Dumfries
SpeculativeDumfries owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Racing Again On Saturday 29 August Handicap Stakes · 1m0f100y
SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 48 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dumfries | 5/1 open 5.50 | — | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Amarachi | 13/2 open 15.00 | — | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 12.00 | 11/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Saxon Grace | 5/4 open 2.38 | — | 5/4 | 5/4 | 5/4 open 2.20 | 6/5 open 2.25 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Back From Dubai | 8/1 open 6.50 | — | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 Coral |
| 5 Copper And Five | 13/2 open 8.50 | — | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Ten Sixty Six | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 7 Sweet Cicely | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Aurora's Doublesix | 100/1 open 81.00 | — | 80/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 open 151.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Royal Sizzler | 20/1 open 13.00 | — | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Harswell River | 16/1 open 9.50 | — | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 9.00 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dumfries owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Saxon Grace (SR:62, 5/4) is the clear class leader in this field by SR margin — a 6-point gap over the next-best Dumfries (SR:56) — and that advantage is amplified by a favourable weight of 9-8, sitting below top-weight Dumfries (9-12). The recent form of 464031 shows a last-time-out win just 5 days ago, indicating peak condition right now. Trainer Daragh Bourke has a respectable 9% strike rate from a small yard (47 runners), and jockey Shane Gray (11%) maintains consistent booking, suggesting connections are confident. While GoingFit and DistFit are both unknown quantities (?), the SR dominance and fresh winning form override those uncertainties in a Class 6 field of this quality. Each-way alternative: Dumfries. Main danger: Dumfries — Dumfries (SR:56, 4/1) has an outstanding Course:W2P2 record at Beverley, a GoingFit:+ on today's good to firm ground, has steamed in 19% in the market, and drops a class — that combination of course specialist form and market confidence makes it the most credible threat to Saxon Grace.