Winless in his last five starts, So Darn Hot nonetheless rates top of these on our figures and has experience of today's distance and going. Fresh enough after 33 days, he carries 140 lb from stall one and looks the one to beat.
Form last 6-06705
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR98RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Consistent and knocking hard on the door, Dr Strangelove has finished second twice and third once in his last three starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before — draw two, carrying 136 lb. The risk is that he remains winless in recent starts despite his solid profile.
Form last 67-4322
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR91RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dandana showed her best when winning one start back — sorry, a winner **five** starts back, and back in the mix with a fourth last time out after two unplaced efforts, she returns in good nick just 16 days on with experience over today's trip and going; the main risk is that she's been inconsistent in recent starts.
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Let me recount carefully:
Latest first: 4th (1), unplaced (2), unplaced (3), 4th (4
Form last 6140-04
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR89RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent performer who has placed in three of his last four starts, with a win in the other, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the weight of 131 lb from stall 4 could prove the limiting factor against stronger-rated rivals.
Form last 612-23
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR87RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Golden Brown won two starts back and was second the two runs before that, giving him a consistent placed profile over this trip and going; the main concern is that eight-week absence after that disappointing latest run.
Form last 602-218
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR91RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked last on our figures, An Outlaw's Grace faces a stiff ask at 128 lb from stall 3; a third three starts back is the best he can offer, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns on a reasonable 23-day break.
Form last 6620354
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR84RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Beaten in five of his last six starts — finishing seventh last time out after back-to-back seconds — Supreme King ranks sixth of seven on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite experience over today's trip and distance and a 14-day turnaround that suggests he's ready to run.
Form last 6512227
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR86RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
So Darn Hot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Ed WalkerKieran Shoemark
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Supreme King
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · David Evans✓ Value Signal
Dandana
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
12/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Regional Rock (SR:99, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and carries a favourable 9-5, giving him a significant weight advantage over So Darn Hot (10-0) and a meaningful lbs edge on every other runner. His form of 12-23 shows consistent competency at this level — placed in all four runs with a win included — and DistFit:+ confirms he handles this 6f trip comfortably. Ralph Beckett's 17% strike rate is the best among trainers represented here, and Hector Crouch at 17% is a strong booking for the yard. The price of 10/3 implies roughly 23% market probability, yet his SR lead and weight advantage make him a genuine standout in a modest Class 3 field.
Each-way alternative: So Darn Hot.
Main danger: So Darn Hot — So Darn Hot (SR:92, 7/2) has steamed in 34% in the market — the most significant market move in the race — and a 3lb drop in the handicap mark (MarkMv:-3) combined with Ed Walker's deliberate stablemate split suggests connections view this horse as their live runner, making that market move hard to ignore.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Regional Rock has drifted out in the market (no Mkt:in flag, no positive MarkMv) while So Darn Hot is in 34% — market money is moving away from the pick, not toward it.
Form of 12-23 shows he was beaten into 3rd last time out, and with only 4 career runs he is unexposed to pace pressure in a field containing Supreme King (14 days fresh, Oisin Murphy booking, market…
No Course or Going flags recorded for Regional Rock — no evidence he handles Salisbury's unique downhill camber, whereas Dr Strangelove holds Course:W1P2 and Supreme King holds Course:W1P1.
Supreme King (SR:93) and Golden Brown (SR:94) are both 3yo rivals with lower weight (9-2 and 9-3) and recent course form, meaning Regional Rock's weight edge over them is modest and his SR advantage…