Winless in his last four starts and absent for 410 days, Cumulonimbus nonetheless rates the pick of this field on our figures, with distance and going experience in hand; the concern is that layoff and a recent string of poor finishes make him a harder sell on trust.
Form last 6600/8-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR97RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Twice a winner in his last five starts, with a third sandwiched in between, The Green Mile brings solid recent form and going experience to the table; 44 days off and 141 lb on his back are the checks against him finding a repeat.
Form last 65-0131
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR90RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bulletin has been knocking on the door, third two starts back and a second four starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going gives him every chance off 141 lb; the risk is he's yet to win in his last five starts.
Form last 6-32434
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR95RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Galaxy Star won three starts back but has been beaten into fourth and sixth since, and 73 days off the track adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and carries 140 lb.
Form last 6146
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR90RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Three wins in his last five starts — including back-to-back victories — make Forever Penywern a solid contender, and he has run over today's trip before; however, 38 days off and a stiff 140 lb test him against stronger company ranked seventh of twelve.
Form last 63211-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR88RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Son Of Man shaped well when third and second in consecutive starts before that recent unplaced run, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; back after 77 days, his profile warrants respect off a mark of 84.
Form last 6351230
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR93RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Kokbastau makes little appeal at the weights carrying 132 lb, and a sixth three starts back undermines confidence; in his favour, he arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip.
Form last 66-31
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR79RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Duc De Kent at least has experience of today's distance and going, and 18 days since his last outing suggests he arrives fresh; carrying 131 lb with a rating of 88 leaves him with plenty to find against stronger rivals.
Form last 68590/6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR88RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Must Believe returns after 68 days off the track and, ranked ninth of 12 on our figures, faces a stiff ask — that eighth last time out is hard to ignore. He has run over today's trip and going, and a win two starts back offers a shred of hope.
Form last 62-4518
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR80RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Dust Cover is hard to fancy despite two wins in his last six starts — a second three starts back is his best recent effort, and consecutive fourth and fifth suggest form is going the wrong way.
Form last 6110254
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR79RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked last on our figures and hard to oppose with confidence, though Mathematician does bring winning form — a winner two starts back and again four starts back — and has experience of today's going.
Form last 65121/0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR75RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
The Green Mile owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
15/2Neil MulhollandCharles Bishop
63%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Kokbastau
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/5 · Roger Varian✓ Value Signal
Son Of Man
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Jim Boyle◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Kokbastau (SR 94, 5/6) is the clear ability standout in this field — his SR of 94 sits well clear of the next best at 88, and crucially he carries just 9-6, a meaningful weight relief against rivals rated similarly. The market has spoken loudly: a 16% inward move to 5/6 from Roger Varian (19% career strike rate) with Cieren Fallon (20% strike rate) aboard is a powerful connections signal. His form of 6-31 shows a last-time-out win and he runs just 16 days later, suggesting he's in peak condition. The only reservation is unknown distance and going fitness (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?), but the class, weight, and market alignment outweigh that uncertainty.
Each-way alternative: Forever Penywern.
Main danger: Forever Penywern — Forever Penywern (SR 88, 5/1) arrives on a strong 3211-1 form sequence including a last-time-out win, is trained by Warren Greatrex with his son riding (14% jockey strike rate), and at 5/1 represents a genuine threat if Kokbastau's unknown distance fitness proves a stumbling block on this 1m3f219y trip.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown — Kokbastau's sole win came in unknown conditions, and Kempton Polytrack has specific surface demands that may not suit a horse with no recorded AW fitness marke…
Form reads 6-31: only three career starts, the '6' suggesting a poor debut, meaning his form base is extremely thin for a horse sent off at 5/6 in a competitive 12-runner handicap.
Forever Penywern (SR:88, 5/1) brings a 3211-1 sequence including a last-time-out win, is only 6lb worse off in the weights, and crucially has a proven recent winning profile without the unknown-fitne…
Bulletin (SR:88) and The Green Mile (SR:86) both carry course form (W1P2 and W1P1 respectively) at Kempton, giving them a concrete surface edge over Kokbastau who has no recorded course experience.
ShortlistKokbastau, Forever Penywern, Bulletin, The Green Mile