Kempton (AW) 17:30 RESULTED
Class 3 12 Aug 2026

Wednesday 12 August Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 7f

Official Result

Unibet/british Stallion Studs Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Coaxed (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden
    9/2
  2. 11/4
  3. 80/1
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17:30–21:00 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Woollahra silks
Woollahra Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-2
2
9-2
SP FCST 6/1
1
Coaxed silks
Coaxed
Age 2 · 9-2
152
2
9-2
7/2 3/1 7/2
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Cullenagh Rainbow silks
Cullenagh Rainbow
Age 2 · 9-2
124
2
9-2
50/1 16/1 50/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Friendly Force silks
Friendly Force
Age 2 · 9-2
142
2
9-2
10/1 11/1 17/2
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Marsala silks
Marsala
Age 2 · 9-2
4
157
2
9-2
13/8 11/4 31/19
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Miss Miniver silks
Miss Miniver
Age 2 · 9-2
150
2
9-2
5/1 3/1 9/2
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Please Don't Go silks
Please Don't Go
Age 2 · 9-2
0
144
2
9-2
6/1 11/1 9/2
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
South China Sea silks
South China Sea
Age 2 · 9-2
124
2
9-2
50/1 14/1 50/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Speed Nation silks
Speed Nation
Age 2 · 9-2
7
136
2
9-2
20/1 11/1 20/1
SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Spirit Of Progress silks
Spirit Of Progress
Age 2 · 9-2
0
124
2
9-2
250/1 100/1 150/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Sweet Katarina silks
Sweet Katarina
Age 2 · 9-2
124
2
9-2
80/1 22/1 66/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Sweltering silks
Sweltering
Age 2 · 9-2
146
2
9-2
9/1 13/2 8/1
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Thuritha silks
Thuritha
Age 2 · 9-2
5
125
2
9-2
40/1 14/1 40/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Woollahra 6/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 Coral
1 Coaxed 7/2 open 5.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 Coral
2 Cullenagh Rainbow 50/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 23.00 66/1 Coral
3 Friendly Force 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Marsala 13/8 open 5.50 13/8 open 4.33 13/8 open 4.33 13/8 open 4.33 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 Bet365
5 Miss Miniver 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.33 11/2 Coral
6 Please Don't Go 6/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 17.00 5/1 open 17.00 11/2 open 17.00 9/2 open 12.00 6/1 Bet365
7 South China Sea 50/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 15.00 66/1 Coral
8 Speed Nation 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Coral
9 Spirit Of Progress 250/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 250/1 Bet365
10 Sweet Katarina 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 23.00 80/1 Bet365
11 Sweltering 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
12 Thuritha 40/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 15.00 50/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Marsala

High conviction

Marsala owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Ralph Beckett Edward Greatrex
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Coaxed

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Spirit Of Progress

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

250/1 · Daisy Hitchins
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Marsala
72.5 13/8
2 1. Coaxed
69.6 7/2
3 5. Miss Miniver
67.1 5/1
4 3. Friendly Force
65.0 10/1
5 11. Sweltering
63.8 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Marsala
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-2
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
5/1
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 2 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 146 🐾

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-2
20/1
★★★☆☆ SR 136 🐾

SR 136 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Marsala
Confidence: Speculative

Marsala (SR:157, 7/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and has attracted very significant market confidence, steaming in 34% from her opening price — the strongest market move in the race. Her sole run produced a fourth, which coming from a Ralph Beckett yard stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) suggests the experience of that debut will have sharpened her considerably. Beckett (17% strike rate, 915 runners) is a formidable handler of progressive 2yo fillies, and Edward Greatrex (14%, 619) is a competent booking. The drift on the market's second pick Coaxed (out 6%) and the collapse of Miss Miniver (out 25%) further confirms the money is firmly behind Marsala. Each-way alternative: Coaxed. Main danger: Coaxed — Coaxed (SR:152, 10/3) is the second-highest rated runner from the powerful Gosden yard and, while drifting slightly (out 6%), remains a heavily-backed debutante whose SR of 152 makes her the only other runner clearly in the same ability bracket as Marsala.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Marsala's sole career run ended in a fourth-place finish — she has yet to win, and is now asked to handle a class rise (ClassMv:↑1) on an AW surface at Kempton where debut form from a turf track may…
  • Edward Greatrex's 14% strike rate is merely competent, and notably Beckett's yard has not booked a top-tier jockey here — if Marsala were a banker, a stronger pilot (e.g. Dettori-level) might have be…
  • Coaxed (SR:152, Gosden yard at 24% strike rate) is trained by one of the most powerful 2yo handlers in Britain and is only 5 SR points behind Marsala — at 10/3 with a top yard and Robert Havlin, she…
  • A 41-day gap since her only run means Marsala heads into a competitive AW sprint without having franked that fourth-place debut; the form of that race is entirely unproven and the fourth position its…
Shortlist Marsala, Coaxed, Miss Miniver, Please Don't Go
Each-way: Coaxed Danger: Coaxed

🗺 The Course Class 3

7f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade