Lingfield (AW) 19:58 RESULTED
Class 5 13 Aug 2026

Thursday 13 August Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes

Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f6y

Official Result

Download The At The Races App Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sultan Darius (IRE) Darragh Keenan · Marco Botti
    12/1
  2. 13/2
  3. 12/1
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Beverley

14:15–16:45 · 6 races

Tramore

17:11–20:18 · 7 races

Lingfield (AW)

17:23–19:58 · 6 races

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17:30–20:04 · 6 races

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17:36–20:11 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
American Psycho silks
American Psycho Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-8
274
74
74OR
2
9-8
SP
1
South West silks
South West
Age 2 · 9-9
9531
75
77
74
2
9-9
3/1 9/4 11/4
South West arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip, making him a clear danger at 135 lb from stall 5; the sole risk is whether that victory came against stronger opposition than he'll face here.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Viking Barbie silks
Viking Barbie
Age 2 · 9-5
4324
71
65
71
2
9-5
13/2 9/2 6/1
Winless in her last four starts but has shown consistency through a second and a third in that sequence; she has run over today's trip and her 131 lb burden from stall seven keeps her competitive, though she'll need to find more to threaten at the finish.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Wolf's Gallop silks
Wolf's Gallop
Age 2 · 9-4
7334
70
74
80
2
9-4
13/2 FCST 6/1
Placed third in two of his last four starts, Wolf's Gallop arrives here on a sharp 15-day turnaround and has run over today's trip, with our rating of 80 setting him apart from his rivals; yet to win in recent starts, but the form profile makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Beautiful Effort silks
Beautiful Effort
Age 2 · 9-2
965
68
71
68
2
9-2
4/1 11/2 10/3
Winless in her last three starts, with finishes of fifth, sixth, and ninth, Beautiful Effort faces a stiff ask here — though she has run over today's trip and returns after 36 days carrying 128 lb from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Sultan Darius silks
Sultan Darius
Age 2 · 9-1
484
67
57
72
2
9-1
14/1 15/2 14/1
Sultan Darius has run over today's trip and returns on a good 21-day break, with two fourths in his last three starts suggesting he's knocking on the door — the eighth sandwiched between them is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Stoney Wood silks
Stoney Wood
Age 2 · 9-0
085
66
67
69
2
9-0
7/1 6/1 7/1
Winless in his last three starts and drawn six carrying 126 lb, Stoney Wood has run over today's distance and going before, though a struggling trainer strike-rate of 5% over the past fortnight gives his prospects a further dampener.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Miss Moneypit silks
Miss Moneypit
Age 2 · 9-0
845514
66
68
76
2
9-0
10/1 15/2 10/1
Miss Moneypit won two starts back and returns on a sharp 12-day turnaround with distance experience in her favour, and her rating of 76 suggests she holds strong claims from stall one — though last time's fourth will need reversing.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
From Me To You silks
From Me To You
Age 2 · 9-0
7760
66
64
66
2
9-0
10/1 9/1 17/2
Winless in his last four starts, with an unplaced effort the most recent of them, From Me To You is hard to fancy on these figures — ranked eighth of nine — though he has run over today's trip before and 26 days between runs leaves him fresh.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Secret Rival silks
Secret Rival
Age 2 · 8-10
867
62
61
63
2
8-10
14/1 7/1 14/1
Winless in her last three starts, with finishes of eighth, sixth, and seventh in that run of form, Secret Rival has little recent encouragement to offer; she has run over today's trip before and 28 days between runs suggests freshness, but she ranks last on our figures here.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 American Psycho
1 South West 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 11/4 3/1 Bet365
3 Viking Barbie 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 7/1 Coral
4 Wolf's Gallop 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 Bet365
5 Beautiful Effort 4/1 open 10.00 7/2 open 10.00 7/2 open 10.00 10/3 open 10.00 10/3 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365
6 Sultan Darius 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 Coral
7 Stoney Wood 7/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 Coral
8 Miss Moneypit 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
9 From Me To You 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
10 Secret Rival 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

South West

Speculative

South West owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Richard Hughes Finley Marsh
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Wolf's Gallop

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Tom Lacey
✓ Value Signal

Secret Rival

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Ed Walker
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. South West
52.1 3/1
2 4. Wolf's Gallop
51.8 13/2
3 5. Beautiful Effort
51.0 4/1
4 3. Viking Barbie
48.3 13/2
5 8. Miss Moneypit
46.4 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Beautiful Effort
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-5
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 9-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 2 · 8-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Beautiful Effort
Confidence: Speculative

Beautiful Effort (SR:71, 9/2) is the standout on market intelligence: a 45% inward move since opening is the strongest steaming signal in the field by a wide margin and demands respect in a Class 5 nursery where the market regularly reflects stable confidence. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) makes the task easier, and at 9-2 off 9-2 weight there is no burden concern. Trainer Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos carry a 0% strike rate from a small 37-runner sample — a flag — but the booking of Benoit de la Sayette (13%, 192) is a meaningful upgrade and the 45% steam suggests connections believe today's conditions suit. Form reads 965 — three starts, improving race-by-race with a step forward expected over 5f6y at Lingfield AW on good ground where the untried distance tag (DistFit:?) is not a negative, merely an unknown. Each-way alternative: South West. Main danger: South West — South West (SR:77, 3/1) is the class leader on SR and has a proven distance record (DistFit:+), though the 16% drift and a mark 8lb above last win (MarkMv:+8) are genuine concerns that keep it off the top spot.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 9-6-5 in three starts — the 'improvement' is from very deep in the field and a fifth-place finish is still a modest effort; no top-3 finish yet to suggest a win is imminent.
  • Trainer Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos has a 0% strike rate from 37 runners — a genuinely poor sample that means connections have failed to win with every runner sent out this season, undermining the…
  • Distance unproven at 5f6y (DistFit:?) — Beautiful Effort's form has been built over different trips; this specific Lingfield AW 5f6y configuration is an unknown that could expose a stamina or speed l…
  • South West (SR:77, 3/1) holds a superior speed rating, better recent form (9531 with a win), has Richard Hughes training and is the clear market leader — Beautiful Effort must beat a higher-rated, in…
Shortlist Beautiful Effort, South West, Wolf's Gallop, Stoney Wood
Each-way: South West Danger: South West

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f6y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade