Newton Abbot 16:42 RESULTED
Class 4 27 Aug 2026

Last Thursday Celebrating National Racehorse Week Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Celebrating National Racehorse Week Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race) · 2m2f110y

Official Result

Celebrating National Racehorse Week Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner St Just In Time (GB) Paul O'Brien · Harry Derham
    4/9F
  2. 3/1
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 days, 6 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Iwanttobreakfree silks
Iwanttobreakfree Non-Runner
Age 4 · 11-0
232
4
11-0
SP
1
St Just In Time silks
St Just In Time
Age 6 · 11-4
4342/3
104
108
104OR
6
11-4
8/11 5/6 2/3
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Wait At The Gate silks
Wait At The Gate
Age 7 · 11-4
41-2P4
136
7
11-4
15/2 15/2 13/2
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Nightflyer silks
Nightflyer
Age 4 · 11-0
1540-5
153
4
11-0
9/4 7/4 9/4
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Maria Mes silks
Maria Mes
Age 5 · 10-11
50-44
134
5
10-11
18/1 8/1 16/1
SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Morissette silks
Morissette
Age 6 · 10-11
33253-
138
6
10-11
22/1 12/1 20/1
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Iwanttobreakfree
1 St Just In Time 8/11 open 1.83 4/6 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 open 1.83 8/11 Bet365
2 Wait At The Gate 15/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Nightflyer 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 Bet365
5 Maria Mes 18/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 William Hill
6 Morissette 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nightflyer

Live signal

Nightflyer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (85) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill Jonjo O'Neill Jr.
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Wait At The Gate

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · David Bridgwater
✓ Value Signal

Morissette

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · D Summersby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Nightflyer
70.4 9/4
2 2. Wait At The Gate
65.5 15/2
3 1. St Just In Time
63.6 8/11
4 5. Maria Mes
57.4 18/1
5 6. Morissette
56.0 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
St Just In Time
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-4
8/11
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 11-0
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 7 · 11-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 136 🐾

SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 10-11
18/1
★★★☆☆ SR 134 🐾

SR 134 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
St Just In Time
Confidence: Speculative

St Just In Time (SR:108, 4/6) is the market leader for good reason despite having the lowest SR in the field. The 12% market support (steaming into 4/6) from what was presumably a longer price signals strong stable confidence, and Harry Derham's 26% strike rate from only 38 runners indicates a sharp, selective yard that rarely wastes ammunition. The tongue-tie application and 12-day turnaround suggest the horse is fit and primed. Although the SR of 108 is technically below the competitive range, in a five-runner maiden hurdle where the main SR rival Nightflyer (SR:153) arrives on a 77-day absence with a patchy form line (1540-5) and a trainer strike rate of only 13%, the raw ability edge may not translate on the day — and weight is equal at 11-4 for both. The market is telling a clear story here and the connections signal backs it up. Each-way alternative: Nightflyer. Main danger: Nightflyer — Nightflyer's SR of 153 is comfortably the highest in this field and Jonjo O'Neill Jr. at 19% is a strong booking — if the 77-day break has left this horse fresh rather than rusty, raw ability alone could prove decisive in a weak maiden.

Case against 4 clamped
  • St Just In Time's form reads 4342/3 — five starts over hurdles without a single win; this is a maiden hurdle and the horse has repeatedly shown it finds a way to finish placed but not first.
  • SR of 108 is the lowest in the field by a significant margin; even in a weak five-runner maiden, Nightflyer (SR:153), Wait At The Gate (SR:136) and Morissette (SR:138) all carry meaningfully higher a…
  • Tongue-tie applied for the first time is an unknown quantity — it can unsettle a horse rather than improve it, and any negative reaction would be race-ruining at a short price of 4/6.
  • Paul O'Brien's 17% strike rate from 52 rides is modest, and backing a horse at 4/6 requires near-certainty; the market may be overstating yard confidence in a small sample (38 runners) for Derham.
Shortlist St Just In Time, Nightflyer, Wait At The Gate
Each-way: Nightflyer Danger: Nightflyer

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m2f110y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade