Salisbury 20:04 RESULTED
Class 4 13 Aug 2026

Thursday 13 August Venture Security Handicap Stakes

Venture Security Handicap Stakes · 1m1f201y

Official Result

Venture Security Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Supplicate (GB) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian
    11/8
  2. 8/1
  3. 20/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Akho Mezzna silks
Akho Mezzna Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-5
-86227
79
90
87
3
9-5
5/1 7/2 4/1
Consecutive seconds two and three starts back highlight Akho Mezzna's consistency at this level, and he returns after just 19 days with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; winless in recent starts, but the 131 lb burden from stall four is the only mild query.
1
Seven Sisters silks
Seven Sisters
Age 3 · 9-7
2314
81
96
85
3
9-7
13/8 2/1 18/13
Seven Sisters won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing consistent recent form, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions; the main risk is her fourth-place finish last time out.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Supplicate silks
Supplicate
Age 3 · 9-7
51-11
81
93
81
3
9-7
11/4 7/4 11/4
Supplicate has won her last three starts in a row and returns on a quick turnaround of 14 days, with experience over today's trip and going. However, our rating ranks her fifth of six, and a speed figure of 68 leaves her hard to fancy against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Sudbury Hill silks
Sudbury Hill
Age 3 · 9-6
-23201
80
87
87
3
9-6
12/1 11/2 12/1
Sudbury Hill arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, making him a strong contender from stall 3 carrying 132 lb; the main risk is that his two prior starts show an unplaced effort sandwiched between placings, hinting at inconsistency.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
On The Inlet silks
On The Inlet
Age 3 · 9-5
-11053
79
62
82
3
9-5
22/1 14/1 18/1
On The Inlet boasts back-to-back wins in his recent form and returns here in good order on 27 days' rest, with our rating of 82 giving him a solid case; third last time out keeps him in the picture, though he must prove he can recapture that earlier spark from stall six on 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Storm Point silks
Storm Point
Age 3 · 9-4
4-1617
78
90
78
3
9-4
9/2 10/3 9/2
Storm Point has won twice in his last five starts but those finishes of seventh and sixth sandwich a win and paint an inconsistent picture; ranked last on our figures here, he faces a stiff ask, though familiarity with today's going is a minor point in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Akho Mezzna 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
1 Seven Sisters 13/8 open 3.00 6/4 open 3.00 6/4 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.25 13/8 Bet365
2 Supplicate 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 2.75 11/4 open 2.75 11/4 open 2.75 11/4 11/4 Bet365
3 Sudbury Hill 12/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 Betfred
5 On The Inlet 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Storm Point 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Supplicate

Speculative

Supplicate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Roger Varian Jack Mitchell
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Seven Sisters

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

On The Inlet

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Supplicate
57.0 11/4
2 1. Seven Sisters
56.5 13/8
3 6. Storm Point
52.7 9/2
4 3. Sudbury Hill
49.1 12/1
5 5. On The Inlet
38.4 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Akho Mezzna
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-7
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 96 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Akho Mezzna
Confidence: Speculative

Akho Mezzna (SR:90, 4/1, Wgt:9-5) carries the lightest competitive weight among the SR-90 cluster and brings the strongest convergence of signals: Course:W1P2 at Salisbury confirms it handles this track, GoingFit:+ validates it on good-to-firm, and the market has steamed in 25% — the most decisive move in this field. Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate, 1,300 career runners) is a high-calibre booking that upgrades a 10% trainer, and a MarkMv:+1 means it runs off a mark barely above its last win. The blinkers (HG:b) should sharpen focus on a horse whose form string shows a recent improvement run (7th last time but prior placed efforts), and the weight edge of 2lb over the top-weights is meaningful at this class level. Each-way alternative: Storm Point. Main danger: Storm Point — Storm Point (SR:90, 4/1, Wgt:9-4) carries the lowest weight in the competitive SR group, has steamed in 24% — matching Akho Mezzna's positive market move — and Ed Walker's yard is capable of placing horses off 35-day breaks, meaning the freshness angle should not be underestimated.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string -86227 shows a 7th and 8th in recent runs — the two placed efforts (2,2) came earlier and the horse has not won since, suggesting a horse trending the wrong way rather than building momen…
  • Trainer Jack Jones at 10% strike rate is a material weak link: even with Murphy aboard, trainer-jockey combinations where the yard is out of form rarely fire at this level against Beckett (18%) and V…
  • Supplicate (SR:93, Form:51-11) is two ratings points superior and arrives off back-to-back wins on a 14-day turnaround — sharper fitness and higher ceiling make it the logical 'good thing' in the rac…
  • Storm Point carries 1lb less (9-4) with an identical SR:90 and an equally strong 24% market move in — it has a more recent winning run in the form string (1 in 4-1617) and directly undercuts the weig…
Shortlist Akho Mezzna, Seven Sisters, Storm Point
Each-way: Storm Point Danger: Storm Point

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m1f201y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade