Emilies 21st Birthday Handicap Stakes · 7f1y
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Lerwick | 17/2 open 6.00 | — | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 2 Spirit Of Breeze | 9/2 open 6.50 | — | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Split Elevens | 13/2 open 6.00 | — | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 15/2 Coral |
| 4 Elvetham | 10/1 open 8.50 | — | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Quick Quasar | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Midnight's Dream | 13/2 open 9.00 | — | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Wind Summer | 40/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Francisco | 18/1 open 26.00 | — | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Chelio | 7/1 open 10.00 | — | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Blue Samuna | 28/1 open 19.00 | — | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Captive Beauty | 8/1 open 6.50 | — | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 12 My Dad Tom | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Oxford Circus | 5/2 open 11.00 | — | 5/2 open 9.50 | 5/2 open 9.50 | 5/2 open 9.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Split Elevens owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Midnight's Dream (SR:68, 5/1, Wgt:9-9) is the highest-rated runner in this field by a clear margin and carries a favourable weight — 11lb less than top-weight Lerwick. The market has backed it in sharply by 29%, confirming professional confidence, and GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground. Trainer Joseph Parr's 4% strike rate is modest, but Daniel Muscutt is a strong booking at 12% career SR and the market money is the overriding signal here. The DistFit:- is a concern at 7f1y, but the class and rating advantage over this field is decisive in a low-grade Class 6 handicap where the SR ceiling is just 68. Each-way alternative: Split Elevens. Main danger: Oxford Circus — Oxford Circus (SR:61, 4/1) has shortened 42% in the market — the most dramatic move in the field — carrying the lightest weight at 9-2 for a big yard (James Owen, 18% strike rate) with Callum Shepherd booked; the market is clearly on, and light weight can offset the GoingFit:- concern at this level.