Newton Abbot 17:42 RESULTED
Class 5 27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday Itus Event Support Services Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race

Itus Event Support Services Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m0f167y

Official Result

Itus Event Support Services Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Buxted Reel (IRE) Stan Sheppard · Tom Lacey
    11/8F
  2. 9/1
  3. 11/4
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Navan

13:44–17:24 · 8 races

Carlisle

14:00–17:00 · 7 races

Lingfield (AW)

14:22–16:55 · 6 races

Ffos Las

14:37–17:07 · 6 races

Newton Abbot

16:42–19:42 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 4 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Run Away Joe silks
Run Away Joe
Age 6 · 11-12
4U909-
94
69
96
6
11-12
SP FCST 4/1
Run Away Joe has run over today's going and our rating just edges him ahead of these rivals, yet he arrives winless in his last five starts and a 224-day absence is the significant concern here.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.

2
Buxted Reel silks
Buxted Reel
Age 7 · 11-7
36-823
89
92
88
7
11-7
15/8 2/1 32/17
Winless in his last five starts but the placed efforts — third last time out and a second two starts back — show he retains ability; the 19-day turnaround is fine and he has run over today's trip and going, though 161 lb is a stiff burden for a horse ranked fifth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Most Wanted silks
Most Wanted
Age 8 · 11-6
P9-137
88
86
92
8
11-6
9/1 13/2 9/1
Most Wanted showed smart form when winning three starts back, and a third two starts back underlines his recent consistency; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, and 160 lb is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Linden Lane silks
Linden Lane
Age 6 · 11-4
4-5355
86
93
91
6
11-4
4/1 13/2 10/3
Linden Lane arrives here 39 days after his last outing in fair trim, and his rating of 91 underlines why he merits respect despite being winless in recent starts; third three starts back hints at capability, and experience over today's trip and going on 158 lb makes him a solid each-way proposition.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Pivotal Days silks
Pivotal Days
Age 4 · 11-3
4-96P
88
58
87
4
11-3
40/1 FCST 33/1
Pivotal Days was pulled up last time out and has been winless in his last four starts, making him hard to fancy from stall to finish, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns after a 36-day break with some freshness possible.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Ask Peter silks
Ask Peter
Age 7 · 11-1
74-246
83
88
81
7
11-1
3/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Ask Peter faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a second three starts back offers a flicker of hope, though 155 lb does her no favours.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Estate Planning silks
Estate Planning
Age 5 · 11-1
8405-4
83
91
91
5
11-1
7/2 9/2 7/2
Estate Planning has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 91 suggests he holds more than his official mark of 83 implies; the concern is he has been winless in his last five starts and returns after 72 days off carrying 155 lb.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Run Away Joe 9/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 7/1 Coral
2 Buxted Reel 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 2/1 2/1 2/1 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 Paddy Power
3 Most Wanted 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Paddy Power
4 Linden Lane 4/1 open 8.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 8.00 4/1 Bet365
5 Pivotal Days 40/1 open 34.00 35/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 Bet365
6 Ask Peter 3/1 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 Paddy Power
7 Estate Planning 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Buxted Reel

Speculative

Buxted Reel owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Tom Lacey Stan Sheppard
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Linden Lane

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Mrs C Williams
✓ Value Signal

Pivotal Days

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Syd Hosie
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Buxted Reel
59.4 15/8
2 4. Linden Lane
56.2 4/1
3 6. Ask Peter
54.8 3/1
4 7. Estate Planning
54.6 7/2
5 3. Most Wanted
47.9 9/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Linden Lane
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-7
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 11-1
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 11-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-4
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-6
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Linden Lane
Confidence: Speculative

Linden Lane (SR:93, 4/1, Wgt:11-4) holds the joint-top SR in the field and has been backed in aggressively from a morning price — a 38% market move inward is the most significant money signal in this race and should not be ignored. Three places at Newton Abbot (Course:W0P3) confirms a genuine course affinity on a track that rewards familiarity, and she runs off the same mark as her last outing (no ClassMv penalty). The 6 further lbs she concedes to Buxted Reel is offset by her superior course knowledge, the strong market move, and a consistent place-finding form string that suits a small 7-runner field. Moderate distance fitness (DistFit:~) is the one caveat, but the money coming in late suggests connections are happy with the conditions. Each-way alternative: Buxted Reel. Main danger: Buxted Reel — Buxted Reel (SR:92, 15/8, DistFit:+, GoingFit:+) is proven at this trip and on this going, and at the favourite's price the market clearly rates it highly despite a MarkMv:+26 penalty and a one-class step up — if Tom Lacey has the horse spot-on after 19 days' rest, the distance and going fitness could prove decisive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 4-5355 shows Linden Lane has not won in her last five completed starts, suggesting she is a consistent place-getter but lacks the finishing power to convert in a competitive 7-runner fiel…
  • Trainer Mrs C Williams strikes at only 10% with a small yard (50 runners), and apprentice claimer Miss Eleanor Williams claiming 7lbs is an inexperienced partnership under pressure at a crucial marke…
  • Buxted Reel (15/8 favourite, SR:92) is only 1 SR point behind, carries 3lbs less, has been raised just 26lbs on the mark, and is trained by Tom Lacey (17%) with Stan Sheppard (12%) — a stronger handl…
  • Moderate distance fitness (DistFit:~) is a genuine flag, not a caveat: if Linden Lane is not proven at this trip, the 38% market move may reflect place rather than win confidence from connections.
Shortlist Linden Lane, Buxted Reel, Ask Peter, Estate Planning
Each-way: Buxted Reel Danger: Buxted Reel

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m0f167y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade