Kempton (AW) 18:30 RESULTED
Class 4 12 Aug 2026

Wednesday 12 August Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 7f

Official Result

Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Percy's Lad (GB) Ebrahim Nader · Daniel & Claire Kubler
    5/1
  2. 5/2F
  3. 16/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Percy's Lad silks
Percy's Lad
Age 8 · 9-10
/00626
86
84
97
8
9-10
5/1 11/4 5/1
Percy's Lad showed sharp improvement when second two starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and going to call on; winless in his last five starts remains the caveat, though a rating of 97 marks him as the one to beat from stall 3.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Dapper Guest silks
Dapper Guest
Age 4 · 9-9
086408
85
75
77
4
9-9
6/1 4/1 11/2
Winless in his last six starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Dapper Guest faces a stiff task here; an eighth last time out and an unplaced effort two starts back offer little encouragement, though he has run over today's trip and goes to post fresh enough on 19 days' rest.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Eminency silks
Eminency
Age 6 · 9-7
435477
83
75
90
6
9-7
11/1 15/2 11/1
Eminency arrives in sound nick after 16 days off, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour, and our rating of 90 marks him as a strong contender — though he is winless in his last six starts, and that seventh last time out is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Cogitate silks
Cogitate
Age 5 · 9-7
207354
83
87
92
5
9-7
11/4
Cogitate shaped with real promise when third three starts back and runner-up six starts back, and having run over today's trip and going he arrives fit on a 16-day turnaround carrying 133 lb from stall nine; the concern is he has been winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Brosay silks
Brosay
Age 4 · 9-6
560609
82
60
88
4
9-6
25/1 11/1 22/1
Winless in his last six starts, Brosay does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 16 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; however, his recent finishes — including two unplaced efforts — make it hard to fancy him strongly from stall 8 off 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Orchid silks
Orchid
Age 4 · 9-5
54-694
81
63
86
4
9-5
18/1 17/2 16/1
Winless in her last five starts, Orchid arrives here 12 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating edges above her official mark — but a fourth as best recent finish from draw 11 off 131 lb makes a breakthrough tough to call.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Flag Of St George silks
Flag Of St George
Age 5 · 9-4
025-87
80
65
81
5
9-4
14/1 7/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts, Flag Of St George at least has experience over today's trip, but a seventh last time out and eighth two back make encouragement hard to find; stall one and 130 lb add further questions at a competitive level.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Sea Founder silks
Sea Founder
Age 4 · 9-1
144196
77
83
83
4
9-1
7/2 13/2 10/3
Sea Founder won three starts back and brings both distance and going experience, but his last two runs have yielded a ninth and a sixth, and at 127 lb from stall two he faces a stiff ask to recapture that earlier form.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Longlai silks
Longlai
Age 8 · 9-0
0070-4
76
61
90
8
9-0
33/1 14/1 28/1
Longlai brings strong credentials here, with experience of today's trip and conditions and a rating of 90 that suggests he's well ahead of his official mark — though he's winless in his last five starts, and that inconsistency is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

10
Arctician silks
Arctician
Age 8 · 8-13
4-3478
75
54
78
8
8-13
14/1 14/1 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, with an eighth last time out and a seventh two starts back, Arctician returns after 61 days off rated ninth of the twelve on our figures — experience over today's trip and going offers slim comfort, but he faces a stiff task from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Peter The Wolf silks
Peter The Wolf
Age 4 · 8-11
10-607
73
61
74
4
8-11
16/1 14/1 12/1
Ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Peter The Wolf has finished seventh and unplaced in his last two starts, making him hard to fancy despite a win five starts back and experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Nezeeh silks
Nezeeh
Age 5 · 8-6
-09088
68
42
66
5
8-6
125/1 25/1 80/1
Winless in his last five starts with a string of eighth-place finishes and unplaced efforts, Nezeeh is hard to fancy ranked bottom of the field on our figures; he has run over today's trip, and 37 days between runs suggests he returns fresh, but that may count for little given recent struggles.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Percy's Lad 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 Bet365
2 Dapper Guest 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Bet365
3 Eminency 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Coral
4 Cogitate 11/4 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365
5 Brosay 25/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Orchid 18/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
7 Flag Of St George 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Coral
8 Sea Founder 7/2 open 9.50 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 7/2 Bet365
9 Longlai 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Arctician 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365
11 Peter The Wolf 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
12 Nezeeh 125/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 41.00 125/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Cogitate

Speculative

Cogitate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Percy's Lad

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Daniel & Claire Kubler
✓ Value Signal

Longlai

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · George Baker
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Cogitate
54.9 11/4
2 1. Percy's Lad
54.4 5/1
3 8. Sea Founder
54.0 7/2
4 2. Dapper Guest
49.3 6/1
5 3. Eminency
44.6 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cogitate
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 9-7
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 9-10
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 8 · 8-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 8-11
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Age 4 · 9-5
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cogitate
Confidence: Speculative

Cogitate (SR:87, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in this field and carries only 9-7, giving it a weight advantage over Percy's Lad (9-10) despite holding the ratings edge. The 19% market move inward is the strongest steaming signal in the race and is the most compelling corroborating evidence — money is coming for a reason at a relatively short price. Three places at Kempton (Course:W0P3) confirm it handles this track, and running off the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=) means it is not being asked to win from a higher weight. DistFit:- is a concern, but Cogitate's course familiarity and SR superiority over a weak Class 4 field outweigh that caveat. Each-way alternative: Sea Founder. Main danger: Sea Founder — Sea Founder (SR:83, 5/1) has steamed in 30% — the joint-strongest market move in the race — carries a feather-weight 9-1, holds a course win and place (Course:W1P1), and is the only three-star runner in the field, making it the most credible threat to Cogitate despite the DistFit:~ flag.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- flags Cogitate as unproven or below-par at today's distance — a concrete fitness-for-trip concern at a track where it has never won in three placed efforts.
  • Charles Bishop's 9% strike rate (761 rides) is among the weakest jockey stats in the field, a meaningful drag at a competitive AW venue like Kempton.
  • Sea Founder (SR:83, 5/1) has already WON at Kempton (W1P1), is dropped in weight to 9-1, and is steaming in 30% — a rival with a stronger course winning record and comparable market confidence.
  • Recent form string 207354 shows Cogitate finishing 3rd-4th-5th in its last three — no win since the mark it currently runs off, suggesting it may have gone stale or the rating is now fully exposed.
Shortlist Cogitate, Sea Founder, Percy's Lad, Peter The Wolf
Each-way: Sea Founder Danger: Sea Founder

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade