Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap · 5f180y
SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 63 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Amiata | 9/2 open 9.50 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 9.50 | 9/2 open 9.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Alfred Tennyson | 10/1 open 15.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Back Down Under | 9/2 open 9.50 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.50 | 9/2 open 9.50 | 5/1 Coral |
| 4 Cool Azul | 7/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.75 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 5 By The Lake | 10/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Gotta Catch'em All | 10/3 open 12.00 | 3/1 open 11.00 | 3/1 open 11.00 | 3/1 open 11.00 | 3/1 open 12.00 | 3/1 open 12.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 7 Jon Riggens | 7/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sovereign Cry | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Sporting Hero | 18/1 open 51.00 | 16/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 41.00 | 16/1 open 41.00 | 16/1 open 41.00 | 16/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Smoke Them Out | 14/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Tornado Kiss | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 12 Mary Shoelaces | 12/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 All The Girls | 7/1 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 14 Flaming Rib | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cool Azul owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cool Azul (SR:90, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 7 points clear of the next best — and that ability edge is backed by genuine course form (W1P1 at Navan) and a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip of 5f180y. The recent form string 223712 shows a win just 9 days ago, indicating peak fitness, and trainer A Oliver at 11% with W J Lee (14%) is a competent combination. The mark is up 6lb on the last win which is the one caution, but the SR advantage over the rest of this 12,000 euro handicap field is significant enough to absorb that rise. The 11/4 price implies around 27% market probability — our 32% estimate reflects the SR dominance and course-distance suitability combining more strongly than the market has priced. Each-way alternative: Gotta Catch'em All. Main danger: Gotta Catch'em All — Gotta Catch'em All has steamed in 20% in the market (the strongest positive move in the field), holds course form W1P1 at Navan, has a confirmed DistFit:+ at this trip, and blinkers fitted suggest connections expect a career-best — at 17/2 the market money is meaningful.