Salisbury 16:30 RESULTED
Class 1 12 Aug 2026

Wednesday 12 August British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m1f201y

Official Result

British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner On Message (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett
    14/1
  2. 13/8J
  3. 13/8J
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Alla Stella silks
Alla Stella
Age 4 · 9-4
/36522
99
91
103
4
9-4
17/2 9/2 17/2
Alla Stella has finished second in each of her last two starts and brings strong recent consistency to this contest; drawn three and carrying 130 lb, the weight burden is the one factor to watch, though her experience over today's trip keeps her firmly in the mix.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Goldilocks Cen silks
Goldilocks Cen
Age 4 · 9-4
21-059
86
58
97
4
9-4
66/1 33/1 66/1
Landed a win four starts back and filled the runner-up spot five starts back, but has disappointed in her last three outings since; she has run over today's going before and draws stall two carrying 130 lb, though recent form gives as much reason for caution as hope.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Regal Charm silks
Regal Charm
Age 4 · 9-4
302-12
99
101
106
4
9-4
8/1 13/2 7/1
Regal Charm shaped well with a second last time out following a win two starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going. Carrying 130 lb from stall one, her rating of 106 marks her as the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Annastarzy silks
Annastarzy
Age 3 · 8-10
481116
88
84
96
3
8-10
20/1 9/1 20/1
Three wins in her last six starts show Annastarzy has ability, but that sixth last time out is a concern, and ranked sixth of seven on our figures she faces a stiff ask here; the going holds no fears, at least.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Felicitas silks
Felicitas
Age 3 · 8-10
1-127
103
116
101
3
8-10
11/8 31/19 5/4
Felicitas landed back-to-back wins three and four starts back, and her second two starts back shows she retains ability — but that seventh last time out after 59 days off raises a fitness query she must answer here.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Miss Scott silks
Miss Scott
Age 3 · 8-10
1-21
92
108
93
3
8-10
15/8 2/1 7/4
Ranked bottom of seven on our figures and her speed rating of 77 gives little encouragement, though Miss Scott arrives in fair nick — a winner last time out and again three starts back, with experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
On Message silks
On Message
Age 3 · 8-10
1-1374
99
102
102
3
8-10
11/1 15/2 10/1
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Alla Stella 17/2 open 5.50 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 Coral
2 Goldilocks Cen 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
3 Regal Charm 8/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 Bet365
4 Annastarzy 20/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 10.00 25/1 Coral
5 Felicitas 11/8 open 2.63 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.88 5/4 open 2.75 11/8 Bet365
6 Miss Scott 15/8 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
7 On Message 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Felicitas

Live signal

Felicitas owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Miss Scott

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Goldilocks Cen

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Archie Watson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Felicitas
65.3 11/8
2 6. Miss Scott
59.0 15/8
3 3. Regal Charm
52.4 8/1
4 7. On Message
51.1 11/1
5 1. Alla Stella
50.9 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Miss Scott
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 8-10
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 116 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 3 · 8-10
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 108 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 4 · 9-4
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-4
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 8-10
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 8-10
20/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Miss Scott
Confidence: Speculative

Miss Scott (SR:108, 15/8) is the most compelling profile in this field despite not holding the highest SR. She carries just 8-10, benefits from the Gosden/Murphy combination (trainer 24% strike rate, jockey 21%), has shortened 11% in the market — the only genuine steamer in the race — and steps up just one class off a Listed win last time out (Form: 1-21). The MarkMv:+1 signals she is running off essentially the same mark as her last win, meaning the handicapper has barely reacted. Felicitas holds the SR edge at 116 but has been off 91 days with all distance and going fitness flags unresolved, making her the greater uncertainty. Miss Scott's market support is the decisive differentiating signal in a field where multiple runners show unresolved DistFit and GoingFit questions. Each-way alternative: Regal Charm. Main danger: Felicitas — Felicitas holds the field's highest SR at 116 and her form includes a recent Listed-level 2nd (Form: 1-127 read right-to-left: last run 7th, but prior runs show a win and a 2nd at this class), and if Ed Walker has her fit after 91 days she retains the class edge that the SR reflects.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Miss Scott steps up to a handicap off a Listed win, facing rivals who are proven handicappers — her mark of effectively +1 may still underestimate how sharply handicappers will reassess a Listed winn…
  • Regal Charm has course form (W1P1 at Salisbury) and is only 10% drifted, while Miss Scott has no recorded course form — Salisbury's unique downhill track can catch out unexposed horses unfamiliar wit…
  • On Message (MarkMv:+19) and Annastarzy (MarkMv:+13) carry significantly higher marks relative to their last wins yet are priced far wider — the market may be overly inflating Miss Scott's form given…
  • Miss Scott's form reads 1-21, meaning her most recent run before the Listed win was a second and a first — a very shallow form base of just 3 career starts for a horse now asked to beat proven handic…
Shortlist Miss Scott, Felicitas, Regal Charm, On Message
Each-way: Regal Charm Danger: Felicitas

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m1f201y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade