Port Louis was third two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, so conditions pose no concern; yet to score in his last six, he remains a lively contender from stall one carrying 135 lb fresh enough on 20 days' rest.
Form last 6208038
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR73RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts, with finishes of fifth, sixth, eighth, and third four starts back, Next Guilian rates below the field on our figures; experience over today's trip and going and a 30-day break offer slim encouragement, but he faces a stiff task from stall five off a mark of 70.
Form last 63-865
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR56RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Twice third in recent starts and clearly capable on his day, The Stone Power has run over today's trip and is rated our second best of these carrying 134 lb from stall four on a quick 12-day turnaround — the pulled-up effort last time is the one thing punters must forgive.
Form last 63-374P
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR73RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third three starts back and fourth last time out, Royal Bodyguard has run over today's trip and going, rates highest of the six on our figures, and carries a workable 132 lb from stall two — though a 54-day absence and a trainer firing at just 5% are the risks.
Form last 62-8364
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR74RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistently placed in recent starts, John Harrison brings solid each-way claims having finished third last time out and third two starts back, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour from stall three. The main risk is that he remains winless in his last five outings.
Form last 682-433
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
72SR65RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last three starts — including back-to-back seventh-place finishes — Brave New World has experience over today's trip but shaped poorly throughout, and at 49 on our figures he ranks last of six, making him very difficult to fancy here.
Form last 6077
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR49RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
The Stone Power owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Ralph BeckettRhys Clutterbuck
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Royal Bodyguard
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Michael Bell✓ Value Signal
Port Louis
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
- · Bernard Llewellyn◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
The Stone Power (SR:71, 9/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field at a competitive SR for this Class 5 heat, and crucially carries only 9-8 — a 2lb edge on top-rated Royal Bodyguard (SR:73) who is running off 9-6 but with a 67-day absence and a questionable going record (GoingFit:?). The Stone Power's DistFit:+ confirms genuine aptitude at this mile trip, and Ralph Beckett's 17% strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the race. The form string of 3-374P has a pulled-up blot, but the horse was last seen just 12 days ago suggesting connections are happy to run again quickly — a positive signal on fitness — and the 9/4 market price reflects the field's respect for its ability even if there's a drift risk given the P in recent form.
Each-way alternative: John Harrison.
Main danger: John Harrison — John Harrison (SR:72, 3/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-2, has Alan King's 14% strike rate behind him, and Luke Catton's 17% jockey strike rate is the best booking in the race — the 6lb weight pull over The Stone Power is a meaningful advantage over a flat mile on good ground.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 3-374P includes a pulled-up last run — not 12 days ago as analyst implies; the P blot raises a serious fitness/soundness question that a quick turnaround alone doesn't resolve.
Jockey Rhys Clutterbuck has a 6% strike rate (142 rides) — the weakest jockey stat among the leading fancies, and notably inferior to Luke Catton (17%) on John Harrison.
John Harrison (SR:72, 3/1) is nearly identically rated, is only 6lbs higher weighted on a Class 5 handicap mark, and is trained by Alan King (14%) with a far more consistent recent form string of 82-…
The Stone Power's market is flagged with no drift/in movement noted while Brave New World is steaming in (7%) and Royal Bodyguard's absence concern is already priced in — suggesting the 9/4 is not un…
ShortlistThe Stone Power, John Harrison, Royal Bodyguard