Winless in her last six starts, though a third two runs back and a second four runs back show she can hit the frame; has run over today's trip and a 64 rating suggests she retains ability, but the seventh last time out is the concern.
Form last 6342437
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR64RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts, with two unplaced efforts and an eighth framing a deeply uninspiring recent profile, Walls Cross carries 139 lb from stall 18 and our figures rank her 17th of 20, making her very hard to fancy here.
Form last 6080
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR51RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Medieval Night is winless in his last six starts, though a third five starts back offers a flicker of hope; sixth last time out after 21 days off suggests fitness is not the issue, and he has distance and going experience to call on from stall 4 off 138 lb.
Form last 6830476
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR65RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Placed third last time out and a winner two starts back, Nibras Rainbow has run over today's trip and going and arrives fit on 23 days' rest, but 138 lb is a hefty burden from stall 11 and the trainer has drawn a blank in 21 recent attempts.
Form last 6013213
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR61RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Urban War has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 74 tops the field, but he arrives winless in his last five starts — fifth last time out, with a second four starts back his best recent effort — and a trainer in the depths of a cold spell gives slight pause.
Form last 632/065
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR75RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Brewel Hill shaped with promise when fifth two starts back and posted a solid third four starts back, and our rating of 67 puts him firmly in contention; the risk is that he's been winless in recent starts and an unplaced effort last time raises questions.
Form last 6030-50
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR67RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Rockbury Lad faces a stiff task from stall 12 carrying 136 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and our rating of 61 suggests a shade more ability than his official mark of 54 implies.
Form last 6006079
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR61RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Chapel Island nonetheless catches the eye on a speed rating of 66 — third-best in the field — and has run over today's trip before, while 26 days between runs suggests he returns fresh; the concern is those consecutive fourths and a fifth suggest a horse that threatens without delivering.
Form last 67-8544
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR66RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cleopatra's Needle has placed twice in her last five starts — second two starts back and second three starts back — but a disappointing ninth last time out clouds her chance here, and she remains winless in recent starts despite the fitness boost of a 14-day turnaround.
Form last 620-229
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR58RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts, with consecutive unplaced efforts making her hard to fancy here, and a rating of 34 ranked last in the field offers little encouragement; the 30-day break at least means she arrives fresh, but she faces a stiff ask from stall 20 carrying 132 lb.
Form last 6007
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR34RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in her last four starts and returning after 91 days off, Money Shuffler faces a stiff ask from stall 19 carrying 132 lb, though our rating of 60 suggests she holds more ability than her official mark of 50 implies.
Form last 60680-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
27SR60RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last five starts and absent for 122 days, Chavajod faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 58 offers a sliver of encouragement from stall 17 carrying 131 lb.
Form last 6000-00
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR58RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Chou Chou landed a winner five starts back but has struggled since, finishing no better than seventh in his last four outings; he has run over today's distance and going before, though 72 days off the track and a big weight of 131 lb make this a stiff ask.
Form last 6179-90
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
25SR56RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Thegooseiscooked was third last time out after a run of unplaced efforts, giving her form some encouragement, though she remains winless in recent starts; she has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 55 suggests a shade of unexploited potential from stall 8 off 130 lb.
Form last 664-003
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR55RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Nephin Mountain won two starts back but has been out of the frame either side of that success, finishing sixth last time out; he has run over today's trip and going, though his ranking of 14th of 20 on speed ratings suggests he faces a stiff task from stall seven off 128 lb.
Form last 6840516
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR54RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 18 of 20 on our figures, Duchess Anne makes a tall ask here, though second last time out at least shows she can hit the frame; she has run over today's trip before and steps out from stall one carrying 125 lb.
Form last 6006-42
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR50RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and last seen 68 days ago, Reponse Finale heads into this off the back of a struggling trainer (1/28 in the last 14 days) and an official mark of just 42 — though she has run over today's trip and going before, and our figures rate her a shade ahead of her official rating.
Form last 660-084
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
54SR53RPR42OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last six starts, with unplaced efforts dominating her recent form, Shahada Ace is hard to fancy on these figures, though she has run over today's trip before and 18 days between runs leaves her reasonably fresh.
Form last 6990006
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR53RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in his last three starts, with a pair of eighth-place finishes and an unplaced run to his name, Winston's Promise is hard to fancy ranked 19 of 20 on our figures; the 15-day turnaround at least suggests fitness is not an issue.
Form last 6088
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR43RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Dancing Steve nevertheless catches the eye on a speed rating of 65 — the fourth-highest in this field — stepping back up to a trip and going he has experience of; the risk is that recent form offers precious little encouragement.
Form last 60-0008
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR65RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nibras Rainbow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (63). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
8/1Paul W FlynnLeigh Roche
63%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Reponse Finale
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Gavin Cromwell✓ Value Signal
Urban War
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · John Joseph Hanlon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Reponse Finale (SR:54, 9/2, Wgt:8-12) carries the joint-lowest weight among the SR-competitive horses and has steamed in 41% from opening — the most dramatic market move in the entire field of 20, signalling strong informed support. At SR:54 it matches Miss Crinshawn for the highest rating in the race while being at least 4lb better off at the weights compared to Nibras Rainbow (9-12) and Miss Crinshawn (10-2), a meaningful advantage in a €6,000 handicap on good-to-firm ground. Gavin Cromwell's yard runs at 9% overall and the booking of Robert Whearty is consistent; the 68-day break is the one concern but the 41% market move suggests connections are confident the horse is tuned up. The combination of joint-top SR, lowest competitive weight, and by far the most significant steam in the field makes this the standout selection.
Each-way alternative: Nibras Rainbow.
Main danger: Nibras Rainbow — Nibras Rainbow (SR:58, the highest in the field) has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and a recent form string of 013213 showing consistent competitiveness, and despite drifting 39% could be a market over-reaction to the mark rise of +4 — the raw SR edge is real and could overpower the weight.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
68-day absence is a significant fitness worry — Cromwell's yard runs at only 9% strike rate, giving little confidence the horse is spot-on first time back from a near 10-week break.
Recent form reads 60-084: no win in last six starts, last victory appears well in the past, and the '0' most recently suggests no meaningful impact at a similar level.
Nibras Rainbow (SR:58) actually holds a higher speed rating despite conceding less weight than the analyst claims — at 9-12 vs 8-12 that is a 14lb swing, but Nibras Rainbow's superior SR:58 may more…
Robert Whearty's 7% strike rate is modest; in a competitive 20-runner handicap, jockey accuracy in traffic and positioning over a demanding Gowran Park track could be a real disadvantage.
ShortlistReponse Finale, Nibras Rainbow, Miss Crinshawn, Thegooseiscooked