Bni Elli Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m3f209y
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 121 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blue Hercules | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 5/4 open 2.75 | 5/4 open 2.75 | 7/4 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Pacific Storm | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Phantom Recon | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Winday | 11/10 open 2.63 | 1/1 open 2.50 | 4/5 open 2.63 | 4/5 open 2.63 | evn open 2.63 | 1/1 open 2.10 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 5 Neswick | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Saaffya | 12/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Saaffya owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (79) and market confidence (45). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Phantom Recon (SR 140, 11/1) holds the second-highest SR in the field and is trained by George Scott whose 18% career strike rate is the best among all trainers represented here. While the market has drifted 33%, this is a genuinely open maiden where the two market leaders carry significant question marks — Blue Hercules has a confirmed poor record at today's distance (DistFit:-) and Winday hasn't run in 327 days. At 11/1, Phantom Recon represents the best combination of proven ability (SR 140 is competitive handicap range) and a trainer whose runners can be trusted to perform when fit after a 69-day break. The form reads 4-4, consistent placed efforts that suggest a horse ready to graduate. Each-way alternative: Neswick. Main danger: Neswick — Neswick carries the highest SR in the field at 147, has a 5lb weight advantage over the main field at 9-2, and despite drifting 21% in the market, that SR edge is real and could prove decisive if the market has simply overlooked the form.