Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Not My Type owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/8William HaggasTom Marquand
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Empress Princess
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · James Tate✓ Value Signal
Queen Of Tears
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Tim Easterby◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Not My Type (SR:156, 7/4) is the standout on ability, sitting 4 SR points clear of Empress Princess and a full 21 points ahead of the next best. William Haggas (21% strike rate, 1,062 runners) is one of the most reliable novice trainers in the country, and Tom Marquand at 13% on a large sample is a competent booking. The sole form figure of '1' on debut indicates she already knows how to win, and at 9-9 she is the only runner carrying above the minimum weight, though the 7lb penalty is a standard maiden winner's burden at this level and easily absorbed given the SR advantage. The market at 7/4 is confident without being prohibitively short, implying roughly 36% market probability against our assessed 42% — a slight edge worth taking.
Each-way alternative: Empress Princess.
Main danger: Empress Princess — Empress Princess (SR:152, 4/1) is an unexposed debutant from James Tate's yard — a trainer with a solid 17% strike rate — and at 7lb less weight than Not My Type she could close the ability gap if she takes to the track on debut.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
What A Girl Wants (11/8 favourite) is shorter in the market despite a 63-point SR deficit, suggesting racecourse conditions or local knowledge strongly favour the experienced 5-race filly over the on…
Not My Type has only one career run 20 days ago — a debut win that may have flattered on soft/easy ground that differs from today's Beverley conditions, with no evidence she handles this track or tri…
Empress Princess (SR:152) is unraced but just 4 SR points behind and at 4/1 represents market respect for a Tate/Lee combination (17%/15% strike rates) without the 7lb penalty burden Not My Type carr…
Tom Marquand's 13% strike rate across 1,120 rides is below the top-tier level, and Beverley's tight turning track with its unique uphill finish can catch out horses who lack course experience or tact…
ShortlistNot My Type, Empress Princess, What A Girl Wants