Newton Abbot 19:12 RESULTED
Class 4 27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday Marilyn And Millie's Retirement Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Marilyn And Millie's Retirement Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 2m4f216y

Official Result

Marilyn And Millie's Retirement Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Thickthorn Tom (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    5/4F
  2. 100/30
  3. 13/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Navan

13:44–17:24 · 8 races

Carlisle

14:00–17:00 · 7 races

Lingfield (AW)

14:22–16:55 · 6 races

Ffos Las

14:37–17:07 · 6 races

Newton Abbot

16:42–19:42 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Quick Sharpener silks
Quick Sharpener
Age 9 · 12-1
5PP-10
111
93
128
9
12-1
8/1 10/1 15/2
Won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, Quick Sharpener arrives here as the top-rated runner in this field; the 57-day break and a recent unplaced effort are the only notes of caution, but his class — underlined by a rating of 128 — makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lady Kara silks
Lady Kara
Age 5 · 12-0
-3111U
110
112
122
5
12-0
10/3 9/2 11/4
Lady Kara arrives on the back of three wins in her last five starts, including back-to-back victories two and three starts back, and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the unseating last time out is the one question connections must answer.
AI verdict

SR 112 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Thickthorn Tom silks
Thickthorn Tom
Age 6 · 11-11
-21211
107
110
110
6
11-11
11/8 3/2 5/4
Thickthorn Tom has won two of his last two starts and boasts three wins in his last five, with experience over today's trip and going adding confidence; the main concern is 42 days off since that latest victory.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
It's A Breeze silks
It's A Breeze
Age 7 · 11-10
F-P411
106
99
105
7
11-10
9/4 31/19 9/4
It's A Breeze has won his last two starts in fine style and arrives here in excellent heart, with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; the main concern is whether 164 lb tests his resolve under a big weight.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Mcgregors Charge silks
Mcgregors Charge
Age 8 · 10-2
P7-542
81
91
94
8
10-2
7/2 4/1 10/3
Winless in his last five starts, with a pulled up among them, Mcgregors Charge is hard to fancy on our figures despite the step up to second last time out; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 12 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Quick Sharpener 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 Coral
2 Lady Kara 10/3 open 7.00 11/4 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.50 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 Bet365
3 Thickthorn Tom 11/8 open 2.63 5/4 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.62 5/4 open 2.63 11/8 Bet365
4 It's A Breeze 9/4 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.63 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 Paddy Power
5 Mcgregors Charge 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Ladbrokes

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Thickthorn Tom

Live signal

Thickthorn Tom owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Dan Skelton Harry Skelton
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Kara

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
✓ Value Signal

Quick Sharpener

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

8/1 · Jamie Snowden
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Thickthorn Tom
61.9 11/8
2 2. Lady Kara
60.0 10/3
3 4. It's A Breeze
59.5 9/4
4 1. Quick Sharpener
56.4 8/1
5 5. Mcgregors Charge
54.4 7/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Lady Kara
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 11-11
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-10
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 12-0
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 112 🐾

SR 112 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 10-2
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 9 · 12-1
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lady Kara
Confidence: Speculative

Lady Kara (SR:112, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner in this field and brings a red-hot form string of -3111U — three consecutive wins before an unseating that tells us nothing about ability. A 24% market steam to 9/2 is significant in a five-runner field and signals informed money. Course:W2P3 at Newton Abbot is outstanding specialist form, and GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground suits. Yes, she's running off a mark 5lb higher than her last win (MarkMv:+5), but that small premium is offset by the lightest top-weight she can command given the SR advantage over the field. Each-way alternative: Thickthorn Tom. Main danger: Thickthorn Tom — Thickthorn Tom (SR:110, 7/4) is the marginal favourite with an excellent recent form string of -21211, Course:W1P1 at Newton Abbot, and the powerful Dan/Harry Skelton combination who strike at 21%/27% respectively — the class rise (↑1) and a 12lb higher mark than last win are the only concerns, but this yard manages progressive horses expertly.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Thickthorn Tom is priced at 7/4 favourite — significantly shorter than Lady Kara's 9/2 — with a superior recent form string (-21211, five wins/places from five) and is ridden by Harry Skelton (27% st…
  • Charlie Hammond's very limited book of 40 rides raises a red flag about experience and opportunities at this level; a 12% strike rate on a small sample is far less reassuring than the market-topping…
  • Lady Kara's HG code is 'ht' (hard/good-to-firm preferred) while today's going at Newton Abbot may be on the softer side of good in late August; Thickthorn Tom's 'tb' (turf/good-to-soft) gives him a b…
  • A +5 mark rise may sound small, but Lady Kara is trained by a yard with only a 9% strike rate from 632 runners — a low-volume operator unlikely to have the bench strength to counteract a handicapper'…
Shortlist Lady Kara, Thickthorn Tom, Mcgregors Charge
Each-way: Thickthorn Tom Danger: Thickthorn Tom

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f216y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade