Dallas Star heads this 11-runner field on our ratings, and his best recent form — a second four starts back and thirds five and six starts back — underlines his place-finding consistency. Winless in his last six, though, and a return from 53 days off needs monitoring.
Form last 6332547
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR105RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fixation won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, arriving fit on a 12-day turnaround carrying 130 lb — the main concern is that unplaced effort last time out, which must be forgiven if he's to land this.
Form last 62-2710
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR92RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Royal Hollow showed smart form when second two starts back, but her latest sixth is harder to ignore; she has run over today's trip and returns on a quick 13-day turnaround, though rated 90 she faces a stiff task from seventh in the rankings.
Form last 6104-26
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR90RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Marazion shapes as a each-way contender on her best form — a winner four starts back and a second three starts back — but consecutive sixths in recent starts raise a question mark, and 45 days off the track adds a fitness query despite experience over today's trip.
Form last 67-1266
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR92RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
War Rooms brings a recent win to the table and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, while carrying 129 lb looks manageable for a gelding our ratings rank as a leading contender — the main risk is that his form outside that victory has been patchy.
Form last 670-801
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR95RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unplaced last time out after two wins in his last five starts, Obscenity arrives 45 days later needing to bounce back sharply; rated well below the top of the market on our figures, he's a hard sell despite having run over today's trip before.
Form last 6-31210
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR82RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Star Harbour shaped with promise when runner-up three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going underpins a strong threat at 126 lb — the risk is that he has been winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6504255
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR94RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Navy Waters does bring distance experience and a fitness edge fresh from a run 12 days ago, but her recent string of fifth-fourth-fifth finishes suggests she finds one or two too good, and the 125 lb burden won't help her cause here.
Form last 68-3545
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR90RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Daboya has back-to-back wins in her recent starts, but our figures rank her last of eleven here and she faces a stiff ask stepping up in class. Has run over today's trip, at least, and arrives fresh after 36 days off.
Form last 6-05511
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR77RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third in each of her last two starts, Sea Coral arrives 23 days fresh and has run over today's trip and going before, but she remains winless in her last five and her ranking of eighth from eleven suggests only a midfield share of the spoils.
Form last 60-0033
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR86RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ephesus has tumbled down the placings in his last four starts after winning, and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, he is hard to fancy here. He has run over today's trip and going before, and his 11-day turnaround at least suggests fitness.
Form last 6100-98
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR80RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Navy Waters owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2W McCreeryW J Lee
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
War Rooms
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Gerard Keane✓ Value Signal
Ephesus
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
War Rooms (SR:92, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries only 9-3, giving it a weight advantage over top-weight Dallas Star (10-0, SR:83) while still being the class act. The decisive signal is the 27% market move inward — significant money has come for this horse since opening, a strong indicator of stable confidence. Colin Keane (16% career strike rate, 1015 runners) is one of Ireland's premier jockeys and his booking amplifies the case. The form figure '1' last time out — off a mark 6lb higher — shows the horse is in winning form right now, and a tongue-tie retained from that win points to a stable that knows what works.
Each-way alternative: Navy Waters.
Main danger: Fixation — Fixation (SR:90, 9/2) is second in the SR rankings, carries only 9-4, and Ben Coen's 12% strike rate over 675 runners gives it serious professional backing — the mild 5% drift is the only concern in an otherwise credible profile.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
War Rooms' trainer Gerard Keane has only a 7% strike rate from 175 runners — well below the field average — undermining confidence that stable confidence is the true driver of the 27% market move.
The 'HG:p' headgear flag suggests War Rooms requires a hood/eyeshield to be competitive; if that equipment isn't optimally fitted or the horse has become accustomed to it, the edge from last win may…
War Rooms' form string '70-801' shows only one win amid multiple poor efforts (7th, 0, 8th), suggesting inconsistency — the single recent win may flatter a horse prone to switching off.
Fixation (SR:90, 9/2) and Navy Waters (SR:87, 9/2) both ran within 12 days and are race-fit rivals; War Rooms' 23-day gap is moderate but those two fresher horses with stronger trainer strike rates p…
ShortlistWar Rooms, Fixation, Navy Waters, Marazion