Jill Willows Handicap Stakes · 0m7f75y
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Alpha Capture | 9/4 open 3.75 | — | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Obelix | 4/1 open 8.00 | — | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Bell Shot | 9/1 open 6.00 | — | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 Coral |
| 4 Highland Olly | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Glenfinnan | 9/2 open 8.00 | — | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Style Of Life | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 William Hill |
| 7 Tattie Bogle | 13/2 | — | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Flying Fletcher | 28/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Beyond The Bar | 25/1 open 11.00 | — | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Homestrait | 12/1 open 8.50 | — | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Intervention | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alpha Capture owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Obelix (SR 86, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and the market has emphatically backed this assessment with a 31% inward move — the strongest market signal in the race. He drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), giving connections every reason to expect a competitive run, and crucially he is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) and today's going (GoingFit:+), two boxes that very few rivals can tick simultaneously. Jason Hart (14% career strike rate from 1,299 rides) is a high-quality booking who knows how to ride Beverley's sharp turn. His recent form reads -01550, which requires context — the last run (0) is a concern, but the class drop and going match give logical grounds to dismiss it, and the money clearly agrees. Each-way alternative: Tattie Bogle. Main danger: Alpha Capture — Alpha Capture (SR 93, 9/4) is the field's SR leader, has shortened 11% in the market, and while carrying top-weight of 10-4 at +6 above last win mark, Roger Fell's horse has consistent recent form (621202) and the cheekpieces add a tactical edge that could see it dominate from the front on good-to-firm ground.