Kempton (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 4 12 Aug 2026

Wednesday 12 August Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II) · 1m

Official Result

Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rogue Allegiance (IRE) Harry Davies · James Owen
    9/2
  2. 2/1F
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Final Night silks
Final Night
Age 4 · 10-2
623602
80
83
87
4
10-2
11/4 32/17 5/2
Final Night arrives here in good nick after finishing second last time out, and with experience of today's trip and going, he rates a strong each-way threat off a mark of 80 — though winless in his last six starts, consistency remains the concern.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Gallant silks
Gallant
Age 4 · 10-0
607573
78
75
90
4
10-0
4/1 5/1 7/2
Gallant shaped with plenty of promise when third last time out, and his experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour; the worry is that he has been winless in his last six starts, and his consistency will need to sharpen up here.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Rogue Allegiance silks
Rogue Allegiance
Age 4 · 9-13
623221
77
87
81
4
9-13
4/1 9/4 4/1
Rogue Allegiance arrives in decent nick after a win last time out, and has run over today's trip and going, but his run of placed efforts before that victory suggest he can be edged out at the business end, and 139 lb is no lightweight burden.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
City Of Kings silks
City Of Kings
Age 6 · 9-11
516/00
75
47
79
6
9-11
300/1 28/1 200/1
Three consecutive unplaced efforts make City Of Kings hard to fancy, and he ranks ninth of ten on our figures; he has run over today's trip before and returns on a reasonable 16-day turnaround, but little else stands out.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

5
Sovereign View silks
Sovereign View
Age 3 · 9-11
1-2634
82
94
96
3
9-11
5/2 7/2 9/4
Sovereign View shaped with promise when third one start back and has experience of today's trip and conditions; our rating of 96 heads the field, and at 137 lb from stall seven he remains the one to beat, albeit a return to winning form is needed.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
San Juanito silks
San Juanito
Age 4 · 9-10
007-90
74
48
83
4
9-10
150/1 33/1 100/1
Winless in his last five starts, San Juanito nevertheless carries an 83 rating into this, suggesting more ability than his official mark of 74 implies, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is a string of unplaced efforts that will need reversing.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

7
Dumuji silks
Dumuji
Age 3 · 9-6
1-550
77
80
79
3
9-6
8/1 10/1 15/2
Dumuji won one start back from an unplaced effort last time, and he has run over today's trip and going before; however, ranked sixth of ten on our rating and carrying 132 lb, he faces a stiff ask to reverse that recent dip in form.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Gunfighter silks
Gunfighter
Age 5 · 9-5
0-7917
69
57
79
5
9-5
SP 13/2 14/1
Gunfighter won one start back but has been disappointing either side of that success, finishing seventh last time out; he has run over today's trip and going, and his rating of 79 suggests ability, though consistency remains the concern at 131 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Man Of Desert silks
Man Of Desert
Age 5 · 9-3
-05742
67
48
77
5
9-3
22/1 11/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Man Of Desert faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going, and the recent second is a crumb of comfort, but 41 days off and 129 lb from stall eight make him difficult to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

10
Lieutenant Kije silks
Lieutenant Kije
Age 3 · 9-0
8326-
71
52
79
3
9-0
25/1 11/1 20/1
Winless in his last four starts and absent for 287 days, Lieutenant Kije faces a stiff task from stall 10, though he has run over today's trip and going before and did finish second one start back.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Final Night 11/4 11/4 open 2.88 11/4 open 2.88 5/2 11/4 open 2.88 11/4 Bet365
2 Gallant 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Rogue Allegiance 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 Bet365
4 City Of Kings 300/1 open 29.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 51.00 250/1 open 41.00 200/1 open 51.00 300/1 Bet365
5 Sovereign View 5/2 open 9.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 7.50 9/4 open 4.50 5/2 Bet365
6 San Juanito 150/1 open 34.00 125/1 open 34.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 67.00 150/1 Bet365
7 Dumuji 8/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 12.00 17/2 William Hill
8 Gunfighter 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Man Of Desert 22/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
10 Lieutenant Kije 25/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sovereign View

Speculative

Sovereign View owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 James Tate Jason Watson
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rogue Allegiance

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · James Owen
✓ Value Signal

City Of Kings

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

300/1 · Ian Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Sovereign View
56.4 5/2
2 3. Rogue Allegiance
53.3 4/1
3 2. Gallant
52.5 4/1
4 1. Final Night
51.7 11/4
5 7. Dumuji
48.2 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sovereign View
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-11
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-0
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sovereign View
Confidence: Speculative

Sovereign View (SR:94, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and has steamed 40% in the market — the strongest market move in the race — suggesting informed money is very confident. At 9-11 the weight is entirely manageable for the class leader, and a DistFit:+ confirms the mile is proven territory. The step up to Class 4 (ClassMv:=) is no issue, and James Tate (17% strike rate from 390 runners) is a yard that fires horses fit. The recent form 1-2634 shows a winner followed by placed efforts; the cheekpieces (HG:p) add a tactical edge and may sharpen the response to pressure. Each-way alternative: Rogue Allegiance. Main danger: Rogue Allegiance — Rogue Allegiance (SR:87, 11/4) arrives on a 623221 form string with a last-time-out win, DistFit:+ at the mile, and trainer James Owen striking at 17% — the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) is the only concern, but the improving profile makes this the most credible threat despite its 12% market drift.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 1-2634 — the last three runs show a slide from 2nd to 6th to 3rd to 4th, a deteriorating trend that suggests the early-season peak may have passed.
  • Jockey Jason Watson has only a 13% strike rate (868 runners) — notably below the trainer's own 17% yard average, hinting at a suboptimal booking rather than a stable's first-choice rider.
  • Cheekpieces (HG:p) are being applied for the first time today; first-time headgear is a variable — if the horse over-races or fails to settle on Kempton's sharp polytrack mile, it could compound rath…
  • Rogue Allegiance (SR:87, 11/4) arrives on the back of three consecutive placed efforts culminating in a win (form 623221) and has also steamed in the market at a comparable price — a fresher, in-form…
Shortlist Sovereign View, Rogue Allegiance, Final Night, Dumuji
Each-way: Rogue Allegiance Danger: Rogue Allegiance

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade