Newton Abbot 15:21 RESULTED
Class 4 28 Oct 2026

Yesterday Persimmon Homes Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Persimmon Homes Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m0f75y

Official Result

Persimmon Homes Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Four Sixes (IRE) Rex Dingle · Chester Williams
    3/1
  2. 7/2
  3. 3/1
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12:46–15:46 · 7 races

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14:00–17:30 · 8 races

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16:15–20:15 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 22 hours, 40 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
The Four Sixes silks
The Four Sixes
Age 8 · 12-2
074-P5
122
107
138
8
12-2
★★☆☆☆
—
3/1 5/2 3/1
The Four Sixes is fit and fresh after just 11 days, having finished fifth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 138 ranks him top of six, which makes him the one to beat despite being winless in his last five and carrying 170 lb.
AI verdict

SR 107 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Centara silks
Centara FAV
Age 8 · 12-2
P-6453
122
111
128
8
12-2
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 3/1
Centara steps up from a third last time out, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before, while our rating of 128 ranks him second of six. The risk is a 62-day layoff and 170 lb, with him yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 111 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Opening Bid silks
Opening Bid
Age 11 · 11-12
4/21-4
118
109
120
11
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 2/1 5/2
Opening Bid is a leading danger, having won two starts back and finished second three starts back, and he returns just 19 days after a fourth last time out with a yard in form (9/30 in the last 14 days). He has run over today's trip, but 166 lb is a hefty burden and the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Sinchi Roca silks
Sinchi Roca
Age 6 · 11-8
14522-
114
103
118
6
11-8
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 11/2 7/1
Sinchi Roca finished second in each of his last two outings and has run over today's trip and going before, while his 118 rating ranks him fourth of six. The main risk is a 199-day absence, with 162 lb to carry too.
AI verdict

SR 103 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Mo Ghille Mar silks
Mo Ghille Mar
Age 5 · 11-7
774153
113
91
110
5
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 5/1 12/1
Third last time out and a winner three starts back, but Mo Ghille Mar has otherwise finished fourth or worse in her other recent runs, and our figures rank her fifth of six. She carries 161 lb, though 18 days since her last run and previous experience over this trip and going help.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Klic Boum silks
Klic Boum
Age 6 · 10-2
05325-
94
105
100
6
10-2
★★★★☆
—
3/1 8/1 11/4
Klic Boum is winless in his last five, finishing fifth last time out after a second two starts back, and a 257-day absence plus a yard managing just 1/23 lately make him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, but carries 142 lb off 94.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 The Four Sixes 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Bet365
2 Centara 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
3 Opening Bid 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365
4 Sinchi Roca 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
5 Mo Ghille Mar 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Bet365
6 Klic Boum 3/1 open 10.00 11/4 open 9.00 3/1 open 9.50 3/1 open 9.50 3/1 open 9.50 3/1 open 9.00 3/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Centara

Live signal

Centara owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Paul Nicholls Jay Tidball(5)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Opening Bid

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Joe Tizzard
✓ Value Signal

Mo Ghille Mar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · John Joseph Hanlon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Centara
65.8 7/2
2 3. Opening Bid
63.1 5/2
3 1. The Four Sixes
60.6 3/1
4 6. Klic Boum
59.0 3/1
5 4. Sinchi Roca
55.4 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Centara
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 11 · 11-12
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾 —

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-2
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 10-2
3/1
★★★★☆ SR 105 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Centara FAV
Age 8 · 12-2
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 111 🐾 —

SR 111 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 11-8
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 11-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Centara
Confidence: Speculative

Centara (SR:111, 11/4) is the top-rated horse in the field and arrives dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) off a mark 9lb below his last win (MarkMv:-9), making this a very winnable assignment on paper. The 34% market move in (Mkt:in34%) is the strongest steaming signal in the race and carries real weight — Paul Nicholls (22% strike rate from 567 runners) booking Jay Tidball confirms this is a yard-intended run. His Course:W4P6 record at Newton Abbot is outstanding and DistFit:+ confirms he handles this trip; GoingFit:? is a minor concern but with 8 career runs the sample may simply be thin rather than indicative of a ground problem. Each-way alternative: Klic Boum. Main danger: Klic Boum — Klic Boum (SR:105, 9/2) has steamed in 42% in the market — the strongest money signal in the race — carries a featherweight 10-2 on soft ground and a four-star AI rating, so if the going or distance (both unknown) suit, Adam Wedge could exploit the weight advantage over Centara's 12-2.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads P-6453 — no win in last 5 starts, most recent being a 3rd and a 4th, suggesting he may be in a losing habit rather than a horse bouncing back.
  • 62-day absence is notable; at 8 years old returning from a two-month layoff without a recent spin can leave horses short of peak fitness on the day.
  • GoingFit:? is a genuine red flag — with 8 career runs, ground suitability is not simply 'thin sample'; he may have been deliberately avoided on certain going types.
  • Klic Boum (9/2) has steamed in 42% — even stronger market support in percentage terms — and carries just 10-2, giving a significant weight advantage over Centara's 12-2.
Shortlist Centara, Klic Boum, Opening Bid
Each-way: Klic Boum Danger: Klic Boum

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f75y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade