Nammos shaped well when second three starts back and has experience of today's trip and going to call upon, but she'll need to reverse two subsequent fifth-place finishes to make her presence felt from stall 10 carrying 135 lb.
Form last 6261255
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR61RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Angel's Call won last time out but that sole success in his last six starts tells its own story, and our figures rank him eighth of ten here. The 43-day break adds a fitness query, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6797941
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR50RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 85 days off, Kev faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's trip before and a rating of 53 offers marginal encouragement from stall six at 130 lb.
Form last 60-0980
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR53RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Rival nonetheless brings solid experience of today's trip and conditions, and 28 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; the main concern is that his recent finishing positions have been trending in the wrong direction.
Form last 624-865
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR55RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Oviedo has run over today's trip and going, and our rating puts him clear of his rivals, but his recent form — winless in his last five starts, including three ninths — offers little encouragement from stall five off 75 days.
Form last 6900-99
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR66RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Twice placed in his last six starts — third last time out and a second three starts back — King Of The Dance has run over today's trip and going and returns fit on a quick 15-day turnaround; the risk is he remains winless and that mid-race exit leaves a blot on the form.
Form last 64452U3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR57RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and a modest official mark of 45 underline the task facing Uncle Albert, though our rating suggests a shade more ability than that; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 50 days off may have freshened him up.
Form last 6-86798
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR52RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last five starts and 58 days off the track, Change Of Fortune does at least have experience of today's trip and going, and a draw of two to note; third two starts back shows ability, but that ninth last time out is the concerning angle.
Form last 6-58439
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR53RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts, with a pair of sixths and an eighth punctuating a recent second, Ivat Ghia is hard to fancy off a rating of 52 — yet that runner-up finish shows she has competed respectably, and she has run over today's trip before.
Form last 68662
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR49RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts and absent for 197 days, Big Moonrise faces a stiff task here; a third last time out offers a crumb of encouragement, and he has run over today's trip before, but returning from such a lengthy break makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 646-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR45RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
King Of The Dance owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (30) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Bernard LlewellynDonagh Murphy(7)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Nammos
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · John & Rhys Flint✓ Value Signal
Big Moonrise
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · David Evans◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
King Of The Dance (SR:54, 4/1, Wgt:9-2) is the highest-rated runner aside from Nammos, carries a lighter weight, and crucially arrives off a mark that has dropped 4lb since last win — the most favourable handicap position in the field. Course form of 0W/3P at Ffos Las is meaningful evidence of track suitability, and GoingFit:~ on today's good ground is workable. The DistFit:~ at a mile is moderate but not a disqualifier, and a 15-day turnaround suggests connections are confident. Within the Llewellyn yard, Change Of Fortune carries the money (Mkt:in15%) but has GoingFit:- and a weaker recent form string (last run a 9), making King Of The Dance the yard's more compelling runner on balance.
Each-way alternative: Change Of Fortune.
Main danger: Nammos — Nammos is the highest SR in the field at 62, has shortened 7% in the market, and trainer Flint running him as the yard's #1 with William Carson booked — despite DistFit:- and GoingFit:-, the raw ability edge could simply overpower this modest Class 6 field.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Course record of 0W/3P at Ffos Las shows King Of The Dance consistently places but has never converted at this track — a pattern of near-misses rather than evidence of an impending win.
HG:p (going preference for soft/heavy) is a concern on today's good ground — the horse may not be ideally suited to the faster surface and could find conditions against.
Nammos (SR:62, same odds 4/1) is rated 8lb superior, is freshened on a 35-day break, and is shortening in the market (in7%) — a stronger rival at identical odds makes King Of The Dance poor value.
Apprentice jockey Donagh Murphy (7lb claim, 11% strike rate on limited 130 rides) is a downgrade concern in a competitive 10-runner handicap where the market principals are ridden by more experienced…
ShortlistKing Of The Dance, Nammos, Change Of Fortune, Angel's Call