Salisbury 17:00 RESULTED
Class 4 12 Aug 2026

Wednesday 12 August Champagne Joseph Perrier Handicap Stakes

Champagne Joseph Perrier Handicap Stakes · 1m1f201y

Official Result

Champagne Joseph Perrier Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mythical Bird (IRE) Rob Hornby · Hughie Morrison
    7/1
  2. 3/1
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Londoner silks
Londoner
Age 6 · 9-10
159542
86
87
87
6
9-10
7/2 10/3 7/2
Londoner ran a cracker second last time out and returns on a quick 11-day turnaround fit and ready, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; the concern is he's been beaten in his last five starts, so he must convert promise into victory.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Fox Avatar silks
Fox Avatar
Age 5 · 9-7
151-67
83
92
81
5
9-7
11/4 9/4 11/4
Fox Avatar showed a good turn of foot when winning three starts back, but has disappointed in his last two outings since; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 133 lb from stall 5, and the 44-day break leaves his current fitness open to question.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Miss Tonnerre silks
Miss Tonnerre
Age 4 · 9-7
7704-0
83
77
94
4
9-7
7/1 16/1 6/1
Winless in her last five starts but Miss Tonnerre's ratings profile edges this field, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions. A fourth two starts back offers a flicker of encouragement; fourth from stall three, this is her spot to finally deliver.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Almekarem silks
Almekarem
Age 4 · 9-2
364-17
78
80
76
4
9-2
11/2 6/1 11/2
Beaten well last time out after winning two starts back, Almekarem rates below the mark on our figures as only the sixth of seven on our ratings, though he has experience over today's trip and going, returns fit on 11 days' rest, and stall one is his lot.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Eupator silks
Eupator
Age 4 · 9-1
942563
77
76
83
4
9-1
9/1 4/1 9/1
Eupator has run over today's trip and going before, and his third last time out — alongside a second four starts back — shows he can get competitive; our rating of 83 suggests he holds strong claims, though he remains winless in recent starts and must bounce back from that sixth two runs ago.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Carnival Day silks
Carnival Day
Age 5 · 9-1
24-374
77
83
82
5
9-1
5/1 9/2 5/1
SR 83 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Mythical Bird silks
Mythical Bird
Age 4 · 8-12
-13003
74
74
75
4
8-12
9/1 7/2 17/2
Two unplaced efforts sandwiched around a third last time out make her hard to fancy ranked last on our figures, though she has distance and going experience and that sole win in her last five starts shows she can find the line.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Londoner 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
2 Fox Avatar 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
3 Miss Tonnerre 7/1 open 26.00 13/2 open 21.00 13/2 open 21.00 13/2 open 19.00 6/1 open 17.00 7/1 Bet365
4 Almekarem 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
5 Eupator 9/1 open 5.00 10/1 open 5.00 10/1 open 5.00 10/1 open 5.00 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 Coral
6 Carnival Day 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
7 Mythical Bird 9/1 open 4.50 9/1 open 4.50 9/1 open 4.50 9/1 open 4.50 17/2 open 5.50 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fox Avatar

Speculative

Fox Avatar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Roger Varian Oisin Murphy
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Carnival Day

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Jim Boyle
✓ Value Signal

Mythical Bird

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

9/1 · Hughie Morrison
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Fox Avatar
54.8 11/4
2 6. Carnival Day
53.8 5/1
3 1. Londoner
53.6 7/2
4 4. Almekarem
53.2 11/2
5 3. Miss Tonnerre
51.4 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Fox Avatar
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 9-7
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 9-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-1
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-2
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-1
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 8-12
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fox Avatar
Confidence: Speculative

Fox Avatar (SR 92, 5/2) is the clear SR leader in this modest Class 4 field and carries a manageable 9-7, giving him a 3lb weight advantage over top-weight Londoner (SR 87, 9-10). The 20% market shortening is the most significant signal in the race — Varian/Murphy is a powerful booking with a combined career profile (19%/21% strike rates) that dwarfs every other yard-jockey combination declared. Form of 151-67 shows he's capable of winning at a higher level than this, and while DistFit and GoingFit are both unknown, the absence of negative flags (unlike Londoner's GoingFit:-) means uncertainty rather than proven unsuitability. The market is backing him with conviction and the SR advantage is real. Each-way alternative: Carnival Day. Main danger: Londoner — Londoner (SR 87) is the second-best rated horse in the field and the Marquand booking gives him a live chance, though GoingFit:- is a real concern on this Good to Firm surface and a form line of 159542 lacks a recent standout effort.

Case against 3 clamped
  • 44-day absence is a notable freshness risk — Fox Avatar's last run was nearly 6 weeks ago and his form string (151-67) shows two poor runs (6,7) immediately before this layoff, suggesting he may have…
  • The MarkMv of only +2 is modest despite the 20% market shortening — the official handicapper has not upgraded him meaningfully, implying the market move may be trainer/jockey confidence rather than d…
  • Form figures of 6,7 in his two most recent completed starts suggest a horse that has regressed from his best (the 1,5,1 earlier) and whose SR of 92 may be flattering his current ability level.
Shortlist Fox Avatar, Londoner, Carnival Day, Almekarem
Each-way: Carnival Day Danger: Londoner

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m1f201y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Salisbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade