Christmas Community Raceday 13th Dec Handicap Stakes · 5f182y
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Rogue Attraction | 9/4 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 5.00 | 85/40 open 5.00 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Invincible Boy | 13/2 open 15.00 | 6/1 open 13.00 | 6/1 open 13.00 | 6/1 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 13.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Rikki Tiki Tavi | 14/1 open 29.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 23.00 | 12/1 open 23.00 | 12/1 open 23.00 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Here Forever | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Go Vince Go | 7/2 open 8.50 | 10/3 open 7.00 | 10/3 open 7.50 | 10/3 open 7.50 | 10/3 open 7.00 | 10/3 open 7.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Tip Foster | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Zarvali | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Town Queen | 5/2 open 2.20 | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.38 | 11/4 open 2.38 | 5/2 open 2.25 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 Paddy Power |
| 9 Kody B | 18/1 open 34.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Trust Amy | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Rogue Attraction owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Rogue Attraction (SR 86, 11/4) leads the field on ability, carries a manageable 9-9, and brings proven course form (W1P2 at Carlisle) with a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip. The market has spoken loudly — 22% in from opening — and Edward Bethell (16% strike rate, 629 runners) booking Daniel Tudhope (16% strike rate, 867 runners) is a high-quality connections pairing for this level. The class drop of one tier further eases the task, and while the MarkMv:+3 is a mild negative, it is modest and easily offset by the weight advantage over Town Queen's superior form. The GoingFit:~ is the one note of caution, but course familiarity at Carlisle compensates. Each-way alternative: Go Vince Go. Main danger: Town Queen — Town Queen (SR 87, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field, carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2, has GoingFit:+ confirmed on today's going, and arrives on a 2221 form string — though the 70-day absence and 43% market drift are the key concerns that keep her off the top spot.