Navan Racecourse Nursery Handicap · 5f180y
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Supreme Lord | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Howlin Wolf | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Someday Somewhere | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Prince Of Peppard | 9/2 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Two Brigade | 9/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Lucy's Promise | 14/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 No Time Faults | 50/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Little Diva | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 Betfred |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Supreme Lord owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Supreme Lord (SR 76, 2/1) shares the top SR rating with Howlin Wolf but carries 9-12 — only 6lb more than the lightest runners — and crucially is ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle (15% career strike rate, 1052 rides of experience), the strongest jockey booking in the race by a clear margin. Its form reads 3-5-5, showing consistent mid-field finishes that suggest a horse finding its level, and at a nursery handicap worth €9,000 over 5f180y on good to firm, the yard (Robson De Aguiar, 13%) is a competent handler. The market has stayed firm at 2/1 without drifting, which contrasts sharply with Howlin Wolf's 22% drift, suggesting the money is behind Supreme Lord rather than the rival sharing its SR. Each-way alternative: Someday Somewhere. Main danger: Howlin Wolf — Howlin Wolf (SR 76, 10/3) is the only runner with a proven DistFit:+ at today's trip and won last time out (form 7-7-4-1), but the 22% market drift and a MarkMv:+7 running off a mark 7lb higher than at its last win are significant concerns that temper its claims.