Salisbury 18:04 RESULTED
Class 3 13 Aug 2026

Thursday 13 August Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 6f213y

Official Result

Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Flooding (IRE) Oisin Murphy · Marco Botti
    1/1F
  2. 11/10
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tiora Time silks
Tiora Time
Age 2 · 9-3
31
75
86
75OR
2
9-3
11/10 6/5 Evs
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
All Angels silks
All Angels
Age 2 · 9-2
6
145
2
9-2
17/2 11/2 8/1
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Flooding silks
Flooding
Age 2 · 9-2
2
154
2
9-2
11/10 5/6 11/10
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Virtue Humble silks
Virtue Humble
Age 2 · 8-13
9
124
2
8-13
40/1 25/1 40/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Polgaria silks
Polgaria
Age 2 · 8-10
88
127
2
8-10
66/1 FCST 50/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tiora Time 11/10 open 2.38 evn open 2.25 evn open 2.25 11/10 open 2.25 evn open 2.20 11/10 Bet365
2 All Angels 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 Bet365
3 Flooding 11/10 open 1.91 6/5 open 1.91 11/10 open 1.91 6/5 open 1.91 11/10 open 1.83 6/5 Coral
4 Virtue Humble 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 Bet365
5 Polgaria 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Flooding

High conviction

Flooding owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Marco Botti Oisin Murphy
85% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

All Angels

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

17/2 · Ed Walker
✓ Value Signal

Polgaria

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Roger Teal
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Flooding
74.7 11/10
2 2. All Angels
65.7 17/2
3 1. Tiora Time
54.7 11/10
4 5. Polgaria
52.2 66/1
5 4. Virtue Humble
51.4 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tiora Time
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-3
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
11/10
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tiora Time
Confidence: Speculative

Tiora Time (SR 86, 5/4) is chosen despite holding the lowest SR in the field — a key contextual note is that this is a novice for fillies in Bands B, C and D, meaning top-rated horses from Band A are excluded, and SR values here reflect early-career profiles rather than developed ability. Tiora Time's form reads 3-1 (last run a win), and she arrives just 12 days later with Colin Keane retained (16% career SR, 1020 rides — a high-volume, high-confidence booking), and the market has shortened 7% since opening, suggesting stable confidence and informed money. The class move up one tier is a concern, but the step from a Band D/C novice win into this company is manageable given the opposition's issues. Flooding holds the highest SR (154) but has drifted 8% and has only a single second-place run to her name, while All Angels (SR 145) has also drifted 8% off a sixth-place debut — market is clearly cooling on both. Each-way alternative: Flooding. Main danger: Flooding — Flooding (SR 154, 11/10 despite 8% drift) carries the strongest raw rating and Oisin Murphy's 21% career strike rate on 1,300 rides is the best jockey profile in the race — a second on debut in a Band A-excluded novice is far from a weak run, and she could outclass this field if the drift is merely market noise rather than a stable concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Tiora Time carries the lowest SR (86) in the field — a 68-point gap below Flooding (154) and 59 below All Angels (145), suggesting meaningfully inferior form credentials even within this restricted n…
  • Flooding (11/10, SR 154, Oisin Murphy 21% SR) is market leader despite drifting — Murphy's elite 21% strike rate on a filly with the highest class rating represents a formidable combination Tiora Tim…
  • Tiora Time's sole win came at Band D/C level; stepping into Band B company against a field where three rivals hold SR 124+ is a concrete class rise that her 86 SR gives little statistical basis to ha…
  • Tom Clover's 14% trainer SR from only 260 rides is a modest operation; retaining Keane is positive but does not offset the raw SR deficit against Botti (15%, 405 rides) and Walker (15%, 818 rides) —…
Shortlist Tiora Time, Flooding, All Angels
Each-way: Flooding Danger: Flooding

🗺 The Course Class 3

6f213y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade