Salisbury 15:00 RESULTED
Class 3 12 Aug 2026

Wednesday 12 August Frazier Jones Wine Merchants Handicap Stakes

Frazier Jones Wine Merchants Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Frazier Jones Wine Merchants Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Supreme King (IRE) Oisin Murphy · David Evans
    4/1
  2. Second Dandana (GB)
    18/1
  3. 13/8F
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
So Darn Hot silks
So Darn Hot
Age 4 · 10-0
-06705
90
92
98
4
10-0
9/4 10/3 32/17
Winless in his last five starts, So Darn Hot nonetheless rates top of these on our figures and has experience of today's distance and going. Fresh enough after 33 days, he carries 140 lb from stall one and looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dr Strangelove silks
Dr Strangelove
Age 4 · 9-10
7-4322
86
89
91
4
9-10
15/2 4/1 15/2
Consistent and knocking hard on the door, Dr Strangelove has finished second twice and third once in his last three starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before — draw two, carrying 136 lb. The risk is that he remains winless in recent starts despite his solid profile.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Dandana silks
Dandana
Age 3 · 9-9
140-04
89
76
89
3
9-9
12/1 8/1 12/1
Dandana showed her best when winning one start back — sorry, a winner **five** starts back, and back in the mix with a fourth last time out after two unplaced efforts, she returns in good nick just 16 days on with experience over today's trip and going; the main risk is that she's been inconsistent in recent starts. --- Let me recount carefully: Latest first: 4th (1), unplaced (2), unplaced (3), 4th (4
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Regional Rock silks
Regional Rock
Age 3 · 9-5
12-23
85
99
87
3
9-5
9/2 3/1 9/2
Consistent performer who has placed in three of his last four starts, with a win in the other, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the weight of 131 lb from stall 4 could prove the limiting factor against stronger-rated rivals.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Golden Brown silks
Golden Brown
Age 3 · 9-3
02-218
83
94
91
3
9-3
6/1 5/1 6/1
Golden Brown won two starts back and was second the two runs before that, giving him a consistent placed profile over this trip and going; the main concern is that eight-week absence after that disappointing latest run.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
An Outlaw's Grace silks
An Outlaw's Grace
Age 4 · 9-2
620354
78
83
84
4
9-2
9/1 15/2 8/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked last on our figures, An Outlaw's Grace faces a stiff ask at 128 lb from stall 3; a third three starts back is the best he can offer, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns on a reasonable 23-day break.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Supreme King silks
Supreme King
Age 6 · 9-2
512227
78
93
86
6
9-2
4/1 11/4 7/2
Beaten in five of his last six starts — finishing seventh last time out after back-to-back seconds — Supreme King ranks sixth of seven on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite experience over today's trip and distance and a 14-day turnaround that suggests he's ready to run.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 So Darn Hot 9/4 open 8.00 2/1 open 7.00 9/4 open 7.00 9/4 open 7.00 15/8 open 4.33 9/4 Bet365
2 Dr Strangelove 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 Betfred
3 Dandana 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
4 Regional Rock 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 Coral
5 Golden Brown 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
6 An Outlaw's Grace 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365
7 Supreme King 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

So Darn Hot

Speculative

So Darn Hot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Supreme King

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · David Evans
✓ Value Signal

Dandana

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. So Darn Hot
56.6 9/4
2 7. Supreme King
54.2 4/1
3 4. Regional Rock
53.5 9/2
4 2. Dr Strangelove
53.3 15/2
5 5. Golden Brown
52.0 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Regional Rock
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-0
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 9-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-5
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-3
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-10
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Regional Rock
Confidence: Speculative

Regional Rock (SR:99, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and carries a favourable 9-5, giving him a significant weight advantage over So Darn Hot (10-0) and a meaningful lbs edge on every other runner. His form of 12-23 shows consistent competency at this level — placed in all four runs with a win included — and DistFit:+ confirms he handles this 6f trip comfortably. Ralph Beckett's 17% strike rate is the best among trainers represented here, and Hector Crouch at 17% is a strong booking for the yard. The price of 10/3 implies roughly 23% market probability, yet his SR lead and weight advantage make him a genuine standout in a modest Class 3 field. Each-way alternative: So Darn Hot. Main danger: So Darn Hot — So Darn Hot (SR:92, 7/2) has steamed in 34% in the market — the most significant market move in the race — and a 3lb drop in the handicap mark (MarkMv:-3) combined with Ed Walker's deliberate stablemate split suggests connections view this horse as their live runner, making that market move hard to ignore.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Regional Rock has drifted out in the market (no Mkt:in flag, no positive MarkMv) while So Darn Hot is in 34% — market money is moving away from the pick, not toward it.
  • Form of 12-23 shows he was beaten into 3rd last time out, and with only 4 career runs he is unexposed to pace pressure in a field containing Supreme King (14 days fresh, Oisin Murphy booking, market…
  • No Course or Going flags recorded for Regional Rock — no evidence he handles Salisbury's unique downhill camber, whereas Dr Strangelove holds Course:W1P2 and Supreme King holds Course:W1P1.
  • Supreme King (SR:93) and Golden Brown (SR:94) are both 3yo rivals with lower weight (9-2 and 9-3) and recent course form, meaning Regional Rock's weight edge over them is modest and his SR advantage…
Shortlist Regional Rock, So Darn Hot, Supreme King
Each-way: So Darn Hot Danger: So Darn Hot

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade