Beverley 14:15 RESULTED
Class 5 12 Aug 2026

Wednesday 12 August Macan At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Macan At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Macan At Porsche Centre Hull EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lexington Boom (GB) Oliver Stammers · Grant Tuer
    3/1
  2. Second Mubehir (IRE)
    125/1
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ard As A Rock silks
Ard As A Rock
Age 2 · 9-7
59
149
2
9-7
6/4 5/2 3/2
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Mubehir silks
Mubehir
Age 2 · 9-7
07
125
2
9-7
50/1 50/1 40/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Taj Mahal Palace silks
Taj Mahal Palace
Age 2 · 9-7
128
2
9-7
16/1
SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
True Charm silks
True Charm
Age 2 · 9-7
205
70
67
70OR
2
9-7
9/2
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Classy Jaguar silks
Classy Jaguar
Age 2 · 9-4
7
124
2
9-4
125/1 150/1 100/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Desert Outlaw silks
Desert Outlaw
Age 2 · 9-4
96
124
2
9-4
125/1 150/1 100/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Lexington Boom silks
Lexington Boom
Age 2 · 9-4
22
68
73
68OR
2
9-4
3/1 7/2 11/4
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Mugheer silks
Mugheer
Age 2 · 9-4
151
2
9-4
SP 2/1 9/4
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Spectacular Diver silks
Spectacular Diver
Age 2 · 9-4
256
65
55
65OR
2
9-4
11/1 FCST 9/1
SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Scottys Rocket silks
Scottys Rocket
Age 2 · 9-2
9
125
2
9-2
SP 66/1 40/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Ubettabequeen silks
Ubettabequeen
Age 2 · 9-2
122
2
9-2
28/1 16/1 22/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Needin' U silks
Needin' U
Age 2 · 8-13
04
145
2
8-13
8/1 10/1 7/1
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
One More Tilda silks
One More Tilda
Age 2 · 8-13
124
2
8-13
50/1 FCST 33/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Tiggywinkle silks
Tiggywinkle
Age 2 · 8-13
0
127
2
8-13
18/1 28/1 16/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ard As A Rock 6/4 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.50 6/4 open 3.50 6/4 open 3.50 13/8 Coral
2 Mubehir 50/1 open 201.00 40/1 open 201.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 201.00 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 Bet365
3 Taj Mahal Palace 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
4 True Charm 9/2 9/2 9/2 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 5/1 William Hill
5 Classy Jaguar 125/1 open 151.00 100/1 open 151.00 100/1 open 151.00 100/1 open 151.00 100/1 open 151.00 125/1 Bet365
6 Desert Outlaw 125/1 open 151.00 100/1 open 151.00 100/1 open 151.00 100/1 open 151.00 100/1 open 151.00 125/1 Bet365
7 Lexington Boom 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
8 Mugheer 5/2 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 9/4 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365
9 Spectacular Diver 11/1 9/1 9/1 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 11/1 Bet365
10 Scottys Rocket 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 Bet365
11 Ubettabequeen 28/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
12 Needin' U 8/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
13 One More Tilda 50/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 50/1 Bet365
14 Tiggywinkle 18/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ard As A Rock

High conviction

Ard As A Rock owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 David Evans Joanna Mason
80% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Needin' U

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · Michael & David Easterby
✓ Value Signal

One More Tilda

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ivan Furtado
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
83 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Ard As A Rock
73.4 6/4
2 12. Needin' U
66.8 8/1
3 8. Mugheer
64.2 -
4 3. Taj Mahal Palace
56.9 16/1
5 10. Scottys Rocket
56.7 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ard As A Rock
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-7
6/4
★★★★☆ SR 149 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 2 · 9-4
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 2 · 8-13
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 2 · 9-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 128 🐾

SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 2 · 8-13
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 127 🐾

SR 127 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ard As A Rock
Confidence: Speculative

Ard As A Rock (SR 149, 11/4) is the clear SR leader among the experienced runners and drops three class tiers, a massive relief from whatever company produced that rating. The form string '59' shows two runs at a higher level — a fifth and most recently a seventh — but dropping into a Band C/D restricted novice at Class 5 over 5f on good-to-firm at Beverley represents a significant opportunity. David Evans (12% strike rate) booking Joanna Mason (11%) is a competent combination, and the 11/4 market price is the second-shortest in the field, reflecting genuine confidence. Mugheer (SR 151) is the debutant danger but K.R. Burke's yard has drifted 6% from opening — subtle but noted — and a debut at 5/2 on unknown quantities carries risk. Ard As A Rock's class drop is the defining edge here. Each-way alternative: Needin' U. Main danger: Mugheer — Mugheer (SR 151, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, trained by K.R. Burke whose 19% career strike rate is comfortably the best in the race, and Clifford Lee (15%) is a strong booking — a debut winner here would be no surprise despite the slight drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string '59' means a 5th and 7th in two runs — no top-3 finish yet, so the SR-149 rating may overstate current ability if those runs were in weak maidens with pace distortion.
  • Joanna Mason's 11% strike rate and David Evans' 12% are both below-average for a horse touted as the class dropper; the stable-jockey combination has not fired at a high clip this season.
  • Lexington Boom (SR 73, 4/1) has two consecutive runner-up finishes and a course placing at Beverley — tangible course form that Ard As A Rock entirely lacks on this track.
  • Mugheer (SR 151, 5/2) actually rates higher and is trained by K.R. Burke, whose 19% yard strike rate dwarfs Evans' 12% — if the debutant handles the track, the class-drop edge evaporates.
Shortlist Ard As A Rock, Mugheer, Needin' U, Lexington Boom
Each-way: Needin' U Danger: Mugheer

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Beverley Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade