Solanna arrives on the back of a win last time out, and a second two starts back underlines his consistency — he has distance and going experience to call on, and our rating of 76 marks him as a leading rival. The fitness query after 50 days is the one thing to watch.
Form last 6514321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR76RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and our figures rank him tenth of eleven here, with a 54-day absence adding further doubt; the one genuine positive is a third last time out, suggesting he retains some ability.
Form last 67040-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR65RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Naasma nevertheless boasts a third two runs back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 76 marks her as a leading threat — the risk is she finds a way to finish just outside the frame again.
Form last 6-45436
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR76RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Roland Garros ran well enough to place third last time out, but that seventh two starts back is a concern; he has run over today's trip and carries 140 lb on a quick turnaround of just seven days, leaving his participation here a mix of promise and questions.
Form last 69-5173
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR71RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last four starts, and 70 days off the track is a fitness query, but Star Time has distance and going experience to call on and a rating that suggests he holds his own here — the second three starts back shows he can get competitive.
Form last 6/82-58
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR75RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and 114 days absent, Crooked Path arrives with experience over today's trip and a rating of 77 that marks him out as the one to beat — the risk is his recent string of unplaced efforts suggesting he'll need to rediscover his best.
Form last 644800-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR77RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Yet to win in his last five starts, Imperial Decision at least showed consistency with a third and a second in that sequence, though the unplaced effort latest and a 131-day absence are obvious concerns; he has run over today's trip and going, and 136 lb is no featherweight.
Form last 6-37230
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR71RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked towards the foot of our assessments, Eljowhary faces a stiff ask here; however, he has been freshened by a 45-day break and, carrying 132 lb, could find more at this level if the layoff has sharpened him.
Form last 66640
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR66RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last five starts, with a distant eighth last time out and an official mark of 56, Backer Bilk is hard to fancy against stronger rivals here; he has run over today's trip and going before, but his speed rating of 53 leaves plenty to find.
Form last 63235-8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
37SR66RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and carrying 128 lb, Maywedance is hard to fancy despite consecutive thirds last time out and two starts back; she has experience over today's distance and going, and that lone recent win does at least show she can find the front.
Form last 6407133
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR61RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Crooked Path owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/4James OwenCieren Fallon
78%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Star Time
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Alan King✓ Value Signal
Imperial Decision
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Keiran Burke◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Crooked Path (SR 81, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this field — the next best SR is Solanna at 74, and the drop of three tiers (ClassMv:↓3) with a mark 47lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-47) means connections have deliberately placed this horse in very soft company. GoingFit:+ confirms it handles today's conditions, the 14% market inward move backs the stable confidence, and Cieren Fallon (20% career strike rate, 802 rides) is a meaningful booking at this level. The 114-day absence and a recent form string of 44800- are the only negatives, but the class drop is so extreme that it overrides those concerns in a Class 5 handicap worth just £4,187.
Each-way alternative: Star Time.
Main danger: Star Time — Star Time (SR 71, 4/1) has steamed in 48% from its opening price — the strongest market move in the field — carrying only 9-13 (7lb less than Crooked Path) for trainer Alan King, and unknown distance/going suitability leaves upside if it handles today's conditions.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
114-day absence is a significant fitness question — form string of 44800- shows no win in the last 6 starts, with the '0' (last run) suggesting a collapse rather than a respectable effort before the…
Star Time has moved in 48% in the market (vs Crooked Path's 14% move) suggesting stronger market confidence behind that rival despite a lower SR — market may know something about Star Time's fitness.
Solanna (SR 74, Course:W1P2, form 514321) is in cracking recent form, has course winning form, and Loughnane booking (19% SR, 1720 rides) is a superior jockey profile for this specific track — repres…
A -47lb mark drop and 3-class fall is extraordinary and may indicate a physical or behavioural issue that connections are trying to circumvent rather than genuine wellbeing — the 0 last time out rein…