but Dougie Costello (7%) is an experienced northern claimer who knows the track, and critically there is no market drift — the 4/1 holds without shortening or lengthening, suggesting quiet confidence. The weight of 9-5 is manageable, sitting mid-field in the handicap with no punishing top-weight burden. Each-way alternative: Kyber Crystal. Main danger: Keep The Gold — Keep The Gold has steamed in 30% from its opening price, jockey Connor Beasley posts a 15% career strike rate, and the 9-3 weight is lenient for an SR of 57 — the market move is the strongest single signal in the race and demands respect even though the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Steph Hollinshead's 5% strike rate (98 runners) is notably poor — only 1 in 20 runners wins, making it statistically hard to trust even a class-leader from this yard.
  • Jockey Dougie Costello's 7% strike rate across 177 rides is below-par for a northern claimer; no market support (odds unmoved at 4/1) suggests insiders see no particular confidence today.
  • Form of 052233 shows Harry Mole has not won in 6 consecutive starts — consistent placing but a horse that keeps getting beaten, raising questions about his ability to convert under today's conditions.
  • Keep The Gold (SR:57) has been backed in sharply by 30% with a capable 15%-strike jockey (Connor Beasley), suggesting market intelligence points away from Harry Mole despite his superior SR.
Shortlist Harry Mole, Kyber Crystal, Keep The Gold, Never Dark
Each-way: Kyber Crystal Danger: Keep The Gold

🗺 The Course Class 6

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade