Rye has shown consistent placing ability in recent starts — second two runs back and placed on multiple occasions — and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the chief concern is she arrives 69 days since her last start and remains winless in recent form.
Placed last time out and fourth three starts back, Methgal arrives here on a sharp 16-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going, and our figures rate him 8 lb clear of his official mark — a compelling profile despite being winless in recent starts.
Form last 6290472
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR66RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beelzebub arrives here in decent recent heart — a winner two starts back and runner-up last time out — and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the 45-day absence is the one question mark.
Form last 6447012
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR63RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lahina Bay showed up well when third last time out, and her second three starts back hints at ability, though she's winless in her last six starts and will need to find more from stall 8 off 134 lb.
Form last 6653273
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR61RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in her last six starts, The Feminine Urge does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a second two starts back shows she can get competitive; the concern is inconsistency, with a sixth last time out off 134 lb from stall three.
Form last 6607326
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR60RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Legendsoftheland won last time out and has hit the frame regularly in recent starts, with three wins in his last six, so the form is solid; the 133 lb burden from stall one and an official rating of 56 are the key variables to weigh, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6212131
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR59RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rated highest in the field and carrying 132 lb from stall 5, May Encounter has experience of today's trip and conditions and comes here fresh after 19 days off — the risk is that she's yet to score in recent starts, with a string of mid-division finishes to overcome.
Form last 65-5564
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR67RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, One For Harvey has been consistently mid-pack to rear, and ranked ninth of twelve on our figures she faces a stiff ask here; she has run over today's trip and going before, which at least offers some familiarity.
Form last 65486-5
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR58RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Elmfield faces a stiff ask from stall nine carrying 130 lb, though she has run over today's trip and going before and that third last time out offers a sliver of encouragement.
Form last 6573
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR51RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last six starts but a runner-up last time out, Beach Partee has run over today's trip and going and lines up fresh on eight days' rest; at 129 lb from stall six, a rating of 61 offers slight encouragement, though consistency remains the question.
Form last 6546442
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR61RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Rianka faces a stiff ask despite her winning form last time out; she has experience of today's trip and going, but her overall recent profile — just one win in her last five starts — and a rating of 55 leave her hard to fancy from stall 12.
Form last 684571
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR50RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Ragaire heads here 89 days off the track and has shown precious little in recent outings; he has run over today's trip before, and stall two is his lot, but there is little else to grab at here.
Form last 60009
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
18SR35RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
May Encounter owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Henry CandyNicola Currie
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Beelzebub
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Tony Carroll✓ Value Signal
One For Harvey
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Clare Hobson◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Beelzebub (SR:64, 7/2, 9-8) is the highest-rated runner in this Class 6 field and carries a manageable weight. Crucially, he holds a Course:W1P1 record at Windsor — a specialist-track advantage that matters here — and his last run produced a '2' finish, indicating he arrives in form. Tony Carroll books stable jockey Billy Loughnane (19% SR, 1724 career rides) over the 5-claim Myla Coppins on stablemate Rye, which is a clear yard signal that Beelzebub is the stable's number one. The MarkMv:+6 is a mild concern but the class ceiling here is low and his SR edge of 3+ points over the next-best rivals Methgal and May Encounter is meaningful at this level.
Each-way alternative: Rianka.
Main danger: May Encounter — May Encounter (SR:61, 9/2) has steamed in 41% in the market — the most significant move in the field — and carries just 9-6 with a class drop (ClassMv:↓1), suggesting connections expect the Henry Candy yard's headgear (h) switch to unlock improvement despite the DistFit:- flag.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Beelzebub's form string reads 447012 — the '2' last time is positive but prior to that he posted a '0' (non-completion or last), suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse peaking through a prep ru…
MarkMv:+6 means the assessor has raised his mark by 6 points since his last win; he now has to run to a higher official rating than when he scored, which is a concrete headwind in a Class 6 sprint.
May Encounter is sharply in-market (in41%) at 9/2, has a fresh horse profile (Days:19) and though rated 3pts below Beelzebub, the significant market support suggests connections — and possibly going…
45-day absence (Days:45) is the longest layoff in the top half of the field; Beelzebub must bounce back sharper than rivals who raced 8–21 days ago, including fresher-legged course contenders Lahina…
ShortlistBeelzebub, May Encounter, Rianka, Methgal