Solar Invincible has finished out of the frame in three of his last six starts and, ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, is hard to fancy at the weights; he does bring distance and going experience, and back-to-back second-place finishes last time out and two starts back offer a sliver of encouragement.
Form last 6415422
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR66RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent without a win in his last five, Court Alert arrives here 22 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going, and his progression — second last time out, third two starts back — marks him as the one to beat from stall one off 135 lb.
Form last 60-8432
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR77RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Guernsey Angel arrives here just 17 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going, and her second two starts back shows she can threaten at this level — a rating of 74 underlining her claims; the risk is that she's winless in her last six starts.
Form last 6456625
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR74RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Pilgrim's Progress does at least return quickly on ten days' rest and has run over today's distance and going before — though a seventh two starts back hardly inspires, and she faces a stiff task off 134 lb from stall five.
Form last 642-272
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR65RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Dark Alley nonetheless has distance and going experience to call upon, draws stall two carrying 134 lb, and a our rating of 72 suggests more ability than his official mark of 67 implies — the risk is that his recent trajectory, trending ninth last time, makes a turnaround hard to call.
Form last 664-579
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR72RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Maid In Devon won three of her last six starts, including back-to-back victories two and three runs back, but she disappointed sixth last time out. She has distance and going experience, though 134 lb is a stiff ask.
Form last 6451116
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR71RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts, all of which have yielded fifth or sixth, Deadline is ranked bottom of the field on our figures and carries a hefty 132 lb from stall 11, making him very hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6665
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR54RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Two And Two landed a win in her last five starts but has been out of the frame in each of her three most recent runs; she has experience over today's trip and returns after 43 days off carrying 132 lb from stall 7.
Form last 6-15040
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR71RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Ran well to win four starts back but has finished sixth or worse in her three subsequent outings, so the form has tailed off; has run over today's trip and going, and 26 days between runs leaves her fresh enough, though a burden of 131 lb won't help.
Form last 63-1667
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR69RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Koffee And Kale showed plenty when second and third in recent starts, has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a quick turnaround just 14 days after his last start — our rating of 75 marks him as a leading threat; the main concern is a trainer operating at just 5% lately.
Form last 6327574
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR75RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Madman won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid grounding; however, he was sixth two starts back, and a rating of 67 leaves him up against it from stall 10 carrying 129 lb.
Form last 6569261
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Maid In Devon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3Rod MillmanJack Doughty
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Guernsey Angel
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · David Evans✓ Value Signal
Two And Two
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Simon Hodgson◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Maid In Devon (SR:85, 7/2) is the clear class leader in this field — 13 SR points clear of the next-best Solar Invincible — and is the only horse with proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), critically important in a 6f12y handicap where most rivals have a poor or unproven record at the trip. The 32% market steam is the strongest confidence signal in the race and suggests connections have targeted this. Recent form 451116 shows a horse who won three of its last four starts before a course-track sixth, and the same weight (9-8) as several rivals means no significant burden. Rod Millman's 13% strike rate is solid for a handler at this level, and Jack Doughty holds his own in these Class 5 contests.
Each-way alternative: Solar Invincible.
Main danger: Solar Invincible — Solar Invincible (SR:75, 7/2) has GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm ground and Billy Loughnane's 19% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the field, giving it a live chance despite DistFit:- and a 5lb higher mark than its last win.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Most recent run was a course-track sixth (form reading '6' at the end of 451116) — that Windsor course form is a negative, not a positive, and directly undermines the class advantage argument.
Jack Doughty's 10% strike rate is notably below the field average; Billy Loughnane (Solar Invincible, 19%) and David Egan (Madman, 13%) both bring meaningfully superior pilot form to this race.
Madman (SR:69) won last time out, holds a Course:W1P1 record at Windsor, and is 13 SR points behind but better-weighted at 9-3 — a horse peaking at the right moment with track-proven ability here.
The +2 mark move means the handicapper has already responded to recent wins; at 7/2 joint-favourite, Maid In Devon is asked to win off a rising mark on a course where she last finished sixth.
ShortlistMaid In Devon, Solar Invincible, Koffee And Kale, Madman
Each-way: Solar InvincibleDanger: Solar Invincible