Kempton (AW) 18:45 RESULTED
Class 4 28 Oct 2026

Yesterday Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap Stakes

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap Stakes · 6f

Official Result

Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Treasurer (IRE) David Probert · Charlie Fellowes
    20/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 28/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 21 hours, 58 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Pure Mint silks
Pure Mint FAV
Age 2 · 9-11
162
87
98
98
2
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
evn 11/10 10/11
Pure Mint arrives in fine order after a second last time out, with a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip after 27 days off. Our rating has him top of the eight, but 137 lb is the main risk after a sixth two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Thames Waterman silks
Thames Waterman
Age 2 · 9-9
110
85
83
83
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 5/1 17/2
Won two of his last three starts, taking the win two starts back and another three starts back, but he was unplaced last time out, and he has run over today's trip. Sitting sixth of eight on our rating of 83 against an official 85 while carrying 135 lb from draw 3 suggests a modest ceiling.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Treasurer silks
Treasurer
Age 2 · 9-9
40178
85
69
92
2
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 18/1 12/1
Treasurer won three starts back and has run over today's trip, while our rating of 92 ranks him fourth of eight, so he's a leading danger from stall five off 135 lb. The risk is clear: he has finished eighth and seventh in his last two outings and returns after 45 days off.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sovereign Glory silks
Sovereign Glory
Age 2 · 9-8
310400
84
85
97
2
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 FCST 11/2
Sovereign Glory won five starts back and was a fourth three starts back, but he has been unplaced in his last two outings and returns after 48 days; he has run over today's trip, and our rating of 97 ranks him second of eight, though the recent slump is the worry.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Henley On Thames silks
Henley On Thames
Age 2 · 9-7
622114
83
97
93
2
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 11/4 7/2
Henley On Thames arrives with a fourth last time out, after back-to-back wins two and three starts back, and has finished in the first two in four of his last six. He has run over today's trip, though 47 days off is a mild reservation, and our rating of 93 backs the case.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Conciliate silks
Conciliate
Age 2 · 9-4
73102
80
71
83
2
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 13/2 12/1
Ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Conciliate is hard to fancy despite a second last time out, as an unplaced run since his win three starts back shows inconsistency. He has run over today's trip and drops in from 41 days off, but 130 lb from draw 2 looks a lot to ask.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Lord Ragnar silks
Lord Ragnar
Age 2 · 9-1
212427
77
69
83
2
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 12/1 16/1
Lord Ragnar was a seventh last time out after a second two starts back, and the colt has a win five starts back among a consistent recent set, though 45 days off is a concern. He has run over today's trip and going, carries 127 lb from stall seven, and our rating of 83 puts him fifth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Arthur Carrot silks
Arthur Carrot
Age 2 · 8-12
2632
74
82
79
2
8-12
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 9/2 13/2
Arthur Carrot is yet to win in his last four starts, though he was second last time out, and a third two starts back keeps the form respectable. He has run over today's trip and is back quickly after seven days, but our figures rank him last of eight, with a modest speed figure of 67.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Pure Mint evn open 2.75 10/11 open 2.38 evn open 2.10 evn open 2.10 evn open 2.10 1/1 open 2.10 evn Bet365
2 Thames Waterman 17/2 open 6.00 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 Paddy Power
3 Treasurer 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Sovereign Glory 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 6/1 6/1 11/2 13/2 Bet365
5 Henley On Thames 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365
6 Conciliate 14/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Lord Ragnar 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Arthur Carrot 15/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pure Mint

Speculative

Pure Mint owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

evn Simon Crisford Oisin Murphy
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Henley On Thames

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Kevin Philippart de Foy
✓ Value Signal

Lord Ragnar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Ed Dunlop
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Pure Mint
58.5 evn
2 5. Henley On Thames
56.1 4/1
3 4. Sovereign Glory
53.2 13/2
4 2. Thames Waterman
51.1 17/2
5 8. Arthur Carrot
49.0 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pure Mint
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-8
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 8-12
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 9-1
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pure Mint
Confidence: Medium

Pure Mint (SR 98, 11/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin over Henley On Thames (SR 97) and carries 9-11 — a 4lb advantage in weight over the next-rated runner is not a meaningful burden at this level. Oisin Murphy (22% strike rate from 2,832 rides) is the standout jockey booking and Simon Crisford runs at a solid 22% level nationally; the price has held firm with no drift, suggesting no stable concern. The DistFit:+ confirms Pure Mint handles 6f, and while GoingFit:? flags the good-to-soft as untried, all eight runners share the same unknown-going tag, so this is not a differentiating negative. The form line 1-6-2 shows a wide win, a bad day, then a return to second — entirely consistent with a progressive juvenile who remains the class of this field. Each-way alternative: Henley On Thames. Main danger: Henley On Thames — Henley On Thames (SR 97, 7/2) is only 1 SR point behind Pure Mint, carries 4lb less (9-7 vs 9-11), has a DistFit:+ and a market move of 7% in — and a recent form line of 6-2-2-1-1-4 shows two consecutive wins before a latest fourth, making it the most credible threat at a plausible weight advantage.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Henley On Thames has a MarkMv:+4, indicating a 4-point market move in, suggesting strong market confidence in the main danger who is only 1 SR point behind Pure Mint at 7/2.
  • Pure Mint's form 1-6-2 includes a sixth-place finish which is a significant blot — only three runs of experience and one poor effort in a short career raises consistency questions.
  • 27 days since last run is fine, but Pure Mint faces Henley On Thames who has run six times this season (form 622114) and is race-hardened with two recent wins, a clear fitness edge late in the season.
Shortlist Pure Mint, Henley On Thames, Arthur Carrot
Each-way: Henley On Thames Danger: Henley On Thames

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade