Welcome Racing TV Club Members Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 49 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Concert Pitch | 5/6 open 4.00 | — | 4/5 open 2.20 | 4/5 open 2.20 | 5/6 open 3.25 | 4/5 open 2.38 | 5/6 Bet365 |
| 2 Enemy Action | 12/1 open 5.00 | — | 14/1 open 6.50 | 14/1 open 5.00 | 14/1 open 5.00 | 16/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 Betfred |
| 3 Mrs Mole | 9/1 open 6.50 | — | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Mardy Bum | 40/1 open 15.00 | — | 50/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 Coral |
| 5 Lairy Mary | 9/1 | — | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Kaiulani Spirit | 8/1 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Johns Power | 11/1 open 11.00 | — | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Targa | 16/1 open 6.00 | — | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 18/1 open 8.50 | 18/1 Betfred |
| 9 Good Fighter | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 Coral |
| 10 Articulate | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Concert Pitch owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 53 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Concert Pitch (SR:74, 4/5) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this Class 6 nursery by a substantial margin — the next best is Kaiulani Spirit at SR:55, a 19-point gap that is decisive at this level. The market has aggressively supported this runner with a 36% inward move, signalling strong stable confidence, and the form string 266222 confirms consistent placed form that a drop in class (↓1) should convert to a win. Beverley course form of W0P3 shows familiarity with the track, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over the 5f trip. Brian Ellison's 9% strike rate is modest but the weight of evidence — SR superiority, market steam, class drop, course and distance fit — makes this a clear selection. Each-way alternative: Kaiulani Spirit. Main danger: Kaiulani Spirit — As the Easterby yard's #1 runner (better jockey booking in David Allan at 11%, blinkers first-time, 6% market inward move, and a class drop ↓1), Kaiulani Spirit at 13/2 is the only other horse with positive market signals and a meaningful SR (55) to pose any realistic threat to Concert Pitch.