O'Neill's Bar Beginners Steeplechase · 2m5f180y
SR 98 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 90 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Burru | 7/1 open 6.50 | — | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Coded Welder | 5/1 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.33 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Frankie's Freebie | 7/2 open 6.50 | — | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 Coral |
| 4 Happy Me | 28/1 open 19.00 | — | 28/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Juke Hill | 11/2 open 5.50 | — | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Le Kap | 11/2 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Mephisto | 16/1 open 29.00 | — | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Rattledelatch | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Kasper Hauser | 3/1 | — | 3/1 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Coded Welder owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 93 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 98 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Kasper Hauser (SR 108, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a meaningful margin over Coded Welder (SR 104) and carries the lightest weight at 11-0 — a 12lb advantage over the rest of the field at 11-12, which is significant in a beginners' chase over 2m5f on good ground. His form reads 52-531 with the rightmost digit a '1', meaning he won last time out just 20 days ago, suggesting peak fitness. Trainer Kevin Thomas Coleman's yard is ticking along at 6% and the 3/1 market price reflects genuine confidence without being prohibitively short. GoingFit:~ is a mild flag but not a disqualifier, and being only 4 years old in a field of older horses suggests he has more scope for improvement over fences. Each-way alternative: Coded Welder. Main danger: Coded Welder — Coded Welder (SR 104, 4/1) has confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only horse in the field with both flags positive — meaning today's conditions and trip are exactly where he's proven, and a tongue-tie first applied here could sharpen him up further.