Middle Distance Handicap Stakes · 1m4f23y
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Sisterandbrother | 7/1 open 7.50 | — | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 1 Return With Gold | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Grey Fable | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Wardlaw | 3/1 | — | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 That Darn Cantor | 5/1 open 4.50 | — | 7/1 open 4.00 | 7/1 open 4.00 | 7/1 open 4.00 | 7/1 open 3.25 | 7/1 Coral |
| 6 Mr Moonshine | 15/8 open 3.50 | — | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 7/4 open 3.25 | 15/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mr Moonshine owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mr Moonshine holds the highest SR in the field at 82, carries the lightest weight at 9-4, and is a 3-year-old with a form string of 24-523 that shows consistent competitiveness at this level. Critically, the market has shortened 21% since opening — the strongest inward move in the race — at 13/8, indicating informed money. The weight advantage over Wardlaw (same SR tier, 9-7) is meaningful on good-to-firm ground over 1m4f, and the Fahey yard operates at a solid 9% strike rate with 430 runners behind them. The only caveat is unknown distance and going fit for all runners here, but Mr Moonshine's class edge and market support tip the balance. Each-way alternative: Wardlaw. Main danger: Wardlaw — Wardlaw (SR:80, 10/3) is trained by Sir Mark Prescott at a 19% strike rate — the strongest trainer stat in the field — has shortened 13% in the market, and at 3 years old carries natural improvement potential over this class despite the 48-day absence.