Ireland 4yo

Must Believe (GB)

T: George Baker · J: Ryan Kavanagh · O: Benji Arter

By Make Believe (GB) out of Dalhousie (GB)

Form 771412-4518

11/1 Current odds

3/12 W/R

88 RPR

72 TS

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Active

12 runs
3 wins
placed
25% strike
42 d off
88 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 771412-4518 42 days off

8 1 5 4 2 1

At Goodwood 0/2 0 wins · 0 placed

On Good to Soft 0/1 0 wins · 0 placed

Best RPR 88 Career peak

Best TS 72 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 12 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 47
Win %: 25%
Placed %: 42%
Trend: Climbing

Course Record

7 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Kempton (AW) — well clear of the 42% career baseline.

Kempton (AW) SPEC 67% 2-0-3
Southwell (AW) 50% 1-0-2
Chelmsford (AW) 0% 0-0-2
Goodwood 0% 0-0-2
Haydock 100% 0-1-1
Wolverhampton (AW) 100% 0-1-1
Lingfield (AW) 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

9 jockeys · 2 trainers

Jockeys

Hector Crouch 67% 1-1-3
Tommie Jakes 50% 1-0-2
Charlie Bennett 100% 0-1-1
Jack Dace 100% 1-0-1
Alec Voikhansky 0% 0-0-1
Jack Callan(3) 0% 0-0-1
Mason Paetel 0% 0-0-1
Ryan Kavanagh NOW 0% 0-0-1
Saffie Osborne 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Ismail Mohammed 40% 2-2-10
George Baker NOW 50% 1-0-2

Going Record

12 classifiable runs

Allrounder Handles a range — peak 50% on Good to Soft, but no surface bias jumps out.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 100% 0-1-1
Good 29% 1-1-7
Good to Soft 50% 2-0-4
Soft — 0 runs
Heavy — 0 runs

Distance Record

12 classifiable runs

Leaning Best at middle trips (56% itm) but capable elsewhere.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f — 0 runs
Mile 7f – 1m1f — 0 runs
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 56% 3-2-9
Staying ≥ 1m4f 0% 0-0-3

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

5 Jun 2026 Goodwood Horseracing Club Membership Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Goodwood Class 4 P 8th/9 11 Good To Soft 1m4f Ryan Kavanagh OR 76 11/1

4 May 2026 Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Kempton (AW) Class 5 1st/10 +0 Standard To Slow 1m3f Jack Dace OR 72 13/2

4 Feb 2026 Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap (London Middle Distance Qualifier) Kempton (AW) Class 5 V 5th/13 1.5 Standard To Slow 1m3f Mason Paetel OR 73 11/2

15 Jan 2026 Curry And Racing Tonight Handicap Chelmsford (AW) Class 5 V 4th/7 .5 Standard 1m5½f Hector Crouch OR 74 4/1

20 Dec 2025 Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Handicap (Div I) Wolverhampton (AW) Class 5 V 2nd/10 1.5 Standard 1m4f Hector Crouch OR 73 4/1

26 Nov 2025 Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap Southwell (AW) Class 5 V 1st/11 +0 Standard 1m3f Hector Crouch OR 69 11/2

30 Oct 2025 Betfair Exchange Beacons Handicap Chelmsford (AW) Class 5 V 4th/5 .5 Standard 1m5½f Alec Voikhansky OR 69 7/4

18 Sep 2025 Try Unibet's New Acca Boosts Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Kempton (AW) Class 5 V 1st/13 +0 Standard To Slow 1m3f Tommie Jakes OR 67 6/1

28 Jul 2025 Download The At The Races App Handicap Southwell (AW) Class 5 V 7th/11 4.5 Standard 1m6f Tommie Jakes OR 68 9/2

19 Jun 2025 Highbet Ascot Free Bet Drop Handicap Lingfield (AW) Class 5 V 7th/8 13 Standard 1m2f Jack Callan OR 70 11/2

Connections

Trainer: George Baker 7%
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh 9%
Owner: Benji Arter
Sire: Make Believe (GB)
Dam: Dalhousie (GB)
Dam sire: Golden Horn
Country: Ireland
Age: 4yo

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