Become A Friend Of Racing Welfare Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f1y
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blue Hill | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Champagne Beau | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Dove Tale | 6/4 open 3.00 | — | 11/8 | 11/8 open 2.88 | 6/4 open 2.88 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Neswick | 4/1 open 3.50 | — | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Oklahoma Dream | 40/1 open 21.00 | — | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Paraone | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Protectrix | 50/1 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Shangri La | 5/2 open 4.00 | — | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 open 3.00 | 11/4 Coral |
| 9 Walking On Stars | 6/1 open 6.00 | — | 6/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dove Tale owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dove Tale (SR 158, 6/4) is the class standout by a clear margin — 7 SR points ahead of Neswick and 8 ahead of Walking On Stars — and is trained by John & Thady Gosden whose 24% strike rate from 751 runners is the strongest yard in the field by distance. The market has shortened 8% since opening (Mkt:in8%), confirming professional confidence, and the hood (HG:h) suggests connections have found a gear since the '9' last time. Only 8 days between runs points to a yard that knows this filly is ready to bounce back and capitalise on a weak novice field at Class 3. Each-way alternative: Neswick. Main danger: Neswick — Neswick (SR 151, 4/1) showed a place at this course on debut and steps up in class, but the 28% market drift is a concern — connections may be treating it as a learning run after 108 days off.