Lingfield (AW) 16:22 RESULTED
Class 6 27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes · 1m2f

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kev (GB) Tom Marquand · William Muir & Chris Grassick
    16/1
  2. 11/2
  3. 3/1F
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Rogers Dream silks
Rogers Dream Non-Runner
Age 5 · 9-9
D8/443
46
46OR
5
9-9
SP
1
Freedom Bay silks
Freedom Bay
Age 4 · 9-9
7-0132
49
59
52
4
9-9
4/1 FCST 7/2
Consistent recent form makes Freedom Bay an appealing pick here — third two starts back and a winner three starts back, she arrives on a sound 24-day break with experience of today's trip and conditions, and her overall profile justifies the confidence from stall ten carrying 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Iftikhaar silks
Iftikhaar
Age 7 · 9-9
8-2560
46
26
49
7
9-9
25/1 20/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, Iftikhaar does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and his second four starts back offers a crumb of encouragement, though a 124-day absence and an unplaced latest run are clear negatives heading into this.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Kaaress silks
Kaaress
Age 5 · 9-9
186549
47
30
58
5
9-9
25/1 25/1 20/1
Kaaress franked her recent form with a win six starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, while our rating ranks her clear of this field; the risk is a string of disappointing efforts in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

4
Kev silks
Kev
Age 4 · 9-9
-09805
48
37
50
4
9-9
14/1 FCST 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, Kev has run over today's going before and comes here fresh enough on a 15-day break, but a fifth last time out represents his best recent effort and an official rating of 48 leaves him with plenty to find against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Lady Aiyana silks
Lady Aiyana
Age 4 · 9-9
6-6872
46
47
48
4
9-9
6/1 7/1 6/1
Winless in her last five starts, with a sixth, sixth, eighth and seventh preceding a runner-up effort last time, Lady Aiyana faces a stiff task from the bottom of the rankings, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a return to form last time out offers slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Pride Eye silks
Pride Eye
Age 4 · 9-9
107445
49
52
50
4
9-9
7/2 7/2 10/3
Pride Eye won one from six in recent starts and returns just nine days on, which keeps fitness ticking over, though consistency has been elusive with three top-five finishes offset by lesser efforts; she has run over today's trip and going before and carries 135 lb from stall 11.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Senseofentitlement silks
Senseofentitlement
Age 6 · 9-9
98-659
42
14
39
6
9-9
125/1 50/1 80/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Senseofentitlement has been consistently out of the frame, with finishes no better than fifth in recent starts; 100 days off the track adds to the concern, though he has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 14 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

9
Sharma d'Amour silks
Sharma d'Amour
Age 4 · 9-9
78-529
50
47
50
4
9-9
9/1 13/2 15/2
Sharma d'Amour was a solid second two starts back but has since slipped to a well-beaten ninth last time out, and 110 days off the track is a notable concern; she has run over today's trip and going, yet remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Sunset In Paris silks
Sunset In Paris
Age 8 · 9-9
-99456
43
18
44
8
9-9
50/1 33/1 28/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11th of 13 on our figures, Sunset In Paris is hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip and going before; the 50-day absence adds another question mark for a gelding whose recent efforts have been going the wrong way.
AI verdict

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

11
Taskheer silks
Taskheer
Age 8 · 9-9
-23498
47
50
53
8
9-9
13/2 11/2 6/1
Taskheer shaped with promise when third and second in recent starts, and has experience of today's distance and going, while our rating of 52 puts him right in contention; the main risk is a 72-day absence and winless recent form.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Versatile silks
Versatile
Age 5 · 9-9
90866R
49
43
50
5
9-9
12/1 13/2 11/1
Versatile refused on his latest start just seven days ago, which raises a significant question mark, and he has been winless in recent starts; experience over today's trip and going offers some encouragement, but the consistency of mid-to-rear finishes beforehand makes him hard to trust.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.

13
Ernie McCrew silks
Ernie McCrew
Age 3 · 9-2
674552
51
60
52
3
9-2
5/1 FCST 4/1
Ernie McCrew has been a model of consistency in recent starts, finishing second last time out after a string of placed and competitive efforts, and he has experience on today's going — the main concern is that he remains yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Maryland Star silks
Maryland Star
Age 3 · 9-2
-38057
46
24
43
3
9-2
28/1 25/1 28/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Maryland Star makes little appeal here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 24 days between runs leaves her reasonably fresh, but that is about as far as the case for her goes.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Rogers Dream
1 Freedom Bay 4/1 7/2 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
2 Iftikhaar 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
3 Kaaress 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 Bet365
4 Kev 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365
5 Lady Aiyana 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 Paddy Power
6 Pride Eye 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
8 Senseofentitlement 125/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 51.00 125/1 Bet365
9 Sharma d'Amour 9/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
10 Sunset In Paris 50/1 40/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
11 Taskheer 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.50 7/1 Coral
12 Versatile 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365
13 Ernie McCrew 5/1 open 5.00 4/1 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
14 Maryland Star 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Freedom Bay

Speculative

Freedom Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Zoe Hawkins Callum Hutchinson
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ernie McCrew

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · J S Moore
✓ Value Signal

Maryland Star

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Dean Ivory
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Freedom Bay
48.0 4/1
2 13. Ernie McCrew
46.7 5/1
3 5. Lady Aiyana
43.5 6/1
4 6. Pride Eye
43.4 7/2
5 11. Taskheer
42.9 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Freedom Bay
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 9-9
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 3 · 9-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 8 · 9-9
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.

4
Kev
Age 4 · 9-9
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 37 🐾

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Freedom Bay
Confidence: Speculative

Freedom Bay leads this field with SR:59, matching Ernie McCrew (SR:60) at the top of the ability range, but carries 9-9 versus Ernie McCrew's 9-2 — a 7lb swing that partially offsets the SR gap. Crucially, Freedom Bay's form string 7-0132 shows a clear upward trajectory into recent placed efforts, and the horse has a place at Lingfield (Course:W0P1), confirming track suitability. GoingFit:~ is moderate but acceptable on AW Good, and ClassMv:= means no step up in class. The 7% market drift is a mild negative, but at 4/1 in a weak Class 6 field with a 3-star AI rating shared only by Ernie McCrew, the value case remains intact against a field where most runners sit below SR:55 with multiple fitness or going concerns. Each-way alternative: Ernie McCrew. Main danger: Ernie McCrew — Ernie McCrew carries 7lb less than Freedom Bay (9-2 vs 9-9), holds the joint-highest SR in the field at 60, and the 3-year-old weight allowance in a classified stakes makes this a genuine physical edge over 1m2f on AW Good.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ernie McCrew holds the top SR (60 vs 59) AND a 7lb weight advantage — that combination is significant in a Class 6 AW race where margins are tight and weight often proves decisive.
  • Freedom Bay's form string 7-0132 includes a '0' (likely non-completion or last) and the two placed efforts may have come against weaker opposition than today's realistic dangers at 4/1.
  • Trainer Zoe Hawkins strikes at only 11% with 28 runners — a modest record — and jockey Callum Hutchinson at 12% from 531 rides suggests a journeyman pairing unlikely to extract maximum effort.
  • The 7% market drift out is a mild but concrete negative signal, especially when Ernie McCrew is also 4/1 with no drift, implying informed money has moved away from Freedom Bay specifically.
Shortlist Freedom Bay, Ernie McCrew, Pride Eye, Taskheer
Each-way: Ernie McCrew Danger: Ernie McCrew

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m2f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade