Southwell (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 4 27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes · 6f16y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nour (IRE) Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke
    4/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 7/4F
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Southwell (AW)

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Furturra silks
Furturra
Age 2 · 9-9
121240
80
81
86
2
9-9
10/1 6/1 9/1
Two wins in his last six starts, and Furturra has run over today's trip before, arriving here just seven days on from his last outing, which keeps him nicely fresh. A trainer in quiet form is the one reservation, but his profile over this distance makes him our pick from stall three at 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Persian Land silks
Persian Land
Age 2 · 9-7
126
78
84
90
2
9-7
11/1 4/1 10/1
Persian Land won three starts back and was runner-up two starts back, so the form foundation is solid, and he has run over today's trip before; the main concern is the 72-day absence ahead of his seasonal return.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Nour silks
Nour
Age 2 · 9-5
33
76
76
75
2
9-5
11/4 2/1 11/4
Winless in her last two starts and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Nour faces a stiff ask here, though consecutive thirds show some consistency and she has run over today's trip before, while 33 days between runs suggests she returns fresh.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Too Many Spirits silks
Too Many Spirits
Age 2 · 9-4
52241
75
81
79
2
9-4
15/2 4/1 15/2
Too Many Spirits arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going conditions, giving him a solid each-way profile at 130 lb from stall seven; the danger is that his speed rating of 68 leaves him something to find against the top-rated runner.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Statten Island silks
Statten Island
Age 2 · 9-4
444
75
67
85
2
9-4
14/1 13/2 14/1
Statten Island has run over today's trip and arrives here fresh after 34 days off, with our rating of 85 marking him out as a genuine threat from stall one, yet three consecutive fourths in recent starts leave him winless and a struggling trainer strike-rate of just 3% over the past fortnight is the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Lord Ragnar silks
Lord Ragnar
Age 2 · 9-3
02124
74
84
76
2
9-3
10/3 4/1 3/1
Ran well enough for second two starts back and scored three starts back, though he was only fourth last time out and has been unplaced in recent starts too; has run over today's trip and conditions, and 129 lb from stall two makes this a fair enough ask at a mark of 74.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Trust Yourself silks
Trust Yourself
Age 2 · 8-10
0061
61
81
75
2
8-10
5/2 FCST 9/4
Two unplaced efforts and a sixth in his last four starts make Trust Yourself hard to recommend, though he did win last time out ten days ago and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Furturra 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 Coral
2 Persian Land 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 10/1 open 5.00 12/1 Paddy Power
3 Nour 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 Coral
4 Too Many Spirits 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 15/2 Bet365
5 Statten Island 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Coral
6 Lord Ragnar 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 6.00 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 7/2 Paddy Power
7 Trust Yourself 5/2 open 5.00 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 9/4 5/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Trust Yourself

Speculative

Trust Yourself owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 James Tate Silvestre De Sousa
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lord Ragnar

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Ed Dunlop
✓ Value Signal

Statten Island

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Kevin Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Trust Yourself
55.1 5/2
2 6. Lord Ragnar
54.7 10/3
3 3. Nour
52.1 11/4
4 4. Too Many Spirits
49.7 15/2
5 1. Furturra
47.9 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Trust Yourself
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 2 · 8-10
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 81 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-5
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-3
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Trust Yourself
Confidence: Speculative

Trust Yourself (SR:81, 2/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-10, a meaningful advantage over rivals at 9-3 to 9-9, and has compressed spectacularly in the market — steaming in 32% to favouritism. The 0061 form string reads left-to-right as early struggles giving way to a sharp last-time-out win, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability over today's 6f on Good ground. James Tate operates at a 17% strike rate with 407 runners — one of the stronger trainer signals in this field — and Silvestre De Sousa (13%, 893) is a clear booking upgrade relative to most rivals' jockeys. The class rise (↑1) is a concern, but the weight allowance and market conviction comfortably offset it. Each-way alternative: Persian Land. Main danger: Lord Ragnar — Lord Ragnar (SR:84, 9/2) is the joint-highest-rated runner in the field on SR, carries only 9-3, has proven distance form (DistFit:+), and Billy Loughnane's 19% career strike rate is the best jockey figure on the card — despite the class rise, raw ability and light weight make him a genuine threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 0061 masks two very poor runs (0,0) before the '6' (placed) and a single win; the last-time-out victory may be a small-field fluke rather than genuine improvement.
  • GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ listed as confirmed, yet Southwell AW is a Fibresand surface — if those qualifiers relate to turf Good ground, they do not transfer directly to this unique artificial track.
  • Class rise ↑1 is acknowledged but the SR:81 is only middling in this field — Persian Land (SR:84) and Lord Ragnar (SR:84) both rate higher, with Lord Raglan ridden by Billy Loughnane who has a stando…
  • A 32% market move to 2/1 favouritism in a 2yo AW sprint is a flag for potential market manipulation or over-reaction to a single win; no course form on record increases the risk at a track with a pro…
Shortlist Trust Yourself, Persian Land, Lord Ragnar, Too Many Spirits
Each-way: Persian Land Danger: Lord Ragnar

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade