Kempton (AW) 20:30 RESULTED
Class 3 12 Aug 2026

Wednesday 12 August Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m3f219y

Official Result

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kokbastau (GB) Cieren Fallon · Roger Varian
    11/10F
  2. 3/1
  3. 11/2
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Kempton (AW)

17:30–21:00 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cumulonimbus silks
Cumulonimbus
Age 7 · 10-2
600/8-
88
55
97
7
10-2
50/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in his last four starts and absent for 410 days, Cumulonimbus nonetheless rates the pick of this field on our figures, with distance and going experience in hand; the concern is that layoff and a recent string of poor finishes make him a harder sell on trust.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

2
The Green Mile silks
The Green Mile
Age 4 · 10-1
5-0131
87
86
90
4
10-1
15/2 4/1 15/2
Twice a winner in his last five starts, with a third sandwiched in between, The Green Mile brings solid recent form and going experience to the table; 44 days off and 141 lb on his back are the checks against him finding a repeat.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Bulletin silks
Bulletin
Age 4 · 10-1
-32434
87
88
95
4
10-1
5/1 11/2 4/1
Bulletin has been knocking on the door, third two starts back and a second four starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going gives him every chance off 141 lb; the risk is he's yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Galaxy Star silks
Galaxy Star
Age 4 · 10-0
146
86
60
90
4
10-0
40/1 18/1 40/1
Galaxy Star won three starts back but has been beaten into fourth and sixth since, and 73 days off the track adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and carries 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Forever Penywern silks
Forever Penywern
Age 4 · 10-0
3211-1
86
88
88
4
10-0
13/2 7/2 13/2
Three wins in his last five starts — including back-to-back victories — make Forever Penywern a solid contender, and he has run over today's trip before; however, 38 days off and a stiff 140 lb test him against stronger company ranked seventh of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Son Of Man silks
Son Of Man
Age 5 · 9-12
351230
84
69
93
5
9-12
25/1 20/1 22/1
Son Of Man shaped well when third and second in consecutive starts before that recent unplaced run, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; back after 77 days, his profile warrants respect off a mark of 84.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

7
Classical Allusion silks
Classical Allusion
Age 4 · 9-11
1-250
83
75
97
4
9-11
14/1 FCST 12/1
SR 75 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Kokbastau silks
Kokbastau
Age 3 · 9-6
6-31
88
94
79
3
9-6
4/5 11/10 4/5
Ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Kokbastau makes little appeal at the weights carrying 132 lb, and a sixth three starts back undermines confidence; in his favour, he arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Duc De Kent silks
Duc De Kent
Age 6 · 9-5
8590/6
77
53
88
6
9-5
50/1 25/1 40/1
Winless in his last five starts, Duc De Kent at least has experience of today's distance and going, and 18 days since his last outing suggests he arrives fresh; carrying 131 lb with a rating of 88 leaves him with plenty to find against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

10
Must Believe silks
Must Believe
Age 4 · 9-3
2-4518
75
56
80
4
9-3
28/1 12/1 25/1
Must Believe returns after 68 days off the track and, ranked ninth of 12 on our figures, faces a stiff ask — that eighth last time out is hard to ignore. He has run over today's trip and going, and a win two starts back offers a shred of hope.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Dust Cover silks
Dust Cover
Age 4 · 9-2
110254
74
68
79
4
9-2
12/1 FCST 10/1
Ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Dust Cover is hard to fancy despite two wins in his last six starts — a second three starts back is his best recent effort, and consecutive fourth and fifth suggest form is going the wrong way.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Mathematician silks
Mathematician
Age 6 · 9-1
5121/0
73
50
75
6
9-1
66/1 40/1 50/1
Ranked last on our figures and hard to oppose with confidence, though Mathematician does bring winning form — a winner two starts back and again four starts back — and has experience of today's going.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cumulonimbus 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
2 The Green Mile 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 William Hill
3 Bulletin 5/1 open 10.00 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
4 Galaxy Star 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365
5 Forever Penywern 13/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 4.50 15/2 Coral
6 Son Of Man 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 25/1 Bet365
7 Classical Allusion 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Kokbastau 4/5 open 2.10 4/5 open 2.38 4/5 open 2.38 5/6 open 2.38 5/6 open 2.20 5/6 William Hill
9 Duc De Kent 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
10 Must Believe 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
11 Dust Cover 12/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 12/1 Bet365
12 Mathematician 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

The Green Mile

Speculative

The Green Mile owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (66). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/2 Neil Mulholland Charles Bishop
63% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kokbastau

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/5 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Son Of Man

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Jim Boyle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. The Green Mile
54.3 15/2
2 8. Kokbastau
54.2 4/5
3 5. Forever Penywern
52.9 13/2
4 3. Bulletin
52.3 5/1
5 7. Classical Allusion
44.2 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Kokbastau
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-6
4/5
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 10-1
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 10-0
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-1
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-11
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Kokbastau
Confidence: Speculative

Kokbastau (SR 94, 5/6) is the clear ability standout in this field — his SR of 94 sits well clear of the next best at 88, and crucially he carries just 9-6, a meaningful weight relief against rivals rated similarly. The market has spoken loudly: a 16% inward move to 5/6 from Roger Varian (19% career strike rate) with Cieren Fallon (20% strike rate) aboard is a powerful connections signal. His form of 6-31 shows a last-time-out win and he runs just 16 days later, suggesting he's in peak condition. The only reservation is unknown distance and going fitness (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?), but the class, weight, and market alignment outweigh that uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Forever Penywern. Main danger: Forever Penywern — Forever Penywern (SR 88, 5/1) arrives on a strong 3211-1 form sequence including a last-time-out win, is trained by Warren Greatrex with his son riding (14% jockey strike rate), and at 5/1 represents a genuine threat if Kokbastau's unknown distance fitness proves a stumbling block on this 1m3f219y trip.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown — Kokbastau's sole win came in unknown conditions, and Kempton Polytrack has specific surface demands that may not suit a horse with no recorded AW fitness marke…
  • Form reads 6-31: only three career starts, the '6' suggesting a poor debut, meaning his form base is extremely thin for a horse sent off at 5/6 in a competitive 12-runner handicap.
  • Forever Penywern (SR:88, 5/1) brings a 3211-1 sequence including a last-time-out win, is only 6lb worse off in the weights, and crucially has a proven recent winning profile without the unknown-fitne…
  • Bulletin (SR:88) and The Green Mile (SR:86) both carry course form (W1P2 and W1P1 respectively) at Kempton, giving them a concrete surface edge over Kokbastau who has no recorded course experience.
Shortlist Kokbastau, Forever Penywern, Bulletin, The Green Mile
Each-way: Forever Penywern Danger: Forever Penywern

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m3f219y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade