Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 1m0f1y
Favourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 122 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Enoch | 4/5 open 1.67 | 5/6 open 1.67 | 5/6 open 1.67 | 5/6 open 1.67 | 5/6 open 1.67 | 8/11 open 1.67 | 5/6 Paddy Power |
| 2 Irish Spring | 200/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Paniolo Creek | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | — | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Black Chiffon | 15/8 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 2.88 | 13/8 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 5 Classy Night | 100/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Colonnade | 9/2 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Open To Offers | 125/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 open 126.00 | 100/1 open 126.00 | 100/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Enoch owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Enoch (SR 157, 4/5) is a class apart in this field, carrying the highest SR by 5 points over Colonnade (SR 152) and is trained by John & Thady Gosden — a yard running at 24% strike rate — with William Buick aboard at 20%. The 335-day absence is the only concern, but a single run that produced a win with an SR of 157 signals a horse of genuine quality returning from a considered break rather than a problem horse. The 8% market drift is worth noting but does not override the SR dominance and quality of connections; Buick and Gosden do not run horses blind in Class 4 novices without believing they can win. At 4/5, the price is short but the ability margin over this field is substantial. Each-way alternative: Colonnade. Main danger: Colonnade — Colonnade (SR 152, 9/2) is the only other horse with a competitive SR, trained by Simon & Ed Crisford (20% strike rate), and while the 14% drift and tongue-tie addition suggest connections are not fully confident, a horse rated 152 in a field this weak cannot be dismissed entirely.