Southwell (AW) 18:00 RESULTED
Class 6 27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 7f14y

Official Result

Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Heretic (IRE) David Probert · Michael Herrington
    2/1F
  2. 3/1
  3. 7/2
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Southwell (AW)

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 5 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Heretic silks
Heretic
Age 7 · 9-10
387321
51
61
56
7
9-10
11/4 32/17 5/2
Heretic arrives in cracking form — a winner last time out, second two starts back, and third three starts back — and his experience over today's trip and going is a clear plus; the main risk is that 136 lb is a hefty burden from stall ten.
AI verdict

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dumfries silks
Dumfries
Age 6 · 9-9
56-554
54
53
58
6
9-9
6/1 5/1 11/2
Dumfries has run over today's trip and going and comes here on a quick turnaround of just 14 days, suggesting he is in good order; our rating puts him ahead of his official mark, making him a genuine threat, though he remains winless in his last five starts and will need to find more.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Mereside Madness silks
Mereside Madness
Age 5 · 9-9
-70890
54
37
58
5
9-9
22/1 25/1 14/1
Ranked second of ten on ratings with a speed figure of 70 backing his claims, Mereside Madness has run over today's distance and going before and carries a workable 135 lb from stall six; winless in his last five starts, however, and a trainer operating at just 5% over 14 days is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

4
Captain Pickles silks
Captain Pickles
Age 4 · 9-8
112368
53
52
56
4
9-8
8/1 7/1 13/2
Captain Pickles has experience of today's trip and going, and showed smart form with a win five starts back and another six starts back, though back-to-back defeats in his last two runs — sixth and then eighth — are the obvious concern heading into this.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Lord Abama silks
Lord Abama
Age 7 · 9-8
977849
53
52
63
7
9-8
11/1 7/1 9/1
Winless in his last six starts, Lord Abama nevertheless rates as the one to beat on our figures, carrying 134 lb from stall seven over a trip and going he has experienced before; a fourth two starts back offers the most encouraging recent evidence, though his overall profile demands a degree of faith.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Beaming Light silks
Beaming Light
Age 6 · 9-7
656047
52
54
54
6
9-7
11/2 15/2 9/2
Winless in his last six starts, Beaming Light has run over today's trip and going before and comes here on a reasonable break of 28 days, though his record of finishing sixth or worse in recent starts gives little encouragement from stall nine off 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Turbo Command silks
Turbo Command
Age 9 · 9-6
5-5923
51
54
55
9
9-6
12/1 7/1 9/1
Turbo Command has placed twice in his last three starts, including a third last time out, but 98 days on the sidelines is a concern, and he remains yet to win in recent starts despite the distance and going experience.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Pink Socks silks
Pink Socks
Age 7 · 9-3
665960
48
27
48
7
9-3
40/1 22/1 25/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Pink Socks faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and returns after a 36-day break from stall one carrying 129 lb.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Cable Beach silks
Cable Beach
Age 5 · 9-1
44-374
46
60
49
5
9-1
3/1 4/1 5/2
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Cable Beach faces a stiff ask here; a return of 63 days adds uncertainty, though he has run over today's trip and going before, and a third three starts back offers a crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Captain Kinsella silks
Captain Kinsella
Age 4 · 9-0
774585
45
26
52
4
9-0
40/1 28/1 25/1
Captain Kinsella has been winless in his last six starts, finishing no better than fourth in that spell, and our figures rank him eighth of ten here, making him very hard to fancy; he does at least return on a quick turnaround with experience of today's trip and going in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Heretic 11/4 open 2.88 3/1 open 3.00 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 3/1 open 2.88 11/4 open 3.00 3/1 Paddy Power
2 Dumfries 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 Paddy Power
3 Mereside Madness 22/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
4 Captain Pickles 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 8/1 Bet365
5 Lord Abama 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Paddy Power
6 Beaming Light 11/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 Bet365
7 Turbo Command 12/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 8.00 14/1 Paddy Power
8 Pink Socks 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Cable Beach 3/1 open 6.00 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 3/1 Bet365
10 Captain Kinsella 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Heretic

Speculative

Heretic owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Michael Herrington David Probert
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cable Beach

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Tom Tate
✓ Value Signal

Captain Kinsella

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · John Gallagher
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Heretic
49.2 11/4
2 9. Cable Beach
47.3 3/1
3 6. Beaming Light
45.4 11/2
4 2. Dumfries
42.7 6/1
5 4. Captain Pickles
41.6 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cable Beach
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 9-10
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 5 · 9-1
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-7
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-8
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cable Beach
Confidence: Speculative

Cable Beach (SR:60, 10/3) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Heretic, but carries 9lb less than Heretic (9-1 vs 9-10) — a meaningful weight advantage that compounds the SR edge in a Class 6 sprint. The market has shortened 23% since opening, representing the sharpest credible move in the field from a yard with a 15% strike rate (Tom Tate) paired with Clifford Lee at 15% — the strongest trainer-jockey combination by strike rate on show. Course:W1P1 confirms Southwell suitability, DistFit:+ validates the 7f trip, and running off the same mark as the last win (MarkMv:=) means connections have not been punished for any recent improvement. The main concern is GoingFit:? — insufficient good-ground AW data — but the strong steam and weight concession from the favourite justify the confidence. Each-way alternative: Beaming Light. Main danger: Heretic — Heretic (SR:61, joint-top) is the field's highest-rated horse, has won at this course (Course:W1P2), is proven at the trip (DistFit:+) and going (GoingFit:+), and ran a placed effort just 11 days ago — the drift of 34% is the one serious question mark, but the raw form and course-distance profile make it the most dangerous rival to Cable Beach.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 63-day absence is the longest of any market rival and Cable Beach's recent form (44-374) shows no win in last 6 starts — needs to find significant improvement on return.
  • GoingFit:? on Southwell AW is a concrete data gap: if previous wins came on different surface/conditions, today's standard Fibresand strip is an unknown risk not a known positive.
  • SR:60 is actually marginally below Heretic's SR:61 — the primary analyst's 'joint-highest' framing flatters Cable Beach, and Heretic's market drift (out 34%) does not automatically validate Cable Bea…
  • Tom Tate's trainer strike rate of 15% is based on only 26 runners — a very small sample that lacks statistical reliability compared to established yards in this field.
Shortlist Cable Beach, Heretic, Beaming Light, Captain Pickles
Each-way: Beaming Light Danger: Heretic

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade