Bar 1 Betting Rated Novice Steeplechase · 1m7f120y
Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 167 and market confidence at 2/1 make this the class act.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tell Us This | 7/2 | — | 10/3 | 10/3 | 10/3 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Cappa Hill | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Killeemore Lad | 9/4 open 2.63 | — | 9/4 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.50 | 9/4 open 2.38 | 5/2 open 2.38 | 5/2 Betfred |
| 4 Luker's Tipple | 7/4 open 3.25 | — | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Missus Beeton | 14/1 | — | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Playtime | 9/1 | — | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Luker's Tipple owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (93) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 167 and market confidence at 2/1 make this the class act.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Luker's Tipple (SR:167, 2/1) is the standout on every meaningful signal. The SR of 167 — top-class on the 0-200 scale — is a full 14 points clear of the next-best Killeemore Lad (SR:153) and dwarfs the rest of the field. The form string 2-3411 shows back-to-back wins leading into today, confirming peak condition, and this is a 5-year-old with youth and progression on its side. Gavin Cromwell's yard has sent it out just 7 days ago in winning form, and crucially the market has tightened 9% — the money is coming for this horse, not leaving it. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground, and while DistFit is only moderate (~), there is no red-flag evidence of a distance problem — merely an insufficient win rate to trigger the + flag. Each-way alternative: Killeemore Lad. Main danger: Killeemore Lad — Killeemore Lad (SR:153, 15/8) is the second-highest-rated horse, ridden by the experienced Darragh O'Keeffe, and despite drifting 16% the five-star AI probability rating and recent form of 822/F2 — which includes a fall rather than a beaten run — means ability is not in question if jumping holds up.