Colin Parker Raceday 1st Nov Nursery Handicap Stakes · 7f173y
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ten Clarets | 9/4 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Kanzi | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.38 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Bincimbal | 5/2 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Emerald Bay | 11/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Aurora Valkyrie | 20/1 | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ten Clarets owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ten Clarets (SR 85, 2/1) leads the field on ability and has been dramatically supported in the market — shortening 37% to go favourite, the strongest market move in the race by a wide margin. The K.R. Burke yard operates at 19% career strike rate from 716 runners, a top-tier operation for juvenile nurseries, and Pierre-Louis Jamin is a capable booking. The 4-2-3 form line (recent 3rd from a 4-2 sequence) shows consistent competitiveness at this level, and ClassMv:= means no class adjustment headache. At 9-9 Kanzi carries the same weight with a lower SR of 81, and the market's conviction on Ten Clarets — not Kanzi — is decisive here. Each-way alternative: Kanzi. Main danger: Kanzi — Kanzi (SR 81, 9/4) has a tidy 2-1 form line suggesting a progressive two-year-old who won last time out just 19 days ago, carries identical weight to Ten Clarets at 9-9, and the Charlie Johnston yard at 13% from 1324 runners knows how to place juveniles — the drift from opening price may simply reflect bookmaker caution rather than negative stable intelligence.